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WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET),

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Presentation on theme: "WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET),"— Presentation transcript:

1 WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET), eterradellasj@aemet.es José M. Baldasano (BSC-CNS), jose.baldasano@bsc.es Emilio Cuevas (AEMET), ecuevasa@aemet.eseterradellasj@aemet.esjose.baldasano@bsc.esecuevasa@aemet.es 2013-1 meeting of the WMO SDS-WAS Regional Steering Group for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe, 21 January 2013

2 WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es Intercomparison and evaluation of dust prediction models Web portal Capacity building Important meetings Plans for 2013 Intercomparison and evaluation of dust prediction models Web portal Capacity building Important meetings Plans for 2013 Outline

3 Intercomparison and evaluation of dust prediction models

4 The models Joint visualization Generation of multi-model products Evaluation of dust AOD using AERONET data Evaluation of surface concentration Evaluation of vertical profiles The models Joint visualization Generation of multi-model products Evaluation of dust AOD using AERONET data Evaluation of surface concentration Evaluation of vertical profiles

5 MODELINSTITUTIONRUN TIME DOMAINDATA ASSIMILATION BSC- DREAM8b BSC-CNS12RegionalNo CHIMERELMD00RegionalNo LMDzT-INCALSCE00GlobalNo MACCECMWF00GlobalMODIS AOD DREAM- NMME-MACC SEEVCCC12RegionalMACC analysis NMMB/BSC- Dust BSC-CNS12RegionalNo MetUMU. K. Met Office 00GlobalNo GEOS-5NASA00GlobalMODIS reflectances NGACNCEP00GlobalNo VARIABLES: Dust surface concentration – Dust Optical Depth at 550 nm LEAD TIME: 0 – 72 hours, every 3 hours GEOGRAPHICAL DOMAIN: 25ºW – 60ºE, 0 – 65ºN VARIABLES: Dust surface concentration – Dust Optical Depth at 550 nm LEAD TIME: 0 – 72 hours, every 3 hours GEOGRAPHICAL DOMAIN: 25ºW – 60ºE, 0 – 65ºN The models

6 RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00 Joint visualization. Dust AOD at 550 nm

7 RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00 Joint visualization. Surface concentration

8 Model outputs are bi-linearly interpolated to a common 0.5ºlon x 0.5ºlat grid mesh. Then, different multi-model products are generated: CENTRALITY: median - mean SPREAD: standard deviation – range of variation Model outputs are bi-linearly interpolated to a common 0.5ºlon x 0.5ºlat grid mesh. Then, different multi-model products are generated: CENTRALITY: median - mean SPREAD: standard deviation – range of variation Generation of multimodel products

9 TAMANRASSET_INMSANTA_CRUZ_TENERIFE nrt evaluation using AERONET data

10 Monthly Seasonal Annual Monthly Seasonal Annual Besides dust, there might be other aerosol types. Therefore, negative BE could be expected. Bias Error Root Mean Square Error Correlation Coefficient Fractional Gross Error Bias Error Root Mean Square Error Correlation Coefficient Fractional Gross Error Evaluation scores using AERONET data

11 Meteorological stations PM10 = 914.06 V -0.73 + 19.03 D’Almeida (1986) TSP = 1339.84 V -0.67 Ben Mohamed et al. (1992) Tegen and Lacis (1996) Koschmieder equation Exploring the use of visibility to evaluate dust surface concentration

12 NEJRAN, Saudi Arabia Terra/MODIS 17 Mar 2012 17:00 KUWAIT Int. Apt., Kuwait SEEB, Oman Available at http://sds-was.aemet.es/models

13 Evaluation of surface concentration with AQ data from Turkey

14 Exploring the use of lidar to evaluate dust vertical profiles

15 Web portal

16 http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es

17 PM10/PM2.5 Back-trajectories EUMETSAT RGB-DUST images UKMO MSG retrievals Joint visualization of forecast Surf. Conc. Joint visualization of forecast DOD 550 Monthly comparison models / AERONET Evaluation scores (monthly, seasonal, annual) Multi-model products Guidance for forecasters PM10/PM2.5 Back-trajectories EUMETSAT RGB-DUST images UKMO MSG retrievals Joint visualization of forecast Surf. Conc. Joint visualization of forecast DOD 550 Monthly comparison models / AERONET Evaluation scores (monthly, seasonal, annual) Multi-model products Guidance for forecasters Archive

18 Capacity building

19

20 19-23 Nov 2012: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Niamey, Niger

21 26-28 Nov 2012: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm (SDS), Combating Desertification and Erosion. Ankara, Turkey

22 Important meetings

23 Sep 2012. The WMO CBS-15 meeting recommends the designation of the Center as Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with Specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecast(RSMC-ASDF). Jul 2013. It is expected that the WMO Executive Council meets the recommendation and the RSMC starts working. Sep 2012. The WMO CBS-15 meeting recommends the designation of the Center as Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with Specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecast(RSMC-ASDF). Jul 2013. It is expected that the WMO Executive Council meets the recommendation and the RSMC starts working. 9-15 Sep 2012: WMO Fifteenth Session of the Commission for Basic Systems (CBS-15), Jakarta, Indonesia

24 20-22 Nov 2012: Regional Conference on Dust and Dust Storm, Kuwait UNEP and WMO organized a special session on the scientific aspects of the Regional SDS Programme. Experts gave recommendations on the programme improvement.

25 Plans for 2013: Outstanding activities

26 Dissemination of numerical forecast products (Mar 2013) Publication of an activity report (Jun 2013) Start of activities in the Operational Center (Sep 2013) Preparation of a scientific conference on dust to be held in Barcelona in spring 2014 (together with a face RSG meeting) Participation in capacity building activities (Turkey, Oman) Joint evaluation of the dust models: new approaches Dissemination of numerical forecast products (Mar 2013) Publication of an activity report (Jun 2013) Start of activities in the Operational Center (Sep 2013) Preparation of a scientific conference on dust to be held in Barcelona in spring 2014 (together with a face RSG meeting) Participation in capacity building activities (Turkey, Oman) Joint evaluation of the dust models: new approaches

27 Thanks for your attention !! WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es

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