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Published byDulce Vickrey Modified over 9 years ago
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Cotton Economic Update National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Aug 22-24, 2007
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W. Texas Crude Oil Price
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Index of Prices Paid
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Southeast3,353 2,360 -29.6 Mid-South 4,235 2,730 -35.5 Southwest6,835 5,255 -23.1 West525 415 -21.0 ALL UPLAND 14,948 10,760 -28.0 ALL ELS326 298 -8.6 ALL COTTON15,274 11,058 -27.6 2007 U.S. Cotton Acreage 20062007% Actual Intentions* Change Thousand Acres *USDA-NASS
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Crop Futures Prices ’06’07Ratio Jan-Mar Avg Cotton (Dec)$0.593$0.588 Corn (Dec)$2.45$4.066.91 Soybeans (Nov)$6.15$7.8713.39 Wheat (Jul)$3.92$5.008.51
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Ratio of Futures Prices
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U.S. Cotton Production
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U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption 2007 2006
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Consumption Expenditures
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U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use
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India Cotton Supply & Use
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Brazil Cotton Supply & Use
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Cotton Production & Use (Foreign less China)
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China Cotton Supply & Use
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U.S. Cotton Exports
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World Cotton Production & Use
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Cotton Stocks-to-Use
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Nearby NY and “A” (FE) Index
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Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres
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December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
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December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
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November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
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Ratio of Futures Prices
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Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres Bearish Factors Expanding production in other countries (India) Maintaining demand at higher price levels
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Price Indices
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Looking Forward Bullish Factors Production below use Stocks tighten Continued competition for available acres Bearish Factors Expanding production in other countries (India) Maintaining demand at higher price levels Wild cards Relying on China to buy 40-50% of US crop General economic performance
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MerchantsGinnersCottonseed Producers Cooperatives WarehousesManufacturers
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