1. Patrick Kelly National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Presentation to the Louisiana Postsecondary Education Review Commission September 28, 2009 Regional Education Needs

2. The Circular Argument Degree Production Economic Strength Workforce Demand A more educated citizenry leads to more entrepreneurship, small business development, and ability to attract outside business. The current industry base has shortages that need to be filled in certain areas. But overall workforce demand may not call for that many more college graduates. A stronger economy creates more demand for educated workers. Note: The above ignores all of the other benefits associated with an educated population – larger tax base, better health, greater civic engagement, fewer incarcerations, etc. 2

3. De Soto Red River Natchitoches Bienville Webster Cameron Calcasieu Acadia St. Landry Allen St. Martin Iberville West Baton Rouge Livingston St. Helena West Feliciana Pointe Coupee East Baton Rouge St. John The Baptist Orleans St. Charles St. Bernard Lafourche St. Mary La Salle Richland East Carroll West Carroll Caddo Claiborne Morehouse Ascension Assumption Avoyelles Beauregard Bossier Caldwell Catahoula Concordia East Feliciana Evangeline Franklin Grant Iberia Jackson Jefferson Jefferson Davis Lafayette Lincoln Madison Ouachita Plaquemines Rapides Sabine St. James St. Tammany Tangipahoa Tensas Terrebonne Union Vermilion Vernon Washington Winn Louisiana Regional Labor Market Areas Shreveport Monroe Alexandria Lake Charles Lafayette Houma New Orleans Baton Rouge 3

4. Percentage of 18 to 24 Year Olds with Less than a High School Diploma (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 4

5. Percentage of 18 to 24 Year Olds with Just a High School Diploma (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 5

6. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with Less than a High School Diploma (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 6

7. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with Just a High School Diploma (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 7

8. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with an Associates Degree (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 8

9. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 9

10. Percentage of 18 to 24 Year Olds with Less than a High School Diploma by Race/Ethnicity (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 10

11. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with Less than a High School Diploma by Race/Ethnicity (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 11

12. Percentage of 25 to 64 Year Olds with an Associates Degree or Higher by Race/Ethnicity (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 12

13. Percent of 18 to 64 Year Olds with a High School Diploma or Less, Living in Families with Less than a Living Wage (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 13

14. Percent of 18 to 64 Year Olds with a High School Diploma or Less, Living in Families with Less than a Living Wage (2005-07) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample) 14

15. Additional First-Time Freshmen Enrollments Directly Out of High School if Participation Rates of High School Graduates in Low Participation Parishes are Raised to the Current State Level (55.9%) Source: Louisiana Board of Regents. U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey. 332 227 180 154 94 65 39 26 15

16. Additional First-Time Freshmen Enrollments Directly Out of High School if Participation Rates of High School Graduates in all Parishes are Raised to Best-Performing Parish (Madison = 74.0%) Source: Louisiana Board of Regents. U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey. 1,915 1,343 1,117 1,105 741 465 446 435 16

17. Additional First-Time Freshmen Enrollments if Participation Rates of Population Age 18-44 with Just a High School Diploma and No College in Low Participation Parishes are Brought to Current State Level (5.7%) Source: Louisiana Board of Regents. U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey. 821 598 497 184 181 167 150 129 17

18. Additional First-Time Freshmen Enrollments if Participation Rates of Population Age 18-44 with Just a High School Diploma and No College in all Parishes are Raised to Best Performing Parish (Winn = 10.0%) Source: Louisiana Board of Regents. U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey. 5,174 4,388 4,188 3,047 2,315 1,873 1,679 1,501 18

19. Patrick Kelly NCHEMS patrick@nchems.org 19