1. actual forecast NGLs Coalbed methane Hydro, wind, and other renewables Conventional natural gas Mined and in situ bitumen Conventional heavy oil Conventional L&M oil Coal Total energy production in Alberta Figure 1

3. Figure 3. Alberta supply of crude oil and equivalent actualforecast Non upgraded bitumen Light-medium SCO Pentanes plus Heavy

4. actualforecast Figure 4 Total marketable gas production and demand 23%26%33%44%58%

5. Figure 5. Drilling Activity in Alberta, 1948 – 2008 Bitumen* - includes producing and evaluation wells Gas** - includes CBM wells Other *** - includes unsuccessful, service, and suspended wells

6. Figure 6. Alberta Conventional Crude Oil Production and Price Source: Prices - CAPP Statistical Handbook ERCB Prorationing Plan (restricted production) Major Oil Field Discoveries 1947 – Leduc 1948 – Redwater 1949 – Golden Spike 1952 – Bonnie Glen 1953 – Pembina 1957 – Swan Hills 1959 – Judy Creek 1959 – Swan Hills South 1965 - Rainbow Major Events Affecting Price 1973 – Oil Embargo 1979 – Iranian Revolution 1980 – Iran / Iraq War 1986 – OPEC Crumbles 1990 – Gulf War 1998 – Asian Econ. Crisis 2001 – 9 / 11 2003 – Iraq War 1938 - Petroleum and Natural Gas Conservation Board (ERCB) created to enforce production standards Export Pipelines 1950 – Interprovincial Pipeline (Enbridge) 1953 – Trans Mountain Pipe Line

7. Figure 7. Alberta mined bitumen and synthetic crude oil production and price Great Canadian Oil Sands (Suncor) Startup Syncrude Startup Alberta Oil Sands Project Startup

8. Figure 8. Alberta in situ bitumen production and price

9. Figure 9 Historical natural gas production and price Gas prices as a by-product of oil production. Price less than replacement cost Arbitration awards price increase Regulated gas price tied to oil prices; Surplus built up Price deregulation Surplus gas drives down prices PGT expansion Northern Border pipeline expansion Hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit U.S. Gulf Coast Foothills Pipe Lines built for gas exports to California and the mid-western U.S. Alliance Pipeline on stream

10. Figure 10 Sulphur closing inventories in Alberta and price Prices reached highs in the US$650-$840/tonne range in 2008

11. 1898 – Expansion of railway network (coal and oil fired steam engines) and growth of population 1952 – Beginning of change to diesel-electric trains 1960 – Steam rail era ends Late1960’s – Beginning of exports to Japan for steel industry 1970’s – increase in coal-fired electric generation 1950’s – Crude oil and natural gas replace coal as energy source of choice Coal remained “King Coal” until huge reservoirs of crude oil and natural gas were discovered Figure 11 Historical coal production and price Australian-Japan contract price for thermal coal (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics - ABARE) Late 1990’s – mine closures and reduced coal exports due to depressed coal prices

12. Figure 1.1 OPEC crude basket reference price 2008 Source: OPEC

14. Figure 1.3 Price of WTI at Chicago actual forecast High Low

15. Figure 1.4 Average price of oil at Alberta wellhead actual forecast High Low

16. Figure 1.5 2008 average monthly reference prices in Alberta Light-medium Heavy Bitumen

18. Figure 1.7 Average price of natural gas at plant gate actual forecast high low

19. Figure 1.8 Alberta Wholesale Electricity Prices actualforecast

21. Figure 1.10 Canadian economic indicators Source: Statistics Canada, Bank of Canada Exchange Rate Prime rate on Loans Inflation rate Prime vs. inflation Unemployment vs. GDP growth Unemployment rate Real GDP growth

22. Figure 1.11 Alberta real investment actualforecast Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers *includes support activities to mining and oil and gas extraction Other Public Residential Coal and metal mining* Conventional oil and gas Oil sands

23. 2007 - 2008 Value of Production in Alberta N/A

25. Figure 2.2 Remaining established reserves under active development

31. ATHABASCA COLD LAKE PEACE RIVER 6.4 36.9 49.4 114.7 Figure 2.8. Production of Bitumen in Alberta, 2008 10 3 m 3 /d Mined Bitumen In Situ

32. Figure 2.9. Alberta crude oil and equivalent production

33. Figure 2.10. Total in situ bitumen production and producing bitumen wells

34. Figure 2.11. In situ bitumen production by oil sands area (OSA) Synthetic Crude Oil Cold Lake OSA Athabasca OSA Peace River OSA

35. Figure 2.12. In situ bitumen production by recovery method Synthetic Crude Oil Primary Production CSS Production SAGD Production Experimental Production

36. Figure 2.13. Alberta crude bitumen production Surface mining In situ actualforecast

37. Figure 2.14. Alberta synthetic crude oil production Synthetic Crude Oil Synthetic crude oil actualforecast

40. Figure 2.17. Alberta oil sands upgrading coke inventory Synthetic Crude Oil Oil Sands Plants – Coke Inventory

41. Figure 2.18. Alberta demand and disposition of crude bitumen and SCO Synthetic Crude Oil Alberta demand (mainly SCO) actualforecast SCO removals from Alberta Nonupgraded bitumen removals from Alberta

42. Figure 3.1 Remaining established reserves of crude oil Heavy Light-medium

43. Figure 3.2 Annual changes in conventional crude oil reserves

44. Figure 3.3 Annual changes to waterflood reserves

45. Figure 3.4 Distribution of oil reserves by size Remaining reserves (10 3 m 3 ) Total number of poolsInitial reserves (10 3 m 3 )

46. Figure 3.5 Oil pool size by discovery year

48. Figure 3.7 Geological distribution of reserves of conventional crude oil

49. 2008 Initial established reserves 2773 10 6 m 3 2008 Remaining established reserves 233 10 6 m 3 Fig. 3.8. Regional distribution of Alberta oil reserves 2008 (10 6 m 3 ) 268 21 490 48 1184 71 467 43 187 10 156 38 5 18

50. Figure 3.9 Alberta’s remaining established oil reserves versus cumulative production

52. Figure 3.11. Alberta successful oil well drilling By modified PSAC area 2007 Wells Drilled = 1796 2008 Wells Drilled = 1788 40 396 499 1 39 350 369 352 0 486 210 206 300 336 3% 2% 5% 11% 3% 100% <1% 12%

53. Total wells = 1738 Figure 3.12. Oil wells placed on production, 2008 by modified PSAC area 296 1 428 350 431 197 35

54. Figure 3.13. Initial operating day rates of oil wells placed on production, 2008 by modified PSAC area m 3 /day/well 16.1 [101] 9.6 [60] 8.5 [54] 5.1 [32] 7.6 [48] 2.4 [15] 6.6 [42]

55. Figure 3.14. Conventional crude oil production by modified PSAC area PSAC 8 PSAC 7 PSAC 5 PSAC 3 PSAC 4 PSAC 2 PSAC 1

56. Figure 3.15. Total crude oil production and producing wells

58. Figure 3.17. Crude oil well productivity in 2008

59. Figure 3.18. Total conventional crude oil production by drilled year % of total production from oil wells Pre-1999 2008 2007 2006 2005 2003 2004 2002 2001 2000 1999 9% 48% 7% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 8%

60. Figure 3.19. Comparison of crude oil production Texas onshore Louisiana onshore Alberta crude oil

61. Figure 3.20. WTI crude oil price and well activity actualforecast

62. actualforecast Figure 3.21. Alberta average daily production of crude oil Heavy Light-medium

63. Figure 3.22. Capacity and location of Alberta refineries

64. actualforecast Figure 3.23. Alberta demand and disposition of crude oil Crude oil removals from Alberta Alberta demand

65. Figure 3.24. Alberta supply of crude oil and equivalent actualforecast Non upgraded bitumen Light-medium SCO Pentanes plus Heavy

66. Figure 3.25. Alberta crude oil and equivalent production actualforecast

73. HSC Mannville

74. Figure 5.1 Annual reserves additions and production of conventional marketable gas

75. Figure 5.2 Remaining conventional marketable gas reserves

76. Figure 5.3 New, development, and revisions to conventional marketable gas reserves * Distribution of changes revised in 2008

78. Figure 5.5 Distribution of conventional gas reserves by size Remaining reserves (10 9 m 3 ) Total number of pools (10 6 m 3 ) Initial reserves (10 9 m 3 )

79. Figure 5.6 Conventional gas pool size by discovery year

80. Figure 5.7 Geological distribution of conventional marketable gas reserves

81. Figure 5.8 Remaining conventional marketable reserves of sweet and sour gas Sweet natural gas Sour natural gas

82. Figure 5.9 Expected recovery of conventional natural gas components

84. Figure 5.11 Conventional gas ultimate potential Ultimate potential based on EUB/NEB 2005 Report Remaining reserves Production

86. Figure 5.13 Conventional gas in place by geological period

87. Figure 5.14 Alberta successful gas well drilling (conventional) by modified PSAC area 95 111 1248 308 4959 91 61 43 288 152 2128 2106 986 56 302 3604 36% 38% 47% 61%27% 2%21% 1% 2007 wells drilled = 9228 21% 2008 wells drilled = 7310

88. Figure 5.15 Successful conventional gas wells drilled and connected

89. Figure 5.16 Conventional gas well connections by modified PSAC area 119 168 1427 477 4557 100 96 84 270 193 2168 2004 1213 70 378 3869 2007 Wells Total Wells connected = 9286 2008 Wells Total Wells connected = 7907

91. Figure 5.18 Marketable gas production by modified PSAC area PSAC 6 PSAC 4 PSAC 5 PSAC 2 PSAC 3 PSAC 1 Gas from oil wells PSAC 7 PSAC 8 % of total production 1% 4% 3% 11% 4% 20% 42% 6% 9%

92. Figure 5.19 Conventional marketable gas production and number of producing wells

94. Figure 5.21 Natural gas well productivity in 2008

95. Pre - 1999 2008 2007 2006 2005 2003 2004 2002 2001 2000 1999 Gas from oil wells Figure 5.22 Raw gas production by connection year % of total production from gas wells 5 Connection year 3 4 27 8 11 9 13 6 5 9

96. Figure 5.23 Raw gas production of sweet and sour gas

97. Figure 5.24 Comparison of raw natural gas production Texas onshore Louisiana onshore Alberta US total production

98. Figure 5.25 Average initial natural gas well productivity in Alberta

99. Figure 5.26 Alberta natural gas well activity and price actualforecast

100. Figure 5.27 Conventional marketable gas production actualforecast

101. Figure 5.28 Gas production from bitumen upgrading and bitumen wells used for oil sands operations actualforecast

102. Figure 5.29 Total gas production in Alberta actualforecast

103. Figure 5.30 Alberta natural gas storage injection/withdrawal volumes

106. Figure 5.33 Alberta marketable gas demand by sector Reprocessing plant shrinkage Transportation Electricity generation Other industrial Industrial - petrochemical Industrial – oil sands Residential Commercial actualforecast

107. Figure 5.34 Historical volumes “available for permitting”

108. actual forecast Mining and Upgrading In Situ In Situ Cogeneration Mining and Upgrading Cogeneration Figure 5.35 Purchased natural gas demand for oil sands operations

109. Figure 5.36 Gas demand for bitumen recovery and upgrading actualforecast Purchased gas Produced gas from bitumen Process gas from upgrading* * Does not included process gas for electricity generation.

110. actual forecast Process Gas for Mining/Upgrading Produced Gas from Bitumen Wells for In situ Recovery Purchased Gas for In situ Recovery Purchased Gas for Electricity Cogeneration Purchased Gas for Mining/Upgrading Process Gas for Electricity Cogeneration Figure 5.37 Total Purchased, Process and Produced Gas for Oil Sands Production

111. actualforecast Figure 5.38 Total marketable gas production and demand 23% 26% 33% 44% 58%

112. Figure 6.1 Remaining established NGL reserves expected to be extracted from conventional gas and annual production

113. Figure 6.2 Remaining established reserves of conventional natural gas liquids

115. Figure 6.4. Ethane supply and demand actual forecast

116. Figure 6.5. Propane supply from natural gas and demand actual forecast * excludes solvent flood volumes Alberta Demand* Supply

117. Figure 6.6. Butanes supply from natural gas and demand actual forecast * excludes solvent flood volumes Alberta Demand* Supply

118. Figure 6.7. Pentanes supply from natural gas and demand for diluent actual forecast * excludes solvent flood volumes demand met by alternative sources and types of diluent Alberta Demand* Supply

119. Figure 7.1 Sulphur production from gas processing plants in Alberta

120. Figure 7.2 Sulphur production from oil sands

121. Figure 7.3 Sources of sulphur production Sour gas Refining and upgrading

122. Figure 7.4 Canadian sulphur offshore exports

123. Alberta Demand Removed from Alberta Stockpile Withdrawals Stockpile Total Demand Production actual forecast Figure 7.5 Sulphur demand and supply in Alberta

125. Subbituminous Thermal bituminous Metallurgical bituminous Figure 8.2 Alberta marketable coal production actualforecast

126. actualforecast Figure 9.1. Alberta electricity generating capacity

127. Figure 9.2. Alberta electricity generation actualforecast

128. Figure 9.3. Alberta electricity transfers

129. Figure 9.4. Alberta electricity consumption by sector actualforecast

130. 9.5. Alberta oil sands electricity generation and demand actual forecast Electricity Generation Demand