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Building a Green Economy The Race for International Innovation and Competitiveness Christopher Flavin Worldwatch Institute Seoul Forum 2010 Seoul, Korea
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Today’s economy is profoundly out of balance with the world’s ecological resource base. The economic model pioneered by today’s industrial countries is not viable for the world as a whole
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The transition to a sustainable global economy is the great economic challenge of the coming decades. It will shape the future of the next generation.
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Solving environmental problems will entail substantial costs for some of today’s industries. But it will also create thousands of new companies and millions of jobs, laying the foundation for a green economic transformation.
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Successful green economies will require visionary systems thinking and smart, effective government regulations & economic incentives. At stake are international economic competitiveness—and the health of the planet on which the economy depends.
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Energy & Resource Productivity Key to a Sustainable Global Economy Potential for Factor Five Increase by 2050—Will Become the New Benchmark for Global Economic Success
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Investment in Renewable Energy 2004-2008 Source: NEF 2009
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Average Energy Growth Rates by Source: 2004-2009 Source: Worldwatch, BP.
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Global Electricity from Renewables 2002-2008 Source: NEF 2009 Renewable power generation additions as share of global power generation additions Renewable generation as % of global power generation
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The Race for Green Jobs Each $1 million invested in energy efficiency creates 21.5 new jobs versus 11.5 for gas power generation. Renewable energy has already created 3 million new jobs—most of them in the past five years. Solar electricity creates 7 -11 times more jobs per megawatt hour than coal or gas. Retrofitting Europe's residential buildings to cut emissions 75% would create 2.6 million jobs by 2030.
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Job Growth in Renewable Energy: Germany
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13 Employment Estimates All Recycling China United States Brazil 10,000,000 1,100,000 500,000 Aluminum Can CollectingBrazil 170,000 Electronics RecyclingChina 700,000 Steel Scrap Production United States World 30,000 [225,000] Aluminum Scrap Production Japan Western Europe United States 12,700 >10,000 6,100 Recycling / Scrap-based Production
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SOURCE: UNEP/ILO Green Jobs Report Green Jobs in Renewable Energy, Present and Future 2.3 million people are currently employed in the renewable energy sector globally. Projected investments of $630 billion by 2030 would translate into at least 20 million additional jobs.
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Germany World leader in installed renewable capacity Unilateral reductions of carbon emissions of 36% below 1990 levels by 2020 Highly effective feed-in tariff system has boosted renewable energy industry – earned over €16 billion in 2005
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Renewable Electricity in Germany 1990 - 2007 Source: BMU 2008
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Spain Currently generates one-quarter of electricity from renewable sources Goal to generate 40% of electricity from carbon-free sources by 2020 Feed-in tariffs and low-interest loans have boosted renewable energy industry
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California Goal to reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 $75 million green jobs training program to train over 20,000 skilled clear energy workers California Green Corps – place at risk young adults in green jobs
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Electricity Use Per Capita 1960-2007
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Green Provisions of Obama Stimulus in United States The $787 billion American Recovery & Reinvestment Act of 2009 includes more than $71 billion for clean energy—more than tripling spending : $4.5 billion for upgrading energy efficiency in government buildings $500 million for job training in energy efficiency and renewables $2.5 billion for research on energy efficiency and renewable energy $9.3 billion for investments in rail transportation $5 billion for home weatherization for low income families The stimulus also includes $20 billion in clean energy tax incentives.
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China $35 billion in clean energy investment in 2009 Goal to reduce carbon intensity of the economy by 40- 45% by 2050 World’s largest producer of wind turbines and solar panels 8% electricity from wind, solar, biomass by 2020
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Solar PV Production by Country/Region 2000-2008 Source: Maycock, Prometheus Institute, CREIA, Bradford.
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Korea is a late comer to the green economy Its economic miracle has relied heavily on energy and resource- intensive manufacturing
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But Korea’s 97% dependence on imported energy suggest that a new model is needed. The Low-Carbon, Green-Growth Strategy launched by President Lee Myung-Bak could make Korea a global leader.
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Korea Green Growth Strategy $59 billion “Green New Deal Package” 78% of stimulus spending—highest in world Renewable Electricity Standard and Feed-In Tarrif are being introduced Tough new energy efficiency standards for industry, transportation, and buildings Pledge to cut GHG emissions 30% below BAU by 2020
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www.worldwatch.org 1776 Massachusetts Ave. NW Washington, DC 20036 USA
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