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Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences

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Presentation on theme: "Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences"— Presentation transcript:

1 Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences
2007 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

2 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

3 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
3.6 At current fertility levels, a woman in Jordan will have an average of 3.6 children in her lifetime. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

4 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Fertility Trends TFR for women age for the 3-year period preceding the survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

5 Fertility Differentials
TFR for women age for the 3-year period preceding the survey 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

6 Trends in Fertility by Region

7 Fertility by Governorate
Irbid 3.8 Ajloun 3.7 Jarash 3.8 Mafraq 4.0 Balqa 3.7 Zarqa 3.8 Madaba 3.6 Amman 3.4 Fertility by Governorate Karak 3.2 Tafiela 3.7 Ma’an 4.0 Aqaba 4.1 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

8 Fertility by Education
TFR for women age 15-49 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

9 Fertility By Wealth TFR for women age 15-49 Poorest households
Fertility decreases as wealth increases. Poorest households Wealthiest households 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

10 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

11 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Birth Intervals In addition to their impact on fertility, birth intervals may also affect the health of mothers and their children. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

12 Length of Birth Intervals
33% of births occur less than 24 months after the preceding birth. Infants born less than 2 years after a sibling have the highest rate of mortality. Doctors recommend a birth interval of at least 36 months 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

13 Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29
2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

14 Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29
Less than 50% of the women had a birth before age 25) 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

15 Trends in Percent of Women Pregnant

16 Teenage Pregnancy and Motherhood
3% of women between the ages of are already mothers and another 1% are pregnant with their first child. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

17 Current Marital Status: Women
2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

18 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Irbid 4% Ajloun 3% Jarash 6% Mafraq 10% Balqa 7% Zarqa 4% Madaba 5% Amman 4% Polygyny by Governorate Percent of currently married women who are married to a man who has more than 1 wife Karak 6% Tafiela 6% Ma’an 11% National average: 5% Aqaba 7% 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

19 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Consanguinity Percent of all ever-married women by their relationship to their current or first husband 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

20 Age at First Marriage by Education
Median age at first marriage among women 25-49 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

21 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

22 Fertility Preferences of Married Women
78% either want no more children or want to delay childbearing by at least 2 years, or are already sterilised or infecund. Almost half of women want no more children. More than three-quarters either want no more children, want to wait at least 2 years before their next birth or are already sterilised or are infecund. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

23 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Overall, more than 7 in 10 women either want to delay having another child or stop childbearing altogether. These women are potential contraceptive users for spacing and limiting. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

24 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Women are considered as having an unmet need for family planning if they are fecund and wish: to space their next birth OR to limit childbearing altogether BUT are not using contraception 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

25 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
12 percent of currently married women have an unmet need for family planning: 5% for spacing 7% for limiting 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

26 Demand for Family Planning among Currently Married Women
89% of the demand for FP is satisfied in Namibia. (Met need + unmet need) (Currently using) (Met need/ total demand) 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

27 Ideal Family Size Women report an ideal family size of 3.9 children.
Women want an average of 3.1 children, while men would like 3.9 children. Ideal family size is slightly higher in rural than in urban areas. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

28 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Birth Planning Distribution of births in the 5 years preceding the survey by birth planning status 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

29 Gap Between Wanted and Actual Fertility Rates
3.6 3.6 3.7 2.6 3.9 4.5 3.9 3.2 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

30 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc
Key Findings Women have on average 3.6 children. TFR has dropped dramatically in the last 20 years, but has remained relatively stable since 2002. Women have their first birth at a median age of 23.9. 73% of currently married women either want no more children or want to wait at least 2 years before their next child and 5% are already sterilized or infecund. 11% of married women have an unmet need for family planning. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

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