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Introduction to Macroeconomics
Chapter 21. Classical Macroeconomic Theory
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Chapter 21. Classical Macroeconomics
Cornerstones of Classical Theory Say’s Law Interest Rate flexibility Price-Wage flexibility Aggregate Supply Classical Theory and Policy Fiscal Policy Monetary Policy and the quantity theory of money
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Leakages and Injections
Investment Government Taxes Imports Injections Savings Government Spending Exports
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Supply Creates Its Own Demand
Say’s Law Supply Creates Its Own Demand From circular flow: income = expenditures if leakages = injections Economy will operate at full employment if real interest rate, prices and wages are flexible
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Interest Rate Flexibility
Real Interest Rate, Savings and Investment Savings - Investment Equilibrium Role of Interest Rate Flexibility
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Real Interest Rate Real Interest Rate =
Nominal Interest Rate - Expected Inflation Purchase 1-year T-bill $100,000 Earn 6% per year nominal interest ,000 Sell T-bill 1 year from now $106,000 If expected inflation is 4%, goods that cost $100,000 today will cost $104,000 one year from now Net profit 1 year from now $2,000 Real rate of return %
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Savings Positive Function of Real Interest Rate
Increase in Real Interest Rate r0 Increase in Savings S0 S1
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Investment Negative Function of Real Interest Rate
Increase in Real Interest Rate r0 Lower real interest rate makes more investment projects profitable and hence undertaken. Decrease in Investment I0 I1
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Savings - Investment Equilibrium
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Savings - Investment Equilibrium
AD = C + I + G + NX Assume no government (G = 0) no foreign trade (NX = 0) AD = Consumption + Investment Income = Consumption + Savings Substitute for Consumption: AD = (Income - Savings) + Investment Assume in equilibrium (Say’s Law): AD = Income Then in equilibrium: Savings = Investment
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Role of Interest Rate Flexibility
Unexpected reduction in Consumption expenditures (Savings increase) AD less than AS at full-employment output Interest rate declines Investment increases Savings decline -> Consumption increases (but not by as much as the original change) AD returns to original level Full-employment output maintained Composition of AD has changed
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Increase in Savings Rate Lower Real Interest Rate Increase in Investment
B r1 C Investment
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Price - Wage Flexibility
Unexpected decline in AD Prices fall (supply chasing fewer buyers) Purchasing power of money increases AD returns to original level full-employment output maintained composition of AD unchanged only thing that has changed are prices
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Aggregate Supply and Demand
Classical Aggregate Supply Aggregate Demand Full-employment output
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Classical Theory and Government Policy
Balance the Budget - deficit spending crowds out investment spending Keep Government Small - high taxes reduce incentive to work Laissez Faire - no government interference in economy Free Foreign Trade
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Quantity Theory of Money and Monetary Policy
M • V = P • Y M = money supply V = “velocity” of money P = average price level Y = real output Assume V is constant. Since Y is always at full-employment output, a change in M only changes P Monetary Policy ineffective in changing output
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