1. 1 About Scenario Planning Method of studying the most important driving forces affecting our futures. A team process that encourages exchange of knowledge and issues important to the future Planning with purpose to devise strategies to counter adversities and anticipate potential opportunities Delivering a set of scenarios and a set of strategies for each scenario

2. 2 Imagining Analysing Tracking Deciding Acting TAIDA MODEL – Sequential Steps

3. 3 Formulating Scenarios Identify a suitable group of stakeholders to contribute to the process Interview individually or as a group regarding future trends/events Map out the trends chronologically Convert the time line into a story or ‘scenario’ Illustrate main points with evidence Represent the scenario with a memorable name/image/diagram for most impact

4. 4 Scenario Planning System Determine time frame Merge/adapt Formulate strategies Monitor Set boundaries Identify Unpredictable and Uncontrollable forces Formulate scenarios

5. 5 Low Demand for Carnival Arts High Demand for Carnival Arts Reduced Funding for Carnival Arts Increased Funding for Carnival Arts All Signing All Dancing Drumming up Support Walking the Tightrope Tears of a Clown

6. 6 Your Scenarios Identify two axes of uncertainties or drivers for change? Name and describe (in brief) four possible scenarios.