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Under 15 and/or Institutionalized (5.3 million) Not in labor force (9.3 million) Employed (17.3 million) Unemployed (1.4 million) Total population (4.3 million) Labor force (18.7 million) Unemployment rate = 1.4 million 18.7 million X 100 = 7.4% Unemployment rate = # of unemployed labor force X 100 LO2 1©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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How the unemployment rate is understated: Part-Time Employment Statistics Discouraged Workers 2©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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Frictional Unemployment caused by workers voluntarily changing jobs and by temporary layoffs; unemployed workers between jobs Structural Unemployment caused by Changes over time in consumer demand and in technology alter the “structure” of the total demand for labour, both occupationally and geographically Cyclical Unemployment caused by a decline in total spending (or by insufficient aggregate demand) Seasonal Unemployment caused by seasonal factors 3©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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Natural rate of unemployment (NRU) NOT zero unemployment Occurs when there is no cyclical unemployment Not automatic Varies over time 4©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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GDP Gap GDP gap = actual GDP – potential GDP Can be negative or positive Okun’s Law Every 1% of cyclical unemployment creates a 2% GDP gap 5©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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6©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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Given for 2009: Unemployment rate is 8.3% Natural rate is 6.5% Potential GDP is $1360 billion What is the GDP gap? 8.3% 6.5% = 1.8% (gap in % terms) 1.8% X 2 = 3.6% (apply Okun’s Law) 3.6% of $1360 billion = $49 billion 7©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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Unequal Burdens Occupation Age Gender Education 8©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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9©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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Unemployment means idleness Increases poverty, heightens racial and ethnic tensions, and reduces hope for material advancement Severe unemployment can lead to rapid and violent social and political change higher unemployment linked to increases in suicide, homicide, and physical and mental illness 10©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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11©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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12©2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd.Chapter 7, LO2
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