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Economic, Demographic and Technological Change James W. Hughes, Dean 2014
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Home of the Edward J. Bloustein School
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Business CyclePhases Expansion: November 2001 - December 2007 (Great)Recession: December 2007 - June 2009: 18 months in length Current Expansion: June 2009 – September 2014: 63 months in length Average Duration of Post-WW II Expansions: 58 months
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U.S. Private-Sector Employment Change 2009-2013 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Employment change measured from December to December, seasonally adjusted.
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U.S. Private-Sector Employment Change 2009-2014 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. * Based on first 8 months ( December 2013 – August 2014). Note: Employment change measured from December to December, seasonally adjusted.
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Employment change measured from December to December, seasonally adjusted. New Jersey Private-Sector Employment Change 2009 - 2012
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. (*) Estimate based on data through June 2013. New Jersey Private-Sector Employment Change 2009 - 2013
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2013: Private-Sector Employment 2013: First 6 Months+31,400 jobs 2013: Last 6 Months -11,600 jobs 2013: Full Year +19,800 jobs
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Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Employment change measured from December to December, seasonally adjusted. New Jersey Private-Sector Employment Change 2009 - 2013
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2013: Private-Sector Employment 2013: First 6 Months+31,400 jobs 2013: Last 6 Months -11,600 jobs 2013: Full Year +19,800 jobs
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New Jersey Private Sector Employment Change Q1 2013 – Q2 2014 Source: New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development.
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New Jersey’s Economic Roller Coaster (Employment change for periods indicated) Source: New Jersey Department of Labor. Note: ( ) indicates employment loss.
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Obsolete Industrial Plant
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The Great 1980s Office Building Boom
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Suburban Office Agglomeration
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Information Technology Eras Pre- and Early-PC 1981IBM PC Introduced8088 microprocessor chip 1983IBM XT 1984IBM AT80286 microprocessor chip 198680386 microprocessor chip 198980486 1993Pentium80586 PC Intense – Fiber Optic 1995Window to the Internet Mobile Internet – Untethered 2007iPhone 2008Affordable Powerful Notebooks 2010iPad 2011- 2012 Widespread availability of 4G LTE
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386 Microprocessor
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Information Technology Eras Pre- and Early-PC 1981IBM PC Introduced8088 microprocessor chip 1983IBM XT 1984IBM AT80286 microprocessor chip 198680386 microprocessor chip 198980486 1993Pentium80586 PC Intense – Fiber Optic 1995Window to the Internet Mobile Internet – Untethered 2007iPhone 2008Affordable Powerful Notebooks 2010iPad 2011- 2012 Widespread availability of 4G LTE
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Information Technology Eras Pre- and Early-PC 1981IBM PC Introduced8088 microprocessor chip 1983IBM XT 1984IBM AT80286 microprocessor chip 198680386 microprocessor chip 198980486 1993Pentium80586 PC Intense – Fiber Optic 1995Window to the Internet Mobile Internet – Untethered 2007iPhone 2008Affordable Powerful Notebooks 2010iPad 2011- 2012 Widespread availability of 4G LTE
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Maturing Baby Boom – Redefining Maturity Echo-Boomers/Gen Y/Millennials – Redefining the Workforce/Workplace AT
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The Postwar Baby Boom: 1946-1964
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The Largest Generation in U.S. History
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Tract-House Suburban New Jerseye Suburban N.J. Source: The New York Times
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McMansion
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Serious Serious Middle-Aging
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BABY BOOM: REINVENTING MATURITYaby Boom Reinventing Maturity 2011: First Boomer turned 65 years of age 2014: All Boomers between 50 and 68 years of age 2015: Fully one-half of all Boomers will be in their 60s 2016: First Boomers will turn 70 years of age
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We will not fade away quietly! Source: Christian Science Monitor
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The The Eventual Slowdown Slowdown
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Baby Boomer in Retirementn Retirement
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Beach Boys: Little Deuce Coupe
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The Invasion of the Stroller People
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Echo Boom: 1977-1995oom: 1977-1995
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Generation “Y” Today
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The Digerati
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Girl-Boy Brooklyn Hipsters
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1970s George and Albany Streets
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2000s: George and Albany
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1970s: MP 54 Electric MU Cars Electric MU Cars
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1970s: Interior Seating
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No Cellphones or Tablets – Just Print
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2000s: NJ Transit Bi-Level Cars
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2000s: Interior Seating
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Prototypical 1970s Subway Car
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1970s Interior
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New 2000s Subway Fleet
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Interior
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1970s:11970s Destination: Times Square Seedy Times Square
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2000s Times Square
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Merck Headquarters in Whitehouse Station: Stranded Asset in Whitehouse Station
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BASF in BASF – Mount Olive – Stranded Asset 2ve Source: Bing Maps 2011.
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Aetna Construction Completed 1983
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Home of the Edward J. Bloustein School
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