1. Progression at Pupil, School and National Levels Workshop 14 DCSF Conference: The Use of Evidence in Policy Development and Delivery 9th February 2010

2. What the Data Tells Us Tanya McCormack Schools Analysis and Research Division, DCSF

3. Pupil Progress Rates Vary by Prior Attainment… Percentage of pupils progressing from average level at Key Stage 2 to GCSE thresholds Percentage of pupils making 3 levels of progress in English and Maths from KS2 to KS4 Source: SARD; 2008 KS4 data

4. …and a range of characteristics  Boys, deprived children, those with special educational needs and mobile pupils all progress at lower rates than their peers from Key Stage 2 to 4;  Girls, and those with English as an additional language progress at a higher rate than their peers from Key Stage 2 to 4.

5. Ethnic Groups with a lower proportion of FSM pupils generally achieve higher thresholds Source: SARD; 2008 KS4 data

6. White FSM Boys Make the Least Progress Source: SARD; 2008 KS4 data

7. Risky Behaviours have an Increasingly Detrimental Effect on Progress Percentage of pupils making 3 levels of Progress in Mathematics from Key Stage 2 to Key Stage 4, by Risk Factors Risky behaviours include: (i) being a frequent smoker; (ii) drinking alcohol 3 or more times a month; (iii) playing truant within the previous 12 months; (iv) trying cannabis; (v) graffitiing on walls; (vi) vandalising public property, (vii) shoplifting and; (viii) taking part in fighting or public disturbances.

8. Progress by School Deprivation Progress from the Expected Level at Key Stage 2 to 5+A*-C E&M by School FSM-band Source: SARD, 2008 data Least Deprived Schools Most Deprived Schools

9. Progress by School Type Progress from the Expected Level at Key Stage 2 to 5+A*-C E&M by School Type and Deprivation

10. Key Stage 1 Attainment is a strong predictor of Key Stage 4 Attainment 85% of pupils at Level or above at KS1 went on to meet the 5A*-C including English and Maths threshold, compared to 7% of those at Level 1; Poor performance at KS1 appears to exclude the possibility of very high performance at GCSE. 01% of those at Level 1 at KS1 achieved 3 A/A* grades at GCSE. Source: SARD; 2008 data

11. For Every Combination of Prior Attainment, FSM Pupils are Less Likely to Meet 5A*-C E&M Key Stage 1 attainment Key Stage 2 attainment BelowLevel 3Level 4Level 5 Not FSMFSM Not FSMFSM Not FSMFSM Not FSMFSM Below *** 1113 *** Level 1 *** 2220146963 Level 2C *** 32291981 Level 2B *** 4342288775 Level 2A *** 5457389179 Level 3+ *** 10***71529585 Percentage of pupils getting to the 5A*-C English and Maths threshold from each combination of Key Stage 1 & 2 prior attainment, by FSM Source: SARD; 2008 data

12. Focusing on Progression Val McGregor Lead Advisor for Tuition and Making Good Progress

13. Teaching for Progression Progress for all Progression premium Progression targets Single level tests Assessment and tracking Individual tuition End Making Good Progress

14. One-to-One Tuition - selection criteria  Pupils who entered the key stage below age related expectations  Pupils who are falling behind trajectory during the latter stages of a key stage  Looked after children who would particularly benefit from this support This selection must not exclude pupils because they are considered harder to reach and/or are considered to have behaviour issues

15. One-to-One Tuition - the parameters  One to one  10 hours (plus 2 hours liaison/planning/training)  Suggested minimum of one hour per session  Delivered by a qualified tutor  Based on targets agreed between class teacher, tutor and pupil  Not a replacement for other intervention strategies but part of available suite  Can be delivered flexibly during or outside the school day

16. Tutored pupils keep up The final report of Making Good Progress found tuition had a positive impact on pupil progress. In particular:  Tutored pupils with the lowest KS1 results outperformed their peers at KS2;  In reading, pupils progressed in line with their peers – a significant achievement given they were selected for tuition because they were stuck in their learning.  75% teachers surveyed confirmed the impact of tuition on pupil progression.

17. 2009 KS2 attainment of pupils in MGP schools eligible for FSM and receiving one-to-one tuition in English

18. One-to-One Tuition – early feedback......  An hour is too long  Pupils would prefer one to two or three  Pupils will not want to stay after school or have sessions at the weekend  Young pupils will be too tired at the end of the day  Pupils will be stigmatised  You can’t deliver tuition during the school day  You can’t send a tutor to the pupil’s home

19. And some further questions..... We are currently exploring the following:  What does good quality one-to-one tuition look like in different key stages?...in different subjects...?  In what ways should we measure impact? Are there other questions that we should be considering?

20. Further Information The Research Report ‘Measuring Progress at Pupil, School and National Levels’ can be found on the DCSF Research and Statistics Gateway here: http://www.dcsf.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/RRP/u015807/index.shtml The Final Report on the ‘Evaluation of the Making Good Progress Pilot’ can be found here: http://www.dcsf.gov.uk/research/data/uploadfiles/DCSF-RR184.pdf Tanya.McCormack@dcsf.gsi.gov.uk Val.McGregor@dcsf.gsi.gov.uk