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International Workshop on Population Projections using Census Data 14 – 16 January 2013 Beijing, China
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Session VII: Presentation of the results of projections Guidelines and tools for the preparation of results Presentation of country projections by participants
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How to present the results of population projections General guidelines – how to get the message cross Preparing a report Visual aids Presentation Media
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Large amounts of data Published in a number of different ways – A press release – An executive summary – A full report, sometimes with a number of annexes. Population Projection – Presenting Results
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Getting the message cross Who is your target audience? General public Government experts Statistics Press release Technical report Others ???
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Getting the Message Cross Why should my audience want to know/read about this? – Internet age, short attention span – The “snack culture”
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Telling a Statistical Story Is there a story? – What have you found? – How does it impact daily life? – Stories: Social security not sustainable for the long term World population growth will occur in urban areas – Non-stories: X The report is published today... X Population projection is prepared …
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Telling a Statistical Story Compelling headlines – The highest since, the lowest since … – Something new – The first time, a record, a continuing trend – Examples: Gasoline prices hit 10-year high Crime down for a third year in a row July oil prices levelled off in August
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Compelling Headlines
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Telling a Statistical Story Write like a journalist – the ‘inverted’ pyramid Main findings Details about the study Data, assumptions, analysis Introduction, purpose of study Data, assumptions, analysis Conclusions/findings Right-side-upInverted
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Telling a Statistical Story Make the number “stick” – Don’t peel off the onion, get to the point – Avoid proportions in bracket
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Make the number “stick” (cont.) – Avoid changing denominators – Reduce big numbers to understandable levels
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Technical Report - Elements Title page Table of contents Motivation and objectives Data source and assumptions Findings Conclusions and recommendations
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Technical Report - Canada
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Charts Maps Other? Visual Aids
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Source: US Census Bureau Explaining Assumptions
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Projected vs Observed
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Projections by scenario Estimated and projected world population according to different variants, 1950-2100 (billions) Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York
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Showing the Contrast Population of Europe, Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa (millions) Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2011): World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York
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Pyramid
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Pyramid - 2 in 1
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Pyramid - Animated
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Thematic Maps Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision. New York 2012
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Source: http://www.planning.sa.gov.au/instantatlas/ageingatlas/atlas.htmlhttp://www.planning.sa.gov.au/instantatlas/ageingatlas/atlas.html Interactive Maps
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Printed documents Online presence PowerPoint Movies (YouTube, etc.) Blogs Social media Presenting results - Media
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Presentation of country projection by participants
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Thank you
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