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Published byMaurice Hobbins Modified over 9 years ago
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Update on the Kentucky Economy Churchill Tax Free Fund Annual Shareholders Meeting April 25, 2008
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2 High gasoline prices Subprime lending crisis/banking Housing weakness Slowdown in GDP Nationally – It was quite a year
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3 To see what’s happened in Kentucky’s economy Let’s put it in a historical context
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4 Kentucky’s Economy “A Quick History” 1980-1984Major Recession Heavy job loss 1984-2000Strong job growth Strong income growth Employment/Income growth greater than U.S.
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5 THEN November 2000 – The light switch... July 2003 – Job losses Manufacturing Telecommunications Utilities
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6 UPDATE 2004 – 2007 Decent growth-Not great Growth in business services Growth in health care Some defense related growth COAL Loss of manufacturing jobs
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7 KY Employment is Growing Strongly March 2000: 1,831.6 July 2003: 1,775.3 March 2006: 1,839.7 Nonfarm employment in thousands January 2007: 1,854.3 March 2007: 1,858.8 December 2007: 1,857.3
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8 Manufacturing Employment in KY Continues to be a Concern in thousands January 2006: 261.8 December 2007: 252.7
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9 Employment Gain +3,000 jobs (+0.2%) Manufacturing -8,200 jobs (-3.1%) So, we continue in trading jobs Manufacturing (high wage) For Services (some high, some low) Healthcare Business Retail Income growth, but less than National average Update 2007
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10 Kentucky Outlook Continued modest employment growth (Less than 1.0%) OK income growth (Around 5%) Below U.S. Housing slow Energy concerns Continued state budget issues Expenditure side of budget Pension Liability Other And We Will Try One More Time to Guess the Future
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11 More of the Same OK – Not Great
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