1. Lecture 8,9 – Linear Methods for Classification Rice ELEC 697 Farinaz Koushanfar Fall 2006

2. Summary Bayes Classifiers Linear Classifiers Linear regression of an indicator matrix Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) Logistic regression Separating hyperplanes Reading (ch4, ELS)

3. Bayes Classifier The marginal distributions of G are specified as PMF p G (g), g=1,2,…,K f X|G (x|G=g) shows the conditional distribution of X for G=g The training set (x i,g i ),i=1,..,N has independent samples from the joint distribution f X,G (x,g) –f X,G (x,g) = p G (g)f X|G (x|G=g) The loss of predicting G * for G is L(G *,G) Classification goal: minimize the expected loss –E X,G L(G(X),G)=E X (E G|X L(G(X),G))

4. Bayes Classifier (cont’d) It suffices to minimize E G|X L(G(X),G) for each X. The optimal classifier is: –G(x) = argmin g E G|X=x L(g,G) The Bayes rule is also known as the rule of maximum a posteriori probability –G(x) = argmax g Pr(G=g|X=x) Many classification algorithms estimate the Pr(G=g|X=x) and then apply the Bayes rule Bayes classification rule

5. More About Linear Classification Since predictor G(x) take values in a discrete set G, we can divide the input space into a collection of regions labeled according to classification For K classes (1,2,…,K), and the fitted linear model for k-th indicator response variable is The decision boundary b/w k and l is: An affine set or hyperplane: Model discriminant function  k (x) for each class, then classify x to the class with the largest value for  k (x)

6. Linear Decision Boundary We require that monotone transformation of  k or Pr(G=k|X=x) be linear Decision boundaries are the set of points with log-odds=0 Prob. of class 1: , prob. of class 2: 1-  Apply a transformation:: log[  /(1-  )]=  0 +  T x Two popular methods that use log-odds –Linear discriminant analysis, linear logistic regression Explicitly model the boundary b/w two classes as linear. For a two-class problem with p-dimensional input space, this is modeling decision boundary as a hyperplane Two methods using separating hyperplanes –Perceptron - Rosenblatt, optimally separating hyperplanes - Vapnik

7. Generalizing Linear Decision Boundaries Expand the variable set X 1,…,X p by including squares and cross products, adding up to p(p+1)/2 additional variables

8. Linear Regression of an Indicator Matrix For K classes, K indicators Y k, k=1,…,K, with Y k =1, if G=k, else 0 Indicator response matrix

9. Linear Regression of an Indicator Matrix (Cont’d) For N training data, form N  K indicator response matrix Y, a matrix of 0’s and 1’s A new observation is classified as follows: –Compute the fitted output (K vector) - –Identify the largest component and classify accordingly: But… how good is the fit? –Verify  k  G f k (x)=1 for any x –f k (x) can be negative or larger than 1 We can allow linear regression into basis expansion of h(x) As the size of training set increases, adaptively add more basis

10. Linear Regression - Drawback For K  3, especially for large K

11. Linear Regression - Drawback For large K and small p, masking can naturally occur E.g. Vowel recognition data in 2D subspace, K=11, p=10 dimensions

12. Linear Regression and Projection * A linear regression function (here in 2D) Projects each point x=[x 1 x 2 ] T to a line parallel to W 1 We can study how well the projected points {z 1,z 2,…,z n }, viewed as functions of w 1, are separated across the classes * Slides Courtesy of Tommi S. Jaakkola, MIT CSAIL

13. Linear Regression and Projection A linear regression function (here in 2D) Projects each point x=[x 1 x 2 ] T to a line parallel to W 1 We can study how well the projected points {z 1,z 2,…,z n }, viewed as functions of w 1, are separated across the classes

14. Projection and Classification By varying w 1 we get different levels of separation between the projected points

15. Optimizing the Projection We would like to find the w 1 that somehow maximizes the separation of the projected points across classes We can quantify the separation (overlap) in terms of means and variations of the resulting 1-D class distribution

16. Fisher Linear Discriminant: Preliminaries Class description in  d –Class 0: n 0 samples, mean  0, covariance  0 –Class 1: n 1 samples, mean  1, covariance  1 Projected class descriptions in  –Class 0: n 0 samples, mean  0 T w 1, covariance w 1 T  0 w 1 –Class 1: n 1 samples, mean  1 T w 1, covariance w 1 T  1 w 1

17. Fisher Linear Discriminant Estimation criterion: find w 1 that maximizes The solution (class separation) is decision theoretically optimal for two normal populations with equal covariances (  1 =  0 )

18. Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA)  k class prior Pr(G=k) Function f k (x)=density of X in class G=k Bayes Theorem: Leads to LDA, QDA, MDA (mixture DA), Kernel DA, Naïve Bayes Suppose that we model density as a MVG: LDA is when we assume the classes have a common covariance matrix:  k =  k. It’s sufficient to look at log-odds

19. LDA Log-odds function implies decision boundary b/w k and l: Pr(G=k|X=x)=Pr(G=l|X=x) – linear in x; in p dimensions a hyperplane Example: three classes and p=2

20. LDA (Cont’d)

21. In practice, we do not know the parameters of Gaussian distributions. Estimate w/ training set –N k is the number of class k data – For two classes, this is like linear regression

22. QDA If  k ’s are not equal, the quadratic terms in x remain; we get quadratic discriminant functions (QDA)

23. QDA (Cont’d) The estimates are similar to LDA, but each class has a separate covariance matrices For large p  dramatic increase in parameters In LDA, there are (K-1)(p+1) parameters For QDA, there are (K-1)  {1+p(p+3)/2} LDA and QDA both work really well This is not because the data is Gaussian, rather, for simple decision boundaries, Gaussian estimates are stable Bias-variance trade-off

24. Regularized Discriminent Analysis A compromise b/w LDA and QDA. Shrink separate covariances of QDA towards a common covariance (similar to Ridge Reg.)

25. Example - RDA

26. Computations for LDA Suppose we compute the eigen decomposition for  k, i.e. U k is p  p orthonormal, D k diagonal matrix of positive eigenvalues d kl. Then, The LDA classifier is implemented as: X*  D -1/2 U T X, where  =UDU T. The common covariance estimate of X* is identity Classify to the closest class centroid in the transformed space, modulo the effect of the class prior probabilities  k

27. Background: Simple Decision Theory * Suppose we know the class-conditional densities p(X|y) for y=0,1 as well as the overall class frequencies P(y) How do we decide which class a new example x’ belongs to so as to minimize the overall probability of error? * Courtesy of Tommi S. Jaakkola, MIT CSAIL

28. Background: Simple Decision Theory Suppose we know the class-conditional densities p(X|y) for y=0,1 as well as the overall class frequencies P(y) How do we decide which class a new example x’ belongs to so as to minimize the overall probability of error?

29. 2-Class Logistic Regression The optimal decisions are based on the posterior class probabilities P(y|x). For binary classification problems, we can write these decisions as We generally don’t know P(y|x) but we can parameterize the possible decisions according to

30. 2-Class Logistic Regression (Cont’d) Our log-odds model Gives rise to a specific form for the conditional probability over the labels (the logistic model): Where Is a logistic squashing function That turns linear predictions into probabilities

31. 2-Class Logistic Regression: Decisions Logistic regression models imply a linear decision boundary

32. K-Class Logistic Regression The model is specified in terms of K-1 log-odds or logit transformations (reflecting the constraint that the probabilities sum to one) The choice of denominator is arbitrary, typically last class …..

33. K-Class Logistic Regression (Cont’d) The model is specified in terms of K-1 log-odds or logit transformations (reflecting the constraint that the probabilities sum to one) A simple calculation shows that To emphasize the dependence on the entire parameter set  ={  10,  1 T,…,  (K-1)0,  T (K-1) }, we denote the probabilities as Pr(G=k|X=x) = p k (x;  )

34. Fitting Logistic Regression Models

35. IRLS is equivalent to Newton-Raphson procedure

36. Fitting Logistic Regression Models IRLS algorithm (equivalent to Newton-Raphson) –Initialize . –Form Linearized response: –Form weights w i =p i (1-p i ) –Update  by weighted LS of z i on x i with weights w i –Steps 2-4 repeated until convergence

37. Example – Logistic Regression South African Heart Disease: –Coronary risk factor study (CORIS) baseline survey, carried out in three rural areas. –White males b/w 15 and 64 –Response: presence or absence of myocardial infarction –Maximum likelihood fit:

38. Example – Logistic Regression South African Heart Disease:

39. Logistic Regression or LDA? LDA: This linearity is a consequence of the Gaussian assumption for the class densities, as well as the assumption of a common covariance matrix. Logistic model They use the same form for the logit function

40. Logistic Regression or LDA? Discriminative vs informative learning: logistic regression uses the conditional distribution of Y given x to estimate parameters, while LDA uses the full joint distribution (assuming normality). If normality holds, LDA is up to 30% more efficient; o/w logistic regression can be more robust. But the methods are similar in practice.

41. Separating Hyperplanes

42. Perceptrons: compute a linear combination of the input features and return the sign For x 1,x 2 in L,  T (x 1 -x 2 )=0  *=  /||  || normal to surface L For x 0 in L,  T x 0 = -  0 The signed distance of any point x to L is given by

43. Rosenblatt's Perceptron Learning Algorithm Finds a separating hyperplane by minimizing the distance of misclassified points to the decision boundary If a response y i =1 is misclassified, then x i T  +  0 <0, and the opposite for misclassified point y i =-1 The goal is to minimize

44. Rosenblatt's Perceptron Learning Algorithm (Cont’d) Stochastic gradient descent The misclassified observations are visited in some sequence and the parameters  updated  is the learning rate, can be 1 w/o loss of generality It can be shown that algorithm converges to a separating hyperplane in a finite number of steps

45. Optimal Separating Hyperplanes Problem

46. Example - Optimal Separating Hyperplanes