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Overview of Land Markets Survey Conducted by NAR Research for the REALTORS® Land Institute Lawrence Yun, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist Jed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research Gay Cororaton, Research Economist August 2014
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Survey Conducted July 9 – July 31, 2014 REALTORS® Land Institute Survey. – Surveyed 1,000 members plus approximately 9,500 non-members. – 629 responses. 542 respondents provided information on membership: o 63 percent from RLI; o 80 percent are NAR members; o 13 percent are CCIM members; o 35 percent have other memberships (e.g., ABR, ALC, ASFMRA, CIPS, CRB, CRS, CRE, GRI, SIOR, TAR, ULI, Society of American Foresters ) Characteristics about the sale pertain to the most recent land sale transaction of the respondent.
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Highlights of the NAR-RLI Land Business Survey Regions 3 (KY, TN, NC SC, GA, AL, MS, FL) and 4 ( KS, MO, AR, LA, OK, TX) accounted for approximately 69 percent of respondents. Major practice areas: Agricultural (69 percent of respondents), and Recreation (59 percent of respondents). Transaction and price growth, past year: 4 percent. Individuals/families: 58 percent of buyers. Days on market varied-- from 60 days for irrigated agricultural land to 237 days for commercial land. Financing: on average, 31 percent of the transaction is financed.
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RLI Regions 3 and 4: Locations of Much of Activity
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Agriculture and Recreation: Leading Practice Areas
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Land Sales
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Type of Seller in the Most Recent Land Sales*
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Price Growth, Past 12 Months (July 2013-2014) Median Price Change: 4 Percent; Mean Price Change: 4 Percent
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Sales Growth, Past 12 Months (July 2013-2014) Median Percent Sales Growth: 4 Percent Mean Percent Sales Growth: 4 Percent
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Agriculture and Recreation 46 Percent of Most Recent Sales Transactions
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Types of Land Most Recently Sold by Region* Percent of Sales Transactions
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Median Acres of Most Recent Land Sale Variation by Region and Land Type
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Irrigated Land Transactions 44 Percent in Region 5; 14 Percent Overall Pricing for Agricultural Land: $5,600 per acre. Price varies widely for irrigated land vs. non- irrigated. – Irrigated--Very expensive in California and Iowa. – Irrigated--Less Expensive elsewhere Accordingly, prices are not broken out on following slides for irrigated vs. non- irrigated land.
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Median Price of Most Recent Land Transaction Variation by Region and Land Type
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Mineral Rights Conveyed in 60 Percent of Most Recent Land Sale Transactions
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Land Sales Transactions With Mineral Rights Variation by Region and Land Type
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Type of Land Most Recently Sold Individual/Family
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Type of Land Most Recently Sold Corporations/Partnerships
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Individual and Corporate Sellers: Majority from Regions 3 and 4
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Purchases
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Individuals/Families: The Major Buyers
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Major Types of Land Transactions Individual/Family Buyers: Recreation and Agriculture
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Major Types of Land Transactions Corporations/Partnerships: Commercial and Development
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Major Types of Land Transactions Expansion Farmers: Agriculture
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Major Types of Land Transactions Investors: Diversified
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Regional Purchases Individual/Family Buyers Corporations/Partnerships
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Regional Purchases Expansion Farmers Investors
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Market Details
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Median Days on Market, By Region and Type of Land
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Transaction Financing On Average, 31 Percent of the Land Value is Financed
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Transaction Financing by Type of Land
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Major Conclusions Most Prevalent Type of Land by Buyer – Individual buyers -> agriculture, recreation – Corp/partnerships-> development, commercial – Expansion farmers-> agriculture – Investors-> diversified across types of land – 1031 Exchange –> agriculture, ranch – Foreign buyers –> ranch, recreation – Others -> development Most Prevalent Type of Land By Region: – Region 1: development, recreation – Region 2: agriculture – Region 3: timber/ranch, recreation, – Region 4: Timber/ranch, agriculture, recreation – Region 5: agriculture, timber/ranch
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Major Conclusions Price, Financing, and Market Growth Median Price: $5,125 per acre with Great Variability – Agri, irrigated: $6,000 ; Agri, non-irrigated: $5,500 – Timber:$2,075 ; Ranch: $4,150 – Recreation: $3,000; Development: $40,000 – Commercial $96,875 ; Other: $9,125 Median Number of Acres in Transaction: 81 with Great Variability – Agri, irrigated: 160; Agri, non-irrigated: 117 – Timber: 202; Ranch: 294 – Recreation: 81; Development: 17 – Commercial: 5 ; Other: 23
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Major Conclusions Price, Financing, and Market Growth Median days On Market: 120 days with Great Variability. – Agri,irrig: 60 ; Agri,non-irrig: 73 – Timber: 120; Ranch: 153 – Recreation: 150; Development: 123 – Commercial: 237 ; Other: 180 Irrigated land: 14 percent of most recent sales. Mineral rights: Conveyed in 60 percent of sales.
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Major Conclusions Price, Financing, and Market Growth On average, 31 percent of Transaction Value is financed. Market Growth Over Past Year. – Median prices have changed typically at 0 to 5 percent. – Sales have changed typically also at 0 to 5 percent.
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