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Published byKaleigh Jago Modified over 9 years ago
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Green & Gold Fund Recommendation: Buy D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)
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Housing market indicators are strong Room for recovery Housing recovery began in mid 2011 Financially sound Overall, better than competitors Key Investment Points
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Homebuilders and mortgage financiers Major companies DHI, PHM, MDC, RYL, NVR, KBH, LEN Home construction, sale, and financing Also some deal in land acquisition and development Industry Overview
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Housing Starts
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Housing Market Index
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Construction Spending
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S&P Case-Shiller HPI
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New Home Sales
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Housing Starts (16 April) 1.04 M (BC, prior.917 M) Housing Market Index (15 April) 42 (MC, prior 44) Construction Spending (1 April) M/M 1.2% (BC, prior M/M -2.1% S&P Case-Shiller HPI (26 March) M/M 1.0% (C, prior M/M 0.9%) New Home Sales (23 April) 417K (MC, prior 411K rev.) Economic Data Summary
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Homebuilding and Financing Constructs, sells, and finances homes Domestic market Acquired Breland Homes (2012) 2011 Revenue: $130 M Q2 2013 DHI Earnings 26 April at 10:00 AM Eastern Previous Close24.69 1 Year Target Price24.00 – 26.00 52 Week Range14.37 – 25.56 Average Volume (3M) 6.02 M Market Cap.$7.06 B P/E (ttm)8.49 EPS (ttm)2.8 Dividend and Yield0.15 (0.60%) Beta1.27 Employees3,500 DHI Company Profile
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DHI Price Chart
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DHI vs S&P vs XHB
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DHI Financials
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Low numbers leading up to the housing crash Recovering numbers coinciding with the better housing numbers Sales, revenue, net income, etc. are all expected to rise DHI Financials
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CompanyMarket Cap. P/EPrice to Book Dividend (Yield) TD/TAROAROIROEProfit Margin DHI7.72 B8.492.100.15 (.64)34.415.218.530.821.96 MDC1.77 B28.31.992.0 (2.78)42.23.33.577.045.21 NVR4.95 B26.03.33023.28.2410.512.75.66 RYL1.90 B52.03.640.12 (.30)58.72.412.908.813.24 TOL5.70 B11.91.84036.58.6710.117.125.9 PHM7.61 B36.83.4301153.033.461015.7 KBH1.84 B5.110.14 (.46)67.3-2.32-2.5-15-3.8 LEN7.97 B12.52.320.16 (.39)48.66.747.3421.916.01 Comparison to Industry
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SWOT Analysis Strengths Increase in Sales Order Backlogs Specialized Home Builders Integrated Operations Weaknesses Weak Profitability Indicators Business Concentration: the United States Opportunities Rising Demand of Senior Housing in the United States Growth Trends: Echo Boomer Population Real Estate Market Outlook: United States Threats Intense Competition Stringent Government Regulations Global Economic Scenario
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We should own DHI because: Housing market still has much room to recover DHI has good financials and can capitalize on the recovery Beware of financial news indicating slowdown Investment Thesis
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Sector : Industrials and Materials Industry Group: Residential Construction Current Holdings: UPS, GE, XLI, GDX, XYL, and SAND Buy 250 shares of DHI at $24.00 (approximately $6000.00, 1.09% of portfolio) Current Portfolio and Recommendation SectorTarget Allocation Current Allocation Remaining Allocation Industrials6.19%5.77%0.4% Materials2.04%3.61%-1.6%
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