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Inventory Control Models

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1 Inventory Control Models
Part II Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

2 The Production Order Quantity Model
USED WHENEVER THE VENDOR CANNOT DELIVER THE ORDER ( Q* ) ALL IN ONE DAY OR USED WHENEVER THE FACTORY CANNOT PRODUCE THE ORDER ( Q* ) ALL IN ONE DAY

3 Variable Interpretations
Service Sector Manufacturing P or p The delivery rate of purchased items P or p The production rate of manufactured items

4 Variable Interpretations
Service Sector Manufacturing Qp* Qp* The optimal EOQ when purchased items are received in partial shipments The optimal EOQ when manufactured items cannot all be produced in a single day

5 Production Order Quantity Model Cycle Chart
Graphically depicts the relationship between Maximum Inventory Level ( IMAX ) Replenishment Rate ( P ) Consumption Rate ( D ) Time Cycle Charts enhance understanding of basic inventory concepts

6 Production Order Quantity Model Cycle Chart
SAW TOOTH VERSION REPLENISHMENT RATE MAXIMUM INVENTORY LEVEL CONSUMPTION RATE ONLY UNITS P D P D CONSUMPTION OCCURS EVEN AS REPLENISHMENT IS TAKING PLACE AVERAGE INVENTORY LEVEL ELAPSED TIME

7 Production Order Quantity Model Cycle Chart
SAW TOOTH VERSION REPLENISHMENT RATE MAXIMUM INVENTORY LEVEL CONSUMPTION RATE ONLY INVENTORY LEVEL PEAKS AT THIS POINT UNITS P D P D An EOQ of 100 units is delivered at the rate of 20 units per week over five weeks AVERAGE INVENTORY LEVEL INVENTORY FALLS TO ZERO OR REORDER POINT ELAPSED TIME

8 CYCLE CHART DISCUSSION
The replenishment rate ( P or p ) is diminished by the consumption rate ( D or d ). Average inventory will always be less than [ Q* / 2 ] . Average inventory is essentially [ IMAX / 2 ] .

9 Production Order Quantity Formula
THE FINITE CORRECTION FACTOR PRODUCES A LARGER VALUE OF Q* IN ORDER TO COMPENSATE FOR PIECEMEAL REPLENISHMENT AND CONSUMER DEMAND 2DS H [ 1 – d / p ] Qp* = THE CONSUMPTION OR USAGE RATE ( D ) THE REPLENISHMENT OR PRODUCTION RATE ( P )

10 Production Order Quantity Model EXAMPLE
DA = 1000 units ( annual demand ) S = $10.00 ( cost per order ) H = $.50 ( annual unit carry cost ) P = 8 units ( daily supply rate ) D = 6 units ( daily usage rate ) How many units should be ordered at a time? How long to receive the entire order?

11 Production Order Quantity Model SOLUTION
2(1000)(10.00) .50 [ 1 – 6 / 8 ] Qp* = 20,000 .50 [ .25 ] = = 160,000 = 400 units

12 The Basic EOQ Model SOLUTION
2(1000)(10.00) .50 Q* = 20,000 .50 40,000 = 200 units = = Q* IS ONLY HALF OF WHAT IT WAS UNDER THE PRODUCTION ORDER QUANTITY MODEL

13 Production Order Quantity Model EXAMPLE
ORDER RECEIPT TIME PERIOD ( t ) Qp* P t = = = 50 days

14 Production Order Quantity Model EXAMPLE
TOTAL VARIABLE COSTS ( TVC ) Q*p D D 1 - TVC = X H + X S X 2 P Q*p 400 6 1,000 X 1 - X .50 + X = 8 2 400 = [ 200 x (.25)(.50) ] + [ 2.5 x ] = [ ] + [ ] = $50.00

15 Post Solution Comments
The Qp* must be larger than Q* since it is being drawn down even as it arrives on a piecemeal basis. The larger Qp* produces no increase in carry costs. Annual carry costs are actually less than they are under the basic EOQ model ( Q* ) . “P” and “D” can be expressed as daily, weekly, monthly, and annual figures without changing the value of the finite correction factor [1-d/p]

16 Production Order Quantity Model

17 WE SELECT THE “INVENTORY”
MODULE

18 WE SELECT THE “PRODUCTION ORDER
QUANTITY MODEL”

19 THE DIALOGUE BOX ALLOWS US TO INSERT A TITLE FOR THIS PROBLEM

20 THE DATA INPUT TABLE APPEARS

21 DAILY REPLENISHMENT RATE = 8 UNITS DAILY CONSUMPTION RATE = 6 UNITS
ANNUAL DEMAND = 1,000 UNITS ORDER COST = $10.00 UNIT CARRY COST = $.50 DAILY REPLENISHMENT RATE = 8 UNITS DAILY CONSUMPTION RATE = 6 UNITS

22 Optimal Order Quantity
Total Variable Costs

23 Total Variable Cost Annual Carry Cost Annual Order Cost

24 Production Order Quantity Model

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26

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28 Template and Sample Data

29

30 Sensitivity Analysis also shows the optimal solution

31 The Backorder Inventory Model
USED WHENEVER THE FIRM IS APPEALING TO ITS CUSTOMERS TO BUY AND THEN WAIT FOR THEIR PURCHASES UNTIL A NEW SHIPMENT ( Q* ) IS ORDERED AND RECEIVED

32 Backorder Model Variables
Backorder cost – B Optimal number of backorders – S* Optimal order quantity under a backordering scenario – Qb* Number of units going into stock after all backorders have been filled – b or [ Qb* - S* ]

33 Backorder Model Cycle Chart
Optimal Order Quantity, Optimal Number of Backorders, Remaining Units Going Into Stock after Backorders Have Been Filled Graphically depicts the relationship between Cycle charts enhance understanding of basic inventory concepts

34 Backorder Model Cycle Chart PICKET FENCE VERSION
Q* or EOQ b = Q*- S* POSITIVE INVENTORY INITIAL CYCLE CYCLE 2 CYCLE 3 CYCLE 4 NEGATIVE INVENTORY S*

35 Backorder Model Cycle Chart PICKET FENCE VERSION
88 UNITS GO INTO INVENTORY AFTER THE FOUR STOCKOUTS HAVE BEEN FILLED Q* or EOQ = 92 units b = Q*- S* = 88 units ASSUME AN EOQ OF 92 UNITS POSITIVE INVENTORY THIS MODEL ASSUMES THAT THE NEW EOQ IS ORDERED WHEN BACKORDERS EQUAL FOUR UNITS INITIAL CYCLE CYCLE 2 CYCLE 3 CYCLE 4 THE FIRM ALLOWS BACKORDERS TO REACH 4 UNITS NEGATIVE INVENTORY S* = 4 UNITS

36 Backorder Model Formula
OPTIMAL ORDER QUANTITY IN BACKORDER-TOLERATED SITUATIONS ANNUAL CARRY COST PER UNIT H UNIT BACKORDER COST

37 Backorder Model Formula
THE OPTIMAL NUMBER OF BACKORDERS OPTIMAL ORDER QUANTITY UNDER BACKORDERING UNIT BACKORDER COST

38 The Backorder Model EXAMPLE
DA = 500 units ( annual demand ) S = $4.00 ( order cost ) H = $ .50 ( annual unit carry cost ) B = $10.00 ( unit backorder cost ) How many units should be ordered? What are the number of backorders?

39 The Backorder Model SOLUTION
2(500)(4.00) ( ) Qb* = X = x 1.05 = ≈ 92 units

40 The Backorder Example SOLUTION
.50 S* = x = ( x ) ≈ 4 units

41 Relationship Between ROP and S*
If leadtime ( L ) = 0 , then ROP = S* IF LEADTIME IS ZERO, THE REORDER POINT OCCURS WHEN THE OPTIMAL NUMBER OF BACKORDERS IS REACHED

42 Relationship Between ROP and S*
If leadtime ( L ) > 0, then ROP > S* IF LEADTIME IS NOT ZERO, THE REORDER POINT OCCURS BEFORE THE OPTIMAL NUMBER OF BACKORDERS IS REACHED

43 Backorder Reorder Point EXAMPLE
Given: L = 0 days Qb* = 92 units S* = 4 units Order 92 units when the number of backorders accumulate to 4

44 Backorder Reorder Point EXAMPLE
Given: d = 2 units, L = 6 days, Qb* = 92 units, S* = 4 units Order 92 units when there are 8 units still left in the account balance. THE INITIAL ROP = d x L = [ 2 units x 6 days ] = 12 units THE FINAL ROP = Initial ROP – S* = [ 12 units – 4 units ] = 8 units

45 ROP under Backordering
EXAMPLE WHERE L IS POSITIVE Qb* Qb* POSITIVE INVENTORY REGION FINAL ROP FINAL ROP 12 – 4 = +8 12 – 4 = +8 INITIAL ROP = 12 UNITS INITIAL ROP = 12 UNITS NEGATIVE INVENTORY REGION S* = 4 units ( - 4 )

46 MAY OR MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE ON YOUR PARTICULAR SOFTWARE
THE BACKORDER MODEL MAY OR MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE ON YOUR PARTICULAR SOFTWARE

47

48 Inventory Control Part II
Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © 2012 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

49 The ABC Classification System
Its purpose is to assist inventory specialists in establishing policies that focus their limited resources on the relatively few critical materials, components, and products...and not the many trivial ones. Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © 2012 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

50 ABC Classification System
RATIONALE Purchasing personnel are relatively few in number in the firm. There are thousands of components, materials, and finished good inventory accounts in medium and large firms. There needs to be a priority system for establishing and updating inventory control doctrines ( Q* / R ).

51 Class “A” Inventory Items
Comprise only 15% of the total items in stock yet represent 70% - 80% of the total dollar volume. LARGE APPLIANCES AUTOMOBILES FURNITURE DIAMONDS

52 Class “B” Inventory Items
Comprise 30% of the total items in stock and represent 15% - 25% of the total dollar volume MID-SIZED APPLIANCES LAWN MOWERS MOST SUITS & COATS

53 Class “C” Inventory Items
Comprise 55% of the total items in stock yet represent only 5% of the total dollar volume TOASTERS / BLENDERS NUTS, BOLTS, SCREWS STATIONERY SUPPLIES MOST ACCESSORIES

54 Policies Based On ABC “A” items would be inventoried in a more secure area

55 Policies Based On ABC “A” items would be inventoried in a more secure area “A” items would warrant more care in forecasting

56 Policies Based On ABC “A” items would be inventoried in a more secure area “A” items would warrant more care in forecasting “A” item records would be verified more frequently

57 Policies Based On ABC “A” items would be inventoried in a more secure area “A” items would warrant more care in forecasting “A” item records would be verified more frequently “A” items would justify closer attention to customer service levels

58 Policies Based On ABC “A” items would be inventoried in a more secure area “A” items would warrant more care in forecasting “A” item records would be verified more frequently “A” items would justify closer attention to customer service levels “A” items would qualify for real-time inventory tracking systems and more sophisticated ordering rules

59 Additional Criteria for ABC
Anticipated engineering changes Delivery problems Quality problems High unit production costs WE FOCUS ON THE RELATIVELY FEW ITEMS WITH MAJOR PROBLEMS

60 ABC Analysis

61 WE FIRST SCROLL TO “INVENTORY”

62 WE THEN SELECT THE SUB MENU
“ABC Analysis”

63 THE DIALOG BOX APPEARS

64 ITEMS THAT NEED TO BE CLASSIFIED
WE HAVE FIVE ( 5 ) ITEMS THAT NEED TO BE CLASSIFIED

65 THE DATA INPUT TABLE

66 FIVE ITEMS, TOGETHER WITH
WE DESIRE 20% OF ALL ITEMS BE “A” CATEGORY WE DESIRE 30% OF ALL ITEMS BE “B” CATEGORY FIVE ITEMS, TOGETHER WITH THEIR ANNUAL DEMANDS, AND UNIT VALUES

67 One “A” Item One “B” Item Three “C” Items

68 ABC Analysis

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70

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72 Template and Sample Data

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75

76 ABC Classification System
Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © 2012 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

77 Reorder Point Models Known Stockout Cost Model Service Level Model
Variable Demand / Constant Lead Time Model Constant Demand / Variable Variable Demand / Variable Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © 2012 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

78 Reorder Point Models The original reorder point formula ROP = d x L
computes the mean demand during lead time, that is, the average demand during the waiting period for the item. Where d = daily demand L = lead time ( in days )

79 Reorder Point Models However, actual demand during
lead time can be much higher than the mean (average) demand. For this reason, the reorder point should contain a built-in safety stock ( SS or B ) that will meet unexpectedly higher demands and consequently reduce stockout costs.

80 Reorder Point Models The reorder point formula now becomes
ROP = d x L + SS But larger safety stocks involve higher carry costs. We must find a safety stock that minimizes both carry costs and expected stockout costs annually

81 Reorder Point Cost Tradeoff
KNOWN STOCKOUT COST MODEL REORDER POINT TOTAL COSTS ANNUAL SAFETY ( BUFFER ) STOCK CARRY COSTS Cost THE SELECTED SAFETY ( BUFFER ) STOCK LEVEL ( SS or B ) ANNUAL EXPECTED STOCKOUT COSTS Safety ( Buffer ) Stock in Units

82 Known Stockout Cost Model
ASSUMPTIONS Stockout cost per unit is known. Lead time is known and constant. Lead time demand is variable. IT IS ALSO ASSUMED THAT THE ANNUAL NUMBER OF ORDERING PERIODS IS KNOWN ( n )

83 Demand During Lead Time ( DL )
EXAMPLE Probability 15% % % % % DEMAND IN UNITS LEAD TIME DEMAND IS APPROXIMATELY NORMALLY DISTRIBUTED AND RANGES BETWEEN THIRTY AND SEVENTY UNITS

84 Demand During Lead Time ( DL )
THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY Probability 15% % % % % DEMAND IN UNITS SINCE THERE IS A 30% CHANCE THAT LEAD TIME DEMAND WILL BE FIFTY ( 50 ) UNITS WE WOULD AT LEAST SET THE REORDER POINT AT 50 UNITS. OTHERWISE, WE ARE EXTREMELY VULNERABLE TO LARGE AND RECURRING STOCKOUTS.

85 Demand During Lead Time ( DL )
Probability 15% % % % % SAFETY STOCK IS ZERO HERE DEMAND IN UNITS THE SAFETY OR BUFFER STOCK LEVEL AT THE MINIMUM REORDER POINT IS ZERO BY DEFINITION

86 Reorder Point Carry Cost
ANNUAL UNIT CARRY COST SAFETY OR BUFFER STOCK in units X ANNUAL SAFETY STOCK CARRY COSTS =

87 Reorder Point of 50 Units ‘0’ Safety Stock x $5.00 per unit = $0.00
ANNUAL SAFETY STOCK CARRY COSTS ‘0’ Safety Stock x $5.00 per unit = $0.00 per year carry cost ( BUFFER STOCK )

88 CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 10 UNITS CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 20 UNITS
Reorder Point of 50 Units EXPECTED STOCKOUTS PER ORDER PERIOD EXPECTED STOCKOUTS Probability 15% % % % % 10 Stockouts 20 Stockouts Reorder Point Actual Demand A DEMAND OF 60 UNITS WOULD CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 10 UNITS WITH A 20% PROBABILITY A DEMAND OF 70 UNITS WOULD CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 20 UNITS WITH A 10% PROBABILITY

89 Reorder Point Stockout Cost
Lead Time Expected Stockouts in units X Stockout Cost per unit Annual Expected Stockout Costs = X Annual Number of Lead Time Periods ( ordering periods )

90 NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS
Reorder Point of 50 Units ANNUAL EXPECTED STOCKOUT COSTS STOCKOUT COST ( per unit ) NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS ( per year ) NUMBER OF STOCKOUTS EXPECTED STOCKOUTS COST Lead Time Demand of 60 10 2 $40.00 6 $480.00 Lead Time Demand of 70 20 2 $40.00 6 $480.00 Σ = $960.00

91 Reorder Point Total Cost
ANNUAL SAFETY STOCK CARRY COSTS + ANNUAL EXPECTED STOCKOUT COSTS THE REORDER POINT THAT HAS THE LOWEST TOTAL COST IS SELECTED

92 Reorder Point Score Board
ANNUAL CARRY COSTS ANNUAL STOCKOUT COSTS TOTAL COSTS 50 $0.00 $960.00

93 RAISING THE REORDER POINT TO 60 UNITS AUTOMATICALLY
Reorder Point of 60 Units ANNUAL SAFETY STOCK CARRY COSTS ‘10’ Safety Stock x $5.00 per unit = $50.00 per year carry cost ( BUFFER STOCK ) RAISING THE REORDER POINT TO 60 UNITS AUTOMATICALLY CREATES A SAFETY STOCK OF TEN UNITS

94 CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 10 UNITS
Reorder Point of 60 Units EXPECTED STOCKOUTS PER ORDER PERIOD EXPECTED STOCKOUT 1 Probability 15% % % % % 10 Stockouts Reorder Point Actual Demand A DEMAND OF 70 UNITS WOULD CREATE A STOCKOUT OF 10 UNITS WITH A 10% PROBABILITY

95 NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS
Reorder Point of 60 Units ANNUAL EXPECTED STOCKOUT COSTS STOCKOUT COST ( per unit ) NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS ( per year ) NUMBER OF STOCKOUTS EXPECTED STOCKOUTS COST 10 1 $40.00 6 $240.00 LEAD TIME DEMAND of 70 Σ = $240.00

96 Reorder Point Score Board
ANNUAL CARRY COSTS STOCKOUT COSTS TOTAL COSTS 50 Units $0.00 $960.00 60 Units $50.00 $240.00 $290.00

97 RAISING THE REORDER POINT TO 70 UNITS AUTOMATICALLY
Reorder Point of 70 Units ANNUAL CARRY COSTS ‘20’ Safety Stock x $5.00 per unit = $100.00 per year carry cost ( BUFFER STOCK ) RAISING THE REORDER POINT TO 70 UNITS AUTOMATICALLY CREATES A SAFETY STOCK OF 20 UNITS

98 Reorder Point of 70 Units 15% 25% 30% 20% 10% 30 40 50 60 70 EXPECTED
EXPECTED STOCKOUTS PER ORDER PERIOD EXPECTED STOCKOUTS ZERO Probability 15% % % % % Stockouts Reorder Point BASED ON HISTORICAL DEMAND DATA, NO DEMAND SHOULD OCCUR THAT CREATES A STOCKOUT

99 NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS
Reorder Point of 70 Units ANNUAL EXPECTED STOCKOUT COSTS STOCKOUT COST ( per unit ) NUMBER OF STOCKOUTS NUMBER OF ORDER PERIODS ( per year ) EXPECTED STOCKOUTS COST $40.00 6 $0.00 LEAD TIME DEMAND of 70 Σ = $0.00

100 Reorder Point Score Board
ANNUAL CARRY COSTS STOCKOUT COSTS TOTAL COSTS 50 Units $0.00 $960.00 60 Units $50.00 $240.00 $290.00 70 Units $100.00

101 The Conclusion The lowest cost option: ROP = 70 units SS = 20 units

102 Known Stockout Cost Model

103 TO FIND THE KNOWN STOCKOUT COST
WE SCROLL TO “INVENTORY” TO FIND THE KNOWN STOCKOUT COST REORDER POINT MODEL

104 WE SELECT THE “Reorder Point / Safety Stock” ( Discrete Distribution )
SUB MENU

105 THE DIALOG BOX APPEARS

106 DISCRETE DEMANDS DURING LEAD TIME
WE HAVE FIVE ( 5 ) DISCRETE DEMANDS DURING LEAD TIME

107 THE DATA INPUT TABLE

108 THE COMPLETED DATA INPUT TABLE

109 THE KNOWN STOCKOUT COST
Reorder Point = 50 UNITS Reorder Point = 60 UNITS Reorder Point = 70 UNITS THE KNOWN STOCKOUT COST REORDER POINT MODEL Reorder Point = 70 UNITS Safety Stock = 20 UNITS

110 Known Stockout Cost Model

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114 Template and Sample Data
Insert Selected Reorder Point, etc. This is the conditional payoff matrix for this problem. The strategies are the safety stocks, the events are the five possible demands, and the conditional payoffs are the cost consequences (expected stockouts + carry costs) of selecting a particular safety stock and a certain demand materializing.

115 5 discrete demand possibilities during any
given lead time ( with probabilities ) Selected Reorder Point EMV Criterion Maxi-Min Criterion Conditional Payoffs For ROP = 50 , total cost = $ , H = $ For ROP = 60 , total cost = $ , H = $ For ROP = 70 , total cost = $ , H = $100.00 Safety stocks associated with all 5 discrete demands

116 Service Level Model When the stockout cost per unit ( Cs ) is
REORDER POINT DETERMINATION When the stockout cost per unit ( Cs ) is difficult or impossible to determine, the firm may elect to establish a policy of keeping enough safety stock on hand to satisfy a prescribed level of customer service. FOR EXAMPLE, THE FIRM MAY DESIRE A SERVICE LEVEL THAT MEETS 95% OF THE DEMAND, OR CONVERSELY, RESULTS IN STOCKOUTS ONLY 5% OF THE TIME.

117 Service Level Model Assuming that the demand during lead time
REORDER POINT DETERMINATION Assuming that the demand during lead time ( DL ) follows a normal distribution, only the mean ( µ ) and standard deviation ( σ ) are required to define the reorder point as well as the safety stock ( SS or B ) for any given service level. SALES DATA ARE USUALLY ADEQUATE FOR COMPUTING THE MEAN AND STANDARD DEVIATION

118 Service Level Model REORDER POINT DETERMINATION EXAMPLE A firm stocks an item that has a normally-distributed demand during the lead time period. The average or mean demand during the lead time period is 400 units and the standard deviation is 15 units. The firm wants a reordering policy that limits stockouts to only 5% of the time. Requirement: 1. How much safety stock should the firm maintain? 2. What should be the reorder point?

119 Service Level Model Z AREAS UNDER THE STANDARD NORMAL CURVE .03 .04
.05 .06 .07 1.4 .92364 .92507 .92647 .92785 .92922 1.5 .93699 .93822 .93943 .94062 .94179 1.6 .94845 .94950 .95053 .95154 .95254 1.7 .95818 .95907 .95994 .96080 .96164 Z 95% SERVICE LEVEL IS REPRESENTED BY z = 1.65 standard normal deviates

120

121 Service Level Model μ ROP Z = + 1.65 0 units
REORDER POINT AND SAFETY STOCK FOR 95% SERVICE LEVEL Z = 5% STOCKOUT PROBABILITY 95% STOCKAGE PROBABILITY SAFETY STOCK 0 units μ ROP LEAD TIME MEAN DEMAND = 400 UNITS

122 Service Level Model Reorder Point ( R ) = μ + ( z )( σ )
FORMULAE Reorder Point ( R ) = μ + ( z )( σ ) Safety Stock ( SS ) = ( z )( σ ) μ = MEAN DEMAND DURING LEAD TIME z = NUMBER OF STANDARD NORMAL DEVIATES σ = STANDARD DEVIATION OF LEAD TIME DEMAND

123 Service Level Model Reorder Point ( R ) = 400 + ( 1.65 )( 15 )
EXAMPLE – 95% SERVICE LEVEL Reorder Point ( R ) = ( 1.65 )( 15 ) = 425 units Safety Stock ( SS ) = ( 1.65 )( 15 ) = 25 units μ = 400 units z = 1.65 ( 95% service level ) σ = 15 units

124 Service Level Model Reorder Point ( R ) = 400 + ( 2.33 )( 15 )
EXAMPLE – 99% SERVICE LEVEL Reorder Point ( R ) = ( 2.33 )( 15 ) = 435 units Safety Stock ( SS ) = ( 2.33 )( 15 ) = 35 units μ = 400 units z = 2.33 ( 99% service level ) σ = 15 units Z .03

125

126 Service Level Reorder Point Model

127 TO FIND THE SERVICE LEVEL REORDER POINT, SCROLL TO
“ INVENTORY “

128 “ Reorder Point / Safety Stock “ ( Normal Distribution )
SELECT THE SUB MENU ENTITLED “ Reorder Point / Safety Stock “ ( Normal Distribution )

129 THE DIALOG BOX APPEARS

130 IF THE DAILY DEMAND AND/OR THEN THEIR STANDARD DEVIATION(S) = 0
THE DATA INPUT TABLE REQUIRES DAILY DEMAND DURING LEAD TIME THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF DAILY DEMAND DURING LEAD TIME THE SERVICE LEVEL DESIRED ( i.e. 95% ) LEAD TIME IN DAYS THE STANDARD DEVIATION OF LEAD TIME IF THE DAILY DEMAND AND/OR LEADTIME ARE CONSTANT, THEN THEIR STANDARD DEVIATION(S) = 0

131 The mean demand during lead time was given as 400 units.
Since this model requires both daily demand during the lead time, and the lead time ( in days ), we will assume here that daily demand = 50 units, and lead time = 8 days.

132 THE 95% “SERVICE LEVEL” REORDER POINT = 423 UNITS
THE 95% “SERVICE LEVEL” SAFETY STOCK = 23 UNITS

133 Service Level Reorder Point Model

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135

136 Templates for three ( 3 ) different ( we choose the first model )
reorder point models. ( we choose the first model )

137 The Reorder Point = = 425 !

138 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
WHEN DEMAND AND / OR LEAD TIME ARE VARIABLE These models generally assume that any variability in either the demand rate or lead time can be adequately described by a normal distribution. This, however, is not a strict requirement. These models will provide approximate reorder points even in cases where the actual probability distributions depart substantially from normal. In all models shown, stockout costs are assumed to be unknown.

139 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
MODELS CONSIDERED IN THIS PRESENTATION variable demand rate / constant lead time constant demand rate / variable lead time variable demand rate / variable lead time

140 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
THE VARIABLES d = constant demand rate d = average demand rate L = constant lead time L = average lead time σD = standard deviation of demand rate σL = standard deviation of lead time

141 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
LEAD TIME IS CONSTANT DEMAND RATE IS VARIABLE Jack’s Pizza Parlor uses 1,000 cans of tomatoes per month at an average rate of 40 per day for each of 25 days per month. Usage can be approximated by a normal distribution with a standard de- viation of 3 cans per day. Lead time is constant at 4 days. Jack desires a service level of 99% , that is, a stockout risk of only 1% Requirement: 1. Determine the reorder point ( ROP ) 2. Determine the safety or buffer stock ( SS or B )

142 Reorder Point Solution
PIZZA PARLOR _ ROP = ( d x L ) + ( z ) ( L ) ( σD ) = ( 40 x 4 ) ( 4 ) ( 3 ) = ( 6 ) = = 174 cans Given: d = 40 cans daily σD = 3 cans daily L = 4 days _

143 Safety Stock Solution SS or B = ( z ) ( L ) ( σD ) = 2.33 ( 4 ) ( 3 )
PIZZA PARLOR SS or B = ( z ) ( L ) ( σD ) = 2.33 ( 4 ) ( 3 ) = 2.33 ( 6 ) ≈ 14 cans

144 Reorder Point Where Lead Time Is Constant Demand Rate Variable

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146

147 Template for pizza parlor reorder point

148 Reorder point = 174 Safety stock = 14

149 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
LEAD TIME IS VARIABLE DEMAND RATE IS CONSTANT An oil-driven generator uses 2.1 gallons per day. Lead time is normally distributed with a mean of 6 days. The standard deviation of lead time is 2 days. The service level is 98%, that is, the stockout risk is 2% Requirement: 1. Determine the reorder point ( ROP ) 2. Determine the safety or buffer stock ( SS or B )

150 Reorder Point Solution
THE GENERATOR _ ROP = ( d x L ) + ( z ) ( d ) ( σL ) = ( 2.1 x 6 ) ( 2.1 ) ( 2 ) = ( 4.2 ) = = gallons Given: d = 2.1 gallons daily σL = 2 days L = 6 days _

151 Safety Stock Solution SS or B = ( z ) ( d ) ( σL )
THE GENERATOR SS or B = ( z ) ( d ) ( σL ) = ( 2.1 ) ( 2 ) = ( 4.2 ) = 8.63 gallons

152 Reorder Point Where Lead Time Is Variable Demand Rate Constant

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156 Stochastic Reorder Point Models
LEAD TIME IS VARIABLE DEMAND RATE IS VARIABLE Beer consumption at a local tavern is known to be normally distributed with a mean of 150 bottles daily and a standard deviation of 10 bottles daily. Delivery time is also normally distributed with a mean of 6 days and a standard deviation of 1 day. The service level is 90% Requirement: 1. Determine the reorder point ( ROP ) 2. Determine the safety or buffer stock ( SS or B )

157 Reorder Point Solution
TAVERN EXAMPLE _ Given: d = 150 bottles daily σD = 10 bottles daily L = 6 days σL = 1 day _

158 Reorder Point Solution
TAVERN EXAMPLE _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 ROP = ( d x L ) + ( z ) ( L )( σD ) + ( d ) ( σL ) 2 2 2 = ( 150 x 6 ) + ( 1.28 ) (6)(10) + (150) (1) = ,500 = ( ) ≈ 1,095 bottles

159 Safety Stock Solution SS or B = ( z ) ( L )( σD ) + ( d ) ( σL )
TAVERN EXAMPLE _ _ 2 2 2 SS or B = ( z ) ( L )( σD ) + ( d ) ( σL ) 2 2 2 = (1.28 ) (6)(10) + (150) (1) = ,500 = 1.28 ( ) ≈ 195 bottles

160 Stochastic Reorder Point Model
Demand and Lead Time Variable

161 TO SOLVE A STOCHASTIC REORDER POINT
AND SAFETY STOCK PROBLEM

162 THE DIALOG BOX APPEARS

163 REQUIRES DAILY DEMAND AND STANDARD DEVIATION AND STANDARD DEVIATION
THE DATA INPUT TABLE REQUIRES DAILY DEMAND AND STANDARD DEVIATION ( if any ) LEAD TIME ( DAYS ) AND STANDARD DEVIATION

164

165 STOCHASTIC MODEL REORDER POINT = 1,095 UNITS
SAFETY STOCK = 195 UNITS THE LOCAL TAVERN

166 Stochastic Reorder Point Model
Demand Variable Lead Time

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168

169

170 Reorder Point Models Inventory Control
Applied Management Science for Decision Making, 1e © 2012 Pearson Prentice-Hall, Inc Philip A. Vaccaro , PhD

171

172 Quantity Discount Model
Solved Problem Quantity Discount Model Ivonne Callen Computer-Based Manual

173 Ivonne Callen Problem Ivonne Callen sells beauty supplies. Her annual demand for a particular skin lotion is 1,000 units. The cost of placing an order is $20.00, while the holding cost per unit per year is 10 percent of the cost. The item currently costs $10.00 if the order quantity is less than 300. For orders of 300 units or more, the cost falls to $9.80. To minimize total cost, how many units should Ivonne order each time she places an order? What is the minimum total cost?

174 Ivonne Callen Problem D = 1,000 units S = $20.00 I = 10%
P = $10.00 if Q < 300 units P = $ if Q > 300 units

175 Ivonne Callen Problem To minimize total costs, how many units
should Ivonne order each time she places an order ? What is the minimum total cost ?

176 √ √ √ EOQ at $10.00 Item Cost 2 (1,000 ) ( 20 ) 2 x D x S
( .10 ) ( ) 2 x D x S I x P = Q*1 = 40,000 1.00 = 200 units =

177 Total Cost at $10.00 Item Cost
TC = [ Q* / 2 ] (I)(P) + [ D / Q* ] (S) + [ D x P ] = [ 200 / 2 ] (.10)(10.00) + [ 1,000 / 200 ] (20.00) + [1,000 x 10.00] = $ $ $10,000.00 = $10,200.00

178 Total Cost at $9.80 Item Cost
TC = [ Q* / 2 ] (I)(P) + [ D / Q* ] (S) + [ D x P ] = [ 300 / 2 ] (.10)(9.80) + [ 1,000 / 300 ] (20.00) + [1,000 x 9.80] = $ $ $9,800.00 = $10,013.67

179 Ivonne Callen Problem Therefore, she should order 300 units.
CONCLUSION Therefore, she should order 300 units.

180 Serial Rate Production Model The Handy Manufacturing Company
Solved Problem Serial Rate Production Model The Handy Manufacturing Company Computer-Based Manual

181 The Handy Mfg. Company The Handy Manufacturing Company manufactures small air conditioner compressors. The estimated demand for the year is 12,000 units. The setup cost for the production process is $ per run, and the carrying cost is $10.00 per unit per year. The daily production rate is 100 units per day, and demand has been 50 units per day. Determine the number of units to produce in each batch, the number of batches that should be run each year, and the time interval, in days, between each batch. ( Assume 240 operating days. )

182 The Data D = 12,000 units S = $200.00 H = $10.00 / unit / year
p = 100 units / day d = 50 units / day 240 working days / year Use Production Order Quantity Model

183 √ √ Production Run Model H ( 1 - d / p ) Qp* = 2 (12,000)(200.00) =
2 (D)(S) H ( 1 - d / p ) Qp* = 2 (12,000)(200.00) (10.00)( / 100 ) =

184 √ √ √ Production Run Model (10.00)(.5) Qp* = 4,800,000 5 = =
960,000 = 979.8 units

185 Batches Run Annually n = D / Q*p n = 12,000 / 980
n ≈ 12 production runs

186 Time Between Runs t = 240 days / n = 240 days / 12 = every 20 days

187

188 Solved Problem Reorder Point Model Mr. Beautiful Computer-Based Manual

189 Mr. Beautiful Problem Mr. Beautiful, an organization that sells weight training sets, has an ordering cost of $40.00 for the BB-1 set. The carry cost for the BB-1 set is $5.00 per set per year. To meet demand, Mr. Beautiful orders large quantities of BB-1 (7) seven times a year. The stockout cost for BB-1 is estimated to be $50.00 per set. Over the past several years, Mr. Beautiful has ob- served the following demand during lead time for BB-1: Lead Time Demand Probability Starting with a ROP of 60 units, what level of safety stock should be maintained for BB-1?

190 Mr. Beautiful Problem ROP 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 sets 20 sets 30 sets
10 sets 20 sets 30 sets Expected Stockouts [.20 x 10] + [.20 x 20] + [.10 x 30] = 9 sets

191 Mr. Beautiful Problem Carry Cost / Set / Year = $5.00
Stockout Cost / Set = $50.00 Order Periods / Year = 7 At ROP = 60 sets , SS = 0 sets Stockout Cost: [.20 x 10 sets x 20 sets x 30 sets] x 7 orders x $50.00 [ ] x 7 x $50.00 = $3,150.00 Carrying Cost: SS = 0 sets x $5.00 / set / year = $0.00 TOTAL COST = $3,150.00

192 Mr. Beautiful Problem ROP 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 sets 20 sets
10 sets 20 sets Expected Stockouts [.20 x 10] + [.10 x 20] = 4 sets

193 Mr. Beautiful Problem Carry Cost / Set / Year = $5.00
Stockout Cost / Set = $50.00 Order Periods / Year = 7 At ROP = 70 sets , SS = 10 sets Stockout Cost: [.20 x 10 sets x 20 sets] x 7 orders x $50.00 [ ] x 7 x $50.00 = $1,400.00 Carrying Cost: SS = 10 sets x $5.00 / set / year = $50.00 TOTAL COST = $1,450.00

194 Mr. Beautiful Problem ROP 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 sets
10 sets Expected Stockouts [.10 x 10] = 1 set

195 Mr. Beautiful Problem Carry Cost / Set / Year = $5.00
Stockout Cost / Set = $50.00 Order Periods / Year = 7 At ROP = 80 sets , SS = 20 sets Stockout Cost: [.10 x 10 sets] x 7 orders x $50.00 [ 1 ] x 7 x $50.00 = $350.00 Carrying Cost: SS = 20 sets x $5.00 / set / year = $100.00 TOTAL COST = $450.00

196 Mr. Beautiful Problem ROP 40 50 60 70 80 90 .10 .20 .20 .20 .20 .10
Expected Stockouts [ .00 x 0 ] = 0 sets

197 Mr. Beautiful Problem Carry Cost / Set / Year = $5.00
Stockout Cost / Set = $50.00 Order Periods / Year = 7 At ROP = 90 sets , SS = 30 sets Stockout Cost: [.0 x 0 sets] x 7 orders x $50.00 [ 0 ] x 7 x $50.00 = $0.00 Carrying Cost: SS = 30 sets x $5.00 / set / year = $150.00 TOTAL COST = $150.00

198 Mr. Beautiful Problem Reorder Point Stockout Cost Carry Total 60 sets
$3,150.00 $0.00 70 sets $1,400.00 $50.00 $1,450.00 80 sets $350.00 $100.00 $450.00 90 sets $150.00 Mr. Beautiful should select a ROP = 90 sets with a SS = 30 sets

199 We Scroll Down To INVENTORY

200 “Reorder Point / Safety Stock” ( Discrete Distribution )
WE SELECT THE SUB MENU “Reorder Point / Safety Stock” ( Discrete Distribution )

201 THE DIALOG BOX APPEARS

202 THERE ARE SIX ( 6 ) DEMANDS THAT CAN OCCUR DURING LEADTIME

203 PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF
THE DATA INPUT TABLE REQUIRES: STARTING REORDER POINT WHERE THE SAFETY STOCK IS ZERO ( 0 ) CARRY COST PER UNIT PER YEAR STOCKOUT COST PER UNIT PER YR NUMBER OF ORDERS PER YEAR ( 7 ) THE DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION OF LEAD TIME DEMAND

204 Expected Stockout Cost = $0.00 Carry ( Holding ) Costs = $150.00
THE ROP = 90 SETS THE SS = 30 SETS Expected Stockout Cost = $0.00 Carry ( Holding ) Costs = $150.00


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