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Australian Greenhouse Office National Carbon Accounting System Global Change Symposium 23March 2004
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Initiation established in 1998 approx. $A2.5M per annum outsourced with central specification an operational output, not research, focus founded on proven sciences and scientific method
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Design High Level Steering Committee Strategic Plan (the national need) Scoping Paper (the policy process) Expert Workshops (the technical input) Implementation Plan (the specifications) International Review
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Previous Accounting Method Prior to the NCAS Australia’s land based accounting was characterised by: ad hoc inconsistent treatment of forest conversion data emissions factors (rate of carbon loss) by expert judgment, international and national defaults not directly applicable data highly uncertain
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International Guidelines Meets the Guidelines/Good Practice Guidance for: definitional treatment time series consistency ‘cross-cutting issues’ of uncertainty, quality assurance compliant with Marrakech Accord
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Land Based Accounting Approach A relevant ‘Event’ activity (eg deforestation / reforestation) triggers entry of a land unit into the accounting framework Once a land unit is in the framework, all carbon stock changes are accounted for from that time forward
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Land Cover and Change “… the most robust continental scale earth observation data set of its type ever assembled” “I was amazed at what they had accomplished in a relatively short period of time” NASA Chief Landsat Scientist
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25m Resolution Imagery
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Forest Conversion (1972-2000) 200 x 160km Deforestation Reforestation
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Forest Conversion 1995 2000conversion
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Rainfall (annual 1970-2000)
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Temperature (Annual 1970-2000)
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Evaporation (Annual 1970-2000)
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Productivity
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Soil Carbon
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Vegetation
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FullCAM Model
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FullCAM Point Model Output
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Forest Conversion and Carbon Change Comparison Conversion Regrowth Carbon loss Carbon gain
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Carbon Stock Change Output
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Verification field programs, eg soils pairs/long term data forest models constrained to empirical evidence point models against spatial outputs remote sensing against time-relevant air photographs
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Verification Total C Humic Char Organic matter
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