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22nd Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference CIC Research, Inc. 8361 Vickers St. San Diego, CA 92111 858-637-4000 www.cicresearch.com Hotel Maya Long Beach, CA October 29, 2010
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Where Have We Been? 2 2008
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3 And Travel is More Fun?
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4 Potential 40% More PAX?
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5 A La Carte Airfare Pricing
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Southern California Perspective 6
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23.6 Mil. population in SoCal - About 7.5 Mil. Households Unemp - More than 9.7 Mil. Employees12.2% California: - 38.7 million CA population (SoCal=61%) - 16.0 million CA employees (SoCal=61%)12.4% United States: - 310 million US population (SoCal=8%) - 139 million US employees (SoCal=7%) 9.6% 7
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2010 SoCal Hotel Room Inventory 301,000 Rooms 109.9 Mil. Room Nights Avail. 66.1% Occ. Rate 72.7 Mil. Room Nights Sold Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, & STR. 8 Room Inventory
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SoCal Hotel Rooms Sold Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR. 9 Millions of Room Nights No change 2005 - 2007
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10 SoCal Hotel Room Revenue Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR. Peak in 2007
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International Visitors to the U.S. Millions Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, OTTI/CIC Research, Oct. 2010. 11
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20092010 12 LAX International Arrivals (monthly percent change to prior year) 2008
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20092010 LAX Quarterly International Pax Arrivals 2007 13 Millions
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20092010 14 2008 SoCal Passenger Arrivals (comparison to prior year same quarter) Primarily domestic air travelers.
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200820092010 Arrivals in Millions Southern California Air Arrivals 2007 15
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Southern California Air Arrivals Arrivals in Millions 16
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Overnight Visitors to SoCal 17
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Domestic Overnight Visitors to SoCal Millions 18 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
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SoCal Overnight International Visitors Millions 19 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
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Total Overnight Visitors to SoCal 20 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
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Total SoCal Overnight Visitor Spending 21 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
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SoCal Overnight Visitor Forecast (2010 & 2011) Visitors 45.5 M (2010 Preliminary)Up (3.5%-4%) 46.6 - 47.0 M (2011 Forecast)Up (2.4% to 3.3%) International Visitors 6.2 M (2010 Preliminary)up (10%-11%) 6.4 - 6.7 M (2011 Forecast)Up (3% to 8%) Domestic Visitors 39.3 M (2010 Preliminary)Up (3%) 40.2 – 40.6 M (2011 Forecast)Up (2.3% to 3.3%) Spending $25.7 B (2010 Preliminary)Up (4.5%-5.5%) $27.3 B - $27.8 B (Forecast 2011)Up (6% to 8%) 22
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200820092010 23 LAX Monthly International Passenger Arrivals
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20092010 24 2008 SoCal Passenger Arrivals - Monthly Percent Change (comparison to same month of prior year)
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200820092010 In 000’s Southern California Air Arrivals 2007 25
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SoCal Ports of Entry- All Overseas Visitor Arrivals Arrivals in Millions Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security. 26
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