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From the Physics Trenches To the Political Swamp FNAL October 15, 2014 Michael Lubell Director of Public Affairs, APS Mark W. Zemansky Professor of Physics,

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Presentation on theme: "From the Physics Trenches To the Political Swamp FNAL October 15, 2014 Michael Lubell Director of Public Affairs, APS Mark W. Zemansky Professor of Physics,"— Presentation transcript:

1 From the Physics Trenches To the Political Swamp FNAL October 15, 2014 Michael Lubell Director of Public Affairs, APS Mark W. Zemansky Professor of Physics, CCNY 1

2 A Few Words About My Journey

3 Competing Views of 21 st Century Science from Two Giants of Biomedicine Craig Venter (2004): “If the 20 th century was the century of physics, the 21 st century will be the century of biology.” Harold Varmus (2000): “Medical advances may seem like wizardry. But pull back the curtain, and sitting at the lever is a high- energy physicist, a combinatorial chemist or an engineer.”

4 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs ATLAS Candidate Higgs

5 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs ATLAS

6 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations

7 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations Daya Bay Antineutrino Detectors

8 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations Mars Exploration Evidence of Early Water

9 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations Mars Exploration Curiosity Rover Selfie

10 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations Mars Exploration Ultrafast Spectroscopy Water Molecules in Protein Crystal

11 In Today’s Physics Trenches The Higgs Neutrino Oscillations Mars Exploration Ultrafast Spectroscopy LCLS Undulator Hall

12 The Political Swamp

13 Washington Spinning Wheels How bad can it get?

14 Until the Budget Accord Last Year’s Pinnacle of Success Helium

15 The Political Context

16 16 113th Congress October 20144

17 113th Congress October 2014 Tea Party Members

18 Voteview.com

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20 The Budget Context

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23 The Budget Future No Grand Deal  Constrained Spending

24 The Political Future Populism

25 A political philosophy supporting the rights and power of the people in their struggle against the privileged elite.

26 The Public Context

27 What the Public Thinks Science is important (93%) Federal research support research is an appropriate use of tax dollars (68%) Few people see how research affects their lives Science is 2nd on a list of programs to cut Trust in government is low (15-20%) More than 50% of voters say they want to replace their own representative – first time in more than 20 years

28 What the Public Thinks Matters More than Ever When spending is rising  An inside Washington game works When spending is falling  Elected officials evaluate which cuts voters will most easily accept

29 A Snapshot of Science Appropriations Revealing Some Policy & Priority Differences

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35 Science Appropriations By the Numbers Bedtime Reading

36 AccountFY 11CRFY 12FY 13FY 14PFY 14FY 15PFY15HFY15S DOE SC4.844.884.595.155.075.115.075.09 ASCR0.420.440.420.4660.4780.541 0.557 BER0.61 0.580.6250.6100.6280.5400.628 BES1.681.691.591.861.711.811.701.81 FES0.380.400.380.4660.5050.4160.5400.341 HEP0.800.790.740.7770.7970.7440.7750.774 NP0.540.550.520.570 0.5930.6000.602 DOE EERE1.841.821.702.781.912.321.792.07 DOE ARPA-E0.1800.2800.2500.3790.2800.3250.280 DOE NNSA10.5211.0010.7911.6511.2111.6611.3611.9 NSF6.867.036.827.6257.207.267.417.26 R&RA5.565.725.636.2125.81 5.985.84 MREFC0.1170.1700.1800.2100.2000.201 EHR0.8610.8300.8400.8810.8470.8900.8760.890 NIST Core0.5780.6200.6400.7540.7070.7390.7260.744 STRS0.5070.5700.5800.6940.6510.6800.6710.685 CRF0.0700.060 0.0560.0590.0550.059 NIH30.6931.6428.8331.0929.9030.230.5 DOD 6.11.952.121.90 EST2.162.172.022.032.27 DOD 6.24.454.704.23 EST4.634.644.464.534.59 NASA Sci4.945.094.785.025.154.975.195.20 Selected Science Accounts in $B

37 Science Wars Playing Out in the House SST Committee I’ll let you be the judge!

38 Science Wars Playing Out in the House SST Committee  NSF  Lifetime limit on grantee support (5 years)  Limit on personal citations in proposals (5)  Turnover to SST the reviews of selected projects (50)  Redefined mission focusing on national needs  DOE  No results from DOE supported research may be used by any government agency for carrying out assessments or developing regulations

39 Messaging Matters Providing you with jobs rather than growing the economy Saving your life rather than improving health care Saving you money and time at the supermarket rather than improving quality of life Saving you money at the pump: giving you more miles per gallon rather than providing better fuel efficiency Connecting you with family and friends rather than creating social media Images rather than words

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44 2014 Election Forecast House: All seats up – Changes only at the margin Senate: 33 seats up (20 D and 13 R) – Republicans need a pickup of 6 seats to gain control – Certain Republican pickups: Montana and West Virginia (both vacated Democratic seats) – Likely Republican pickups: Alaska, Arkansas, South Dakota (vacated Democratic seat) and Louisiana – Possible Republican pickup: Iowa – Possible but unlikely Republican pickup: Colorado – Possible but unlikely Democratic pickup: Kentucky – Possible Democratic pickup: Georgia – The wildcard: Kansas

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