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“These data can inform policy discussion” Am J Hum Genet, October 3, 2013, 93:631-40 1
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Compare incidental findings (IFs) to prediction analysis Nature, 470:748-52 predictionIFs pknownknown/unknown bKnown (estimated)something actionable xcommon variantsrare variants inside Mendelian genes 2
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3 Committee Gene list: ACMG and other sources Classifying variants: HGMD Scoring variants for participants Literature review Upgrade or downgrade variants Return to participants How it works
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Data 500 EA, 500 AA randomly selected from 6,500 (~4,300 EA, ~2,200 AA) NHLBI Exom Project (Nature, 2013, 493:216-20) Exome Variant Server / Exome Sequencing Project 114 genes (56 from American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics) 52 of the 56 gene are associated with adult-onset conditions 4
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Return of Results Committee 24 experts (340 clinician years of medical genetics) 14 practicing clinical medical geneticists Two genetic counselors Several other physicians and nonphysicians Other coordinating members help send literatures 5
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Actionable genes “’Actionable’ genes in adults were defined as having deleterious mutation(s) whose penetrance would result in specific, defined medical recommendation(s) both supported by evidence and, when implemented, expected to improve an outcome(s) in terms of mortality or the avoidance of significant morbidity.” Actionable Genes are in Table 1, including 56 genes recommended by The American College of Medical Genetics and Genomes (Genet Med, 2013, 565-75), such as BRCA1 — breast cancer MSH2 – colon cancer STK11 — Peutz-Jeghers syndrome VHL – Von Hippel-Lindau syndrome 6 Do they sound actionable? At least to somebody, they do. “My medical choice” New York Times, May 14, 2013, Angelina Jolie.
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Classifying variants Pathogenic (return to participants) A likely pathogenic variant of uncertain significance (VUS) (return to participants) A VUS (if may cause potential diseases or comorbidity) A likely benign VUS 7 Low MAF (<0.005) de novo More than one reported unrelated case High cosegretation (1/16) Database: Human Gene Mutation Database (HGMD), PubMed, Google.
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Expert variant review 239 unique variants were identified Checking the MAF Reviewing the primary literature for evidence for pathogenicity Difficult-to-categorize variants: double-, triple-review 8
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114 actionable genes 114 genes (Table 1) 88 autosomal-dominance (AD) 4 X-linked 22 autosomal-recessive (AR) 239 (585 times) unique variants were identified as potentially pathogenic 230 were in AD 3 were in X-linked 6 were in AR loci 9
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Stats for these 239 variants 72/239 have MAF < 0.005 (not clear how MAFs were calculated or from) None of these 72 were pathogenic or likely 123/239 were observed once 16 were pathogenic or likely: 15 were observed once in 1,000 subjects 1 was observed in two subjects 10
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Variants up and down Downgraded one from pathogenic to VUS one from likely pathogenic VUS to VUS Upgraded one was upgraded from VUS to likely VUS Five mutations, not listed in HGMD as disease-causing, were predicted to be disruptive. 11
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Variants that are too common rs146102241, and rs15082281 in PKP2 (arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy, prevalence/incidence < 1 in 1,000) MAF=0.005 in 500 European-descent participants 0.005 and 0.003 in ESP rs149633775 in TP53 (Li-Fraumeni syndrome, prevalence/incidence < 1 in 20,000) MAF=0.001 in 500 European-descent participants 0.0004 in ESP 12
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Variants by ancestry group 419/585 (71.5%) were in EA 146/585 (25.0%) were in AA 20/585 (3.4%) were in Jewish descent 94 of 239 unique variants were found in AA. In pathogenic group: 7 EA, 2 AA In likely pathogenic group: 8 EA, 2 AA 13
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Individuals with IFs by ancestry 14 Underrepresentation of AA in HGMD.
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18 participants carry pathogenic variants 16 unique AD variants in 17 participants 1 AR variant pair were pathogenic or likely 8 with confirmed pathogenic mutations (versus likely pathogenic) BRCA1 LDLR (familial hypercholesterolemia) PMS2 (Lynch syndrome) SERPINA1 (alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency) 15
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Time for literature review 5,636 min for 239 unique variants Average 23 min (1-135 min) Would have been substantially more time if review was conducted for 585 variants on a per person basis Per variant or per person? 16
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17 Baylor College of Medicine Sample: 250 probands (80% were children) and both parents. Sequencing: coverage 130X Validation: variants clinically significant were confirmed by Sanger sequencing Reference database: ESP5400, 1KG (MAF<5%) Disease database: Human Gene Mutation Database Published: 2/Oct/2013 (online) NEJM 369:1502-11, Oct 17
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Results 62 of 250 patients had total 86 mutated alleles that were highly likely to be causative. Achieved 25% molecular diagnostic rate. Incidental findings: 30 of 250 patients had medically actionable incidental findings in 16 genes. 12% compared with 1.8% in AJHG paper. 18
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Insurance coverage 19
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Reporting Tier one: focused on the disease phenotype and included deleterious mutations and UCS related to the phenotype. Tier two: provided if they were requested by the physician or the patient Expanded report: mutations (of unknown clinical significance) were monitored every 6 months for new discovered disease genes. Once a match was found, report to the physician. Sounds horrible~ 20
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21 Using 1KG as the reference data. On average, every individuals carries 2 disease-causing mutation. Validated the rare variants in 1KG.
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Some questions How common/rare is common/rare for a disease? Which MAF? 500 EA? 500 AA? 4,300 EA? 2,200 AA? Expert review? To make sense for each patient or for all? As a patient, how much would you like to know? Low disease-causing mutations: stringent criteria reporting criteria: not to return VUSs to participants for Ifs in genes unrelated to the presenting condition. 22
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23 Exome Variant Server@Seattle
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Validation is very important 24 snpLocal data (36 exomes)ESP6500CSAligent1KG rs2929362 0.1530.00160.142 rs1140546960.22220.0003670.196 rs37530580.11110.0044230.174
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25 Human Gene Mutation Database @Cardiff “Misclassification of variants in HGMD falls largely on the weak primary literature rather than HGMD extraction errors”
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Patient autonomy Whole-genome sequencing in health care EJHG, 2013, May, 21:580-4 Call for prudence in whole-genome testing Science, 2013, August, 341:958-9 26
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