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1 23rd March, 2007 LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD
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2 Factors Influencing the Real Estate Sector Shift from Unorganised to somewhat organised sector Higher lever of Transparency & Accountability Socio Demographic Changes Increased Urbanisation Higher Disposable Income Property as “Investment” Economic Growth Leading to Spur in Demand
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3 Factors Influencing the Real Estate Sector Tax Incentives Spur in service Industry linked demand like IT & ITes Retail Boom (Malls & Multiplexes) Interest from overseas investors Positive Regulatory Steps
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4 Real Estate - Developer’s perspective Favorable demand climate Low entry barriers Relatively unregulated sector Financial flexibility (Availability of funds) Supportive Govt. policies (Like SEZ STP etc) Intense Competition
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5 Real Estate Finance – Institution’s perspective Lucrative and well performing segment of the economy Innovative Product mix (Lending options) Holistic service providers rather than mere lender Increasing complexity of deals Need for clear strategic vision from developers Good processes and systems
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6 Real Estate - Regulator’s perspective Protection of Consumer Transparency from Developers and Financing Institution Over –heating and consequent impact on prices and overall financial market Over –exposure by lending institution Self regulation by industry body (CREDAI etc.) Misuse of Govt. Policy and Support (SEZ?)
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7 Shift in Real Estate Investment from tier I to Tier II & Tier III cities Availability of comparative cheap labour pool Reasonably good infrastructure Suitable and reasonable real estate options (Large parcel of land availability) Business and social environment changes Sector Specific Demand (Like IT & ITes due to cost advantage)
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8 Evolution of Housing Finance LIC of India – Loans to Policyholders since the 1960s Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) – 1977 National Housing Bank Act – 1987 LIC Housing Finance Ltd – 19 th June, 1989 Industry was dominated by HFCs –mainly HDFC & LICHFL till late 1990s In 1998, RBI allowed PSU Banks to lend directly in the retail segment.
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9 Evolution of Housing Finance Disbursements to be around Rs. 1,00,000 cr in 2006-07 with Banks contributing to more than 60%
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10 Acute shortage of dwelling units in India Source : NBO 19.819.4 23.4 21.8 14.6 13.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 19611971198119912001E2005E Million Units Shortfall Growth Drivers
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11 Growth Drivers City19952010E2025E Mumbai1.512.433.32 Kolkata1.171.562.14 New Delhi0.991.552.16 Chennai0.590.831.18 Hyderabad0.530.941.32 By 2016, total population to touch 126 cr with 33 % being Urban Population Population growth & changing lifestyles - Growth of mega cities Population in cr Government adopts the National Housing & Habitat Policy in 1998
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12 Growth Drivers Migration of population - Total population of the country increased by 21% between 1991 - 2001, whereas urban population grew by 31% Source: The Census 2001, Tenth Five Year Plan 2002-2007 Percentage of Urban Population
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13 Future Growth Drivers Source : NCAER & CRISINFAC Middle & Upper Middle Class Households to grow from 54% to 74% by 2009-10
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14 Emerging Trends Increase in Home Ownership Rate Declining Age of Borrower
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15 Industry Outlook Steady growth projections for the Industry Source : CRISINFAC Report on Retail Finance, March 2005
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16 Mortgage & GDP India has one of the lowest mortgage penetration rates in the world Source : Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce & Industries (FICCI) – Survey on Housing Finance, 2003
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17 Balancing Factors Affordability Increasing cost Withdrawal of Section 80IB of the IT Act Reduction in amount transferrable under Section 36(1)(viii) of the IT Act
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18 Thank You www.lichousing.com
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