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Canada-European Union (EU) Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) September 9, 2014
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2 Timelines CETA Agreement Agreement in Principle – October 18, 2013 Completion of negotiations announced August 5, 2014 Final Agreement Canada-EU Summit – anticipated for September 2014 Entry into Force Ratification required for Canada and European Union Provinces-Territories and EU Member States reviewing Legal review + translation (23 languages) Anticipate entry into force within 2 years Spring or Summer of 2016
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3 EU Overview 28 Member States 510 million people $17 trillion in GDP Germany, France, UK, Italy EU indicating CETA boost trade by 23% (~37Bn CND) Canada forecasting $12 billion boost to GDP --- low estimate
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4 Economies By GDP (Trillions $CDN) Canada will have bilateral trade agreements with 2 largest economies. Plus, in negotiations or discussions with Japan and China 1) European Union:: CETA - Agreement in Principle 2) United States : NAFTA; TPP (negotiating) 3) Japan: EPA (negotiating); TPP (negotiating) (1) (2) (3)
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5 Areas Under Provincial Jurisdiction Government Procurement Services Investment Technical Barriers to Trade & Regulatory Cooperation Environment Labour Examples of other areas of interest under Federal Jurisdiction: Goods / Market Access / Tariffs; Subsidies; Financial Services; Intellectual Property; Rules of Origin; Wines/Spirits; Temporary Entry
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6 PEI-EU Trade Total exports to EU = >$80 million / year France, UK, Germany account for ~ 60% Top Export Products: Fish/Seafood (Lobster), Bioscience, Aerospace PEI Exports to European Union ($Millions Cdn) Witnessing 5 yr growth in exports to EU. Diversification of exports
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7 CETA Benefits TARIFF PACKAGE: 98% immediately; 99% 7 years Agriculture: 93.6% of tariff lines at 0% immediately 95% + of tariffs will be duty-free after 7 years Fish / Seafood: 95.5% of tariff lines at 0% immediately 100% of tariffs at 0% no later than 7 years Industrial Products: 99.3% of tariffs at 0% immediately 100% of tariffs at 0% no later than 7 years
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8 Agriculture & Agri-Food Immediate tariff elimination Frozen potato: range from 14.4% to 17.6% Fresh/frozen fruits: Blueberries – up to 14.4% Apples – 9% Cherries – 12% Processed products: Oils – including canola 3.2% to 9.6% Miscellaneous food prep: start at 12.8% Processed pulses/grains; confectionary, etc –Start at 7.7% Beef and Pork access: transitional quota Beef: 50k tonnes – 35k fresh; 15k frozen Pork: 75k tonnes Duty-free in-quota access
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9 Agriculture and Agri-Food Supply-Managed Industries remain intact No reduction in over-quota tariffs Poultry and eggs excluded Quota: 17,700 tonnes of cheese Geographical Indications: Protection for 180 products --- meats, cheese Feta, Asiago, Munster, Gorgonzola, Fontina Grandfather clause for existing producers in Canada
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10 Processed Food Favourable Rules of Origin Allows Canadian products to qualify for tariff elimination Recognizes global value chains Encourages use of Canadian inputs Derogations (more liberal for high use of imported goods) Processed foods: baked goods, rice, cereals – 35k tonnes High sugar containing: drink mixes, etc – 30k growing to 50k tonnes Chocolate and confectionary: chocolate prep – 10k tonnes Cat and dog food: 60k tonnes Quota volumes at 3 times current trade Review every 5 years
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11 Fish & Seafood FISH PACKAGE: 95.5% of all tariffs at 0% - entry into force 100% of tariffs at 0 after 7 years Immediate tariff elimination Live lobster: rates of 8% Oysters: rates of 0 to 9%, Most other species (ex. Scallops, shrimp): from 5.5% - 20% Phased-out tariffs Frozen lobster: 6% and 16% - 3yr & 5yr Mussels: 20% - 7 yrs Transitional quotas (TRQ) – shrimp and cod
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12 Industrial Goods 99.3% of tariff lines at 0% – entry into force Immediate tariff elimination Chemicals: average rates of 5% Forestry products: range from 0% - 10% Autos: range from 3% - 22% 3, 5, and 7 year phase-outs Origin quota of 100k vehicles --- currently exporting 10k US-EU provisions Canada has transition periods Ships (3 and 7 years) Autos (3, 5, and 7 years)
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13 Other Benefits GOVERNMENT PROCUREMENT Access to $2.7 trillion procurement market Broad coverage of goods, services and construction Services Broad coverage – most ambitious offer by EU in FTA Professional services: legal, architectural, engineering, urban planning Environmental, ICT, R&D, etc
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14 Key Sources of Information Overview of CETA Agreement http://www.international.gc.ca/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr- acc/ceta-aecg/index.aspx?lang=eng CETA – Technical Summary http://international.gc.ca/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr-acc/ceta- aecg/understanding-comprendre/technical-technique.aspx?lang=eng CETA Benefits for Prince Edward Island http://www.international.gc.ca/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr- acc/ceta-aecg/benefits-avantages/pei-ipe.aspx?lang=eng
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