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Published byReynold Cameron Modified over 9 years ago
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Recommendation: Buy Share Price (as of 2/4/15): $36.53 Sector Head: James Carlstedt Michael Metz Thomas Chadwick Cal- Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM:NASDAQ)
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Fundamentals Sector: Consumer Staples Current Price: $36.53 Market Cap: $1.72B Beta:.61 P/E: 10.16 Dividend Yield: 1/3 Net Income Paid Quarterly Last Years Annual Yield:2.87% Revenue: $1.45B EBITDA:$183M
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Egg Industry Products –Shell Eggs –Specialty Shell Eggs –Egg Products- Liquid, Frozen –Food Service –Export
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Cal- Maine Foods, Inc. Largest producer/ marketer of shell eggs in USA 3 Business Segments –Specialty Eggs –Regular Shell Eggs –Liquid, Frozen, or Dried Produces domestically
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Highest Total Layers- USA
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CALM’s Top Locations/ Brands Southwestern Southeastern Mid- Western Mid- Atlantic Egg-Land’s Best®, Land O’ Lakes®, Farmhouse®, and 4-Grain®
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Top 10 Customers
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Vertically Integrated
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CALM Egg Growth
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Top-Line Growth
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Customer’s Health Choices
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Risk Factors: 1.Egg Price Volatility 2.Feed Price Volatility 3.Shift to other products 4.Seasonality 5.Government Regulation 6.Consumer Demand 7.Barriers of Entry
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Egg Price Volatility
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Feed Price Volatility
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Risk of Consumer’s Shifting to Other Products
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Seasonality
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Government Regulation/ Barriers to Entry Prop 2 California- 2014 Animal Rights Activists –Animal Concentration
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Consumer Demand
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CAPEX Strategy Growth and Acquisition of Fragmented Market Improved Facilities
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Acquisitions Completed 18 acquisitions since 1989 Acquired remaining 50% of Delta Egg Farms for $17M- 2014
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Latest Earnings Report 12/23/14 reported Q2 of 2015 Net Sales $378.6 million (6.9% yoy) 36.6 million Net Income $0.76 per share Fiscal 2014: 1.014 Billion Dozen Shell Eggs Sold
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Financial Highlights
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Institutional/ Insider Holdings 12/23/14 reported Q2 of 2015 Net Sales $378.6 million (6.9% yoy) 36.6 million Net Income $0.76 per share Fiscal 2014: 1.014 Eggs Sold *13G/A Filing on 1-30-2015 BlackRock Institutional purchased a 6.3% stake
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Recent Decline Due to Misunderstanding China temporarily banned imports of US chicken, turkey, and eggs –Effective January 8, 2015 –Strain of (HPAI) in Pacific Northwest Occurs only in wild birds/ small domestic flocks Hundreds of miles away from US commercial prod. Exports to China account for 0.7% of total US shell egg production
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Stock Performance
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Comparable Competitors* *main peers are Rose Acre Farms, Moark LLC, Rembrandt Enterprises, Daybreak Foods CALMTSNSAFMHRL Mtk Cap1.72B14.81B1.86B13.58B P/E9.9516.127.4122.96 P/B2.661.62.063.74 P/S1.13.37.671.45 Beta.61.6.2.6 EPS3.522.4210.792.23
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Thesis Leading producer Highly fragmented industry Price shock from Chinese ban Prop 2 – increased capex –Higher barrier to entry Acquisitions – seeking & a target Strong management – ROE & ROA Great dividend
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DCF Valuation
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Questions?
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