1. Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? Electoral Rewards and Punishment for Legislative Behaviour in an Era of Localized Campaigning Effects: The Case of the UK in 2005

4. Why? Dealigned Increasingly localised Increasing information ‘Safe’ to protest voting So Now Who Do We Vote For? Plenty of issues Plenty of variance

5. Backbench rebellions, 2001-2005 highest rate of rebellion since 1945 more in first session, Labour most in final session since 1945 the largest Labour health rebellion the largest Labour education rebellion the (joint) largest rebellion at a Bill’s Second Reading since 1945 the two largest rebellions by MPs of all parties for over 150 years.

6. Overall correlation between rebellion and electoral performance -0.06

7. IssueLoyalRebelNo of rebels standing for re- election Anti-Terrorism-6.5-6.629 Education-6.5-6.838 Nationality and Immigration-6.4-7.139 Enterprise-6.5-6.925 Select Committee-6.6-5.729 NHS Reform-6.4-7.121 Iraq-6.5-6.4124 Criminal Justice-6.4-7.134 Health and Social Care-6.4-6.672 Firefighters-6.5-6.346 Asylum and Immigration-6.4-7.232 Higher Education-6.5 70 Human Tissue-6.4-7.515 Gambling-6.5 35 Children-6.5-6.445 Housing-6.5-6.921 Serious Organised Crime-6.4-7.441 Mental Capacity-6.6-5.834 ID cards-6.4-7.420 Railways-6.5-6.424 Prevention of Terrorism-6.3-7.264

8. IssueLoyalRebelNo of rebels standing for re- election Anti-Terrorism-6.5-6.629 Education-6.5-6.838 Nationality and Immigration-6.4-7.139 Enterprise-6.5-6.925 Select Committee -6.6-5.729 NHS Reform-6.4-7.121 Iraq-6.5-6.4124 Criminal Justice-6.4-7.134 Health and Social Care-6.4-6.672 Firefighters-6.5-6.346 Asylum and Immigration-6.4-7.232 Higher Education -6.5 70 Human Tissue-6.4-7.515 Gambling-6.5 35 Children-6.5-6.445 Housing-6.5-6.921 Serious Organised Crime-6.4-7.441 Mental Capacity-6.6-5.834 ID cards-6.4-7.420 Railways-6.5-6.424 Prevention of Terrorism-6.3-7.264

11. Student populationLoyalRebelN 0-4.9% -5.8-4.177 5-9.9% -6.5-6.2162 10%+ -9.3-8.242

14. Why things are complicated: Higher Education Bill Second Reading – on the principle of the Bill as then constituted. Report Stage - to remove clauses relating to top up fees. Third Reading – the vote on the Bill as finally constituted.