1. SPEAR PRE-ELECTION POLL 2008 1

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6. 6 Government Performance Rating Letter GradeQuality Points (q) Frequency (f) PercentGrade Points (q x f) A – Excellent4.0133.152 B – Very Good3.0256.075 C – Good2.011627.8232 D – Poor1.012229.3122 F – Very Poor0.09623.00 Sub-Total∑f = 37289.2∑(q x f) = 481 Grade Point Average (G.P.A): ∑(q x f)/∑f 1.29 Letter Grade Equivalent D No Opinion4510.8 Total417100.0

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13. Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #1: No Further Analysis of the “Undecided” & “Confidential” Clusters 13

14. 14 Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #2: Further analysis of the responses coded “Confidential” using interpolation, cross tabulations, & data triangulation”

15. 15 Scenario Forecasting: Scenario #3: Further analysis of responses coded “Confidential” & “Undecided” using similar technique as in scenario #2.

16. QUIK FACTS ON SAMPLING FRAME Total Number of Respondents -417 Qualifying Criteria - Registered Voter Proportionate Sample from Six Districts: – Urban - 55.6% – Rural – 44.4% – Male - 40.3% – Female – 59.7 Age Groupings: – Young Adult – 25.9% – Mature Adult – 67.6% – Middle Age – 20.4% – Elderly - 12.0% 16 Margin of Error (+ or - 5%) or 95% Confidence Level Pre-Test Survey Conducted