1. Towards universal participation in post-16 mathematics: lessons from high performing countries Jeremy Hodgen, Rachel Marks & David Pepper, King’s College London 15 January 2013

2. Context Is the UK an outlier? –Uniquely low participation rates post-16 The wider agenda –ACME: A new advanced level qualification? –Wolf: GCSE Previous initiatives –FSMQs and AS Use of Mathematics –Curriculum 2000

3. Recommendations All students should be enabled to study post-16 maths at an appropriate level GCSE Mathematics should remain compulsory until grade C achieved One new advanced mathematics pathway aimed at those who have achieved a grade C Encourage a greater breadth in students’ post-16 programmes

4. Research Questions What factors drive participation in upper secondary mathematics? What is the content and level of upper secondary mathematics provision and how does it vary across different general and vocational routes?

5. Methodology 1.Academic literature search 1.Compilation of detailed country profiles –Country profiles & national experts 1.Review and synthesis of available data

6. The Countries Surveyed Hong Kong Singapore New Zealand USA (Massachusetts) Germany (Rhineland-Palatinate) Scotland England

7. Caveats and limitations Educational systems are culturally very different –Upper secondary / Vocational –Policy concerns often very different Policy in small systems may be more straightforward Data produced differently and for different purposes

8. ‘How Far Can We Learn Anything of Practical Value from the Study of Foreign Systems of Education?’ ‘In studying foreign systems of Education we should not forget that the things outside the schools matter even more than the things inside the schools, and govern and interpret the things inside.’ Sir Michael Sadler, 1900

9. ‘How Far Can We Learn Anything of Practical Value from the Study of Foreign Systems of Education?’ ‘We cannot wander at pleasure among the educational systems of the world, like a child strolling through a garden, and pick off a flower from one bush and some leaves from another, and then expect that if we stick what we have gathered into the soil at home, we shall have a living plant.’ Sir Michael Sadler, 1900

10. Participation in upper secondary mathematics education

17. Compulsion? The countries where maths is compulsory have near-universal participation in maths, but not the highest rate of participation in advanced maths New Zealand & Singapore achieve very high participation in maths and the highest levels of participation in advanced maths

18. New Zealand: Pathways Basic ‘Level 1’ Numeracy (and Literacy) required Two ‘different’ subjects at advanced level –Mathematics with calculus / with statistics Mathematics with statistics –A distinct and separate subject –Small ‘bite-sized’ units –Respected and valued by HE / employers –Strong links to the school curriculum

19. Singapore: Breadth Academic / pre-university system –A-level(reformed to give more local control) –Contrasting subject required in the academic / pre-university route Flexibility and choice through polytechnics / ‘vocational’ routes An ‘extended duration’ O-level course is available BUT reduction in Further Maths

20. Hong Kong: A cautionary tale? Reform of the entire secondary / tertiary educational system –HKDSE to replace A-levels –Upper secondary education to 17 not 18 –Mathematics compulsory (but not only mathematics) BUT advanced mathematics participation fallen slightly –Not required by all numerate HE courses

21. Breadth, pathways and choice Compulsion is not sufficient –Encourage breadth –Provide appropriate and valued pathways –Mathematics is never the only compulsory subject

22. Factors and incentives Attainment more important than attitudes & aspirations Information, advice and guidance poorly understood

23. Factors and incentives Attainment more important than attitudes & aspirations Information, advice and guidance poorly understood BUT The strongest incentive for students to study advanced mathematics is that they are required to do so to progress to higher education and employment

24. Policy What can be learned from smaller, “successful” systems? –Success of a qualification depends on a range of factors Wide availability Respected by and required by HE / Employers Valued by schools / colleges –Relatively long timescales for implementation

25. Risks Teacher supply The “FSMQ” problem –Availability and take-up –Respect and value by HE / Employers Vocational routes Dangers of stratification

26. Recommendations: What All students should be enabled to study post-16 maths at an appropriate level GCSE Mathematics should remain compulsory until grade C achieved One new advanced mathematics pathway aimed at those who have achieved a grade C Encourage a greater breadth in students’ post-16 programmes

27. Recommendations: How Encourage breadth of study Any new qualification / pathway needs to be attractive to and valued by: –Students –Schools / Colleges –HE / Employers Enable HE / employers to require maths Implement over an extended time period Research: teacher supply, IAG, vocational