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The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity

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1 The Human Population: Growth, Demography, and Carrying Capacity
G. Tyler Miller’s Living in the Environment 12th Edition Chapter 11 Dr. Richard Clements Chattanooga State Technical Community College

2 Key Concepts Factors affecting human population size
Human population problems Managing population growth

3 Factors Affecting Human Population Size
Population change equation Population Change = (Births + Immigration) – (Deaths + Emigration) Zero population growth (ZPG) Crude birth rate (BR) Crude death rate (DR) Refer to Fig p. 239

4 Natural Rate of Increase
<1% 1-1.9% 2-2.9% 3+% Data not available Annual world population growth Fig. 11.3, p. 240

5 Fertility Rates Replacement-level fertility Total fertility rate (TFR)
Births per woman < 2 2-2.9 3-3.9 4-4.9 5+ No Data Fig. 11.8, p. 242

6 Factors Affecting BR and TFR
See bulleted list in text p. 243 US BR’s and TFR’s 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Births per thousand population Demographic transition Depression Baby boom Baby bust Echo baby boom World War II Year Fig , p. 243 see Fig p. 243

7 Factors Affecting DR Life expectancy Infant mortality rate (IMR)
Infant deaths per 1,000 live births <10 <10-35 <36-70 <71-100 <100+ Data not available Fig , p. 246

8 Factors Affecting Natural Rate of Increase
Developed Countries 50 40 30 20 10 1775 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Rate per 1,000 people Year Rate of natural increase Crude birth rate death rate Rate of natural increase = crude birth rate = crude death rate natural increase Fig , p. 245

9 Population Age Structure
Rapid Growth Guatemala Nigeria Saudi Arabia Slow Growth United States Australia Canada Male Female Zero Growth Spain Austria Greece Negative Growth Germany Bulgaria Sweden Fig a, p. 247

10 Solutions: Influencing Population Size
Migration Environmental refugees Reducing births Family planning Empowerment of women Economic rewards and penalties

11 The Demographic Transition
Low High Relative population size (number per 1,000 per year) Birth rate and death rate 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Stage 1 Preindustrial Stage 2 Transindustrial Stage 3 Industrial Stage 4 Postindustrial growth rate Increasing Growth Very high Decreasing Zero Negative Birth rate Total population Death rate Time Fig , p. 255

12 Case Study: Slowing Population Growth in India
Generally disappointing results: Poor planning Bureaucratic inefficiency Low status of women Extreme poverty Lack of support

13 Case Study: Slowing Population Growth in China
Generally positive results: Economic incentives Free medical care Preferential treatment Intrusive and coercive Locally administered

14 Cutting Global Population Growth
Family planning Reduce poverty Elevate the status of women


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