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WTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation Monitoring AfT flows
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Outline Why monitor aid for trade? How to monitor aid for trade? Aid for trade flows in 2006 –Global flows –Sector distribution –Regional distribution –Main recipients –Main donors –Additionality Conclusions 2
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Why Monitor Aid for Trade? 3
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How to Monitor? 4 TPRM: more in-depth assessments Quantitative Information Qualitative Information WTO Global Review of Aid for Trade In-country self-assessments Tracking Aid for Trade flows Donor self-assessments Performance Indicators
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5 DAC Global Amount e.g. € 23 bn. Economic Growth Social Development Other Donor Amount e.g. € 2 bn. Recipient Amount e.g. € 0.5 mn. Education Health Governance Other Trade-Related Needs Donors CRS Recipient Debt Multi Sector Emerging Aid Administrative Costs Trade Policy & Regulations Productive Capacity Infrastructure Trade Related Structural Adjustment WTO Annual Aid for Trade Review Tracking Global Flows Using the Creditor Reporting System (CRS)
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Aid for Trade Commitments In 2006: 10% increase, or $2.2 bn 6 (USD billion, 2005 constant)
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Sector Distribution 7 Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations 52.4% 42.7% 3.1 % 53.4% 42.2% 4.4% In 2006: Infra + $1 bn PCB + $0.8 bn TPR + $0.4 bn (USD billion, 2005 constant)
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Regional Distribution 8 2002-05 Ave. 2006 $1.8 bn $1.2 bn $10.4 bn $7.5 bn $0.2 bn
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Regional and Sector Distribution 9 Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations AFRICAAMERICAASIAOCEANIAGLOBALEUROPE
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Regional Programmes 10 2002-2005 Average GLOBAL (6.6%) REGIONAL (10%) COUNTRIES (84%)
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Regional Programmes 11 2006 GLOBAL REGIONAL Increased to: USD 4.2 billion 18.5% share of total Aid for Trade Global programmes remained constant COUNTRIES
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Income Groups 12 2002-05 Ave. 2006 LDCs OLICsGNI < $825 per capita LMICs $825 < GNI < 3255 LIMICs $3256 GNI < 10.065 LDCsOLICsLMICsUMICs 876543210876543210
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Country Concentration: Volume 13
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Country Concentration: Per Capita 14
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Donors 15 2002-05 Ave. 2006 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0.5 0
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Additionality? 16
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Conclusions Increased 10% Regional programmes doubled Additionality: positive outlook 17 Aid for Trade in 2006
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