2. Study Designs for Analytic Epidemiology Session 3, Part 2

3. Learning Objectives Session 3, Part 2 Define analytic epidemiology List 3 types of observational study designs

4. Overview Session 3, Part 2 Review of descriptive vs. analytic epidemiology Components of analytic epidemiology Types of analytic study designs

5. Descriptive versus Analytic Epidemiology

6. Descriptive vs. Analytic Epidemiology Descriptive epidemiology Analytic epidemiology QuestionsWho What When Where Why How Comparison Group? NoYes

7. Analytic Epidemiology Used to help identify the cause of disease Typically involves designing a study to test one or more hypotheses

8. Source: Borgman, J (1997). The Cincinnati Enquirer. King Features Syndicate.

9. Components of Analytic Epidemiology

10. Exposure and Outcome Exposure: Any factor that might influence one’s risk of disease Outcome: Disease or condition, standardized using case definitions

11. Case Definition Standard diagnostic criteria that must be fulfilled to identify a person as a case of a particular disease –Clinical (laboratory results, symptoms, signs) –Restrictions on person, place, and time Ensures that all persons who are counted as cases actually have the same disease

12. Developing Hypotheses A hypothesis is an educated guess about an association that is testable in a scientific investigation Descriptive data provide information to develop hypotheses Hypotheses tend to be broad initially and are then refined to have a narrower focus

13. Hypothesis Example Hypothesis: People who ate at the church picnic were more likely to become ill –Exposure is eating at the church picnic –Outcome is illness – this would need to be defined, for example, ill persons are those who have diarrhea and fever

14. Hypothesis Example Hypothesis: People who ate at the church picnic were more likely to become ill –Exposure is eating at the church picnic –Outcome is illness – this would need to be defined, for example, ill persons are those who have diarrhea and fever Hypothesis: People who ate the egg salad at the church picnic were more likely to have laboratory- confirmed Salmonella –Exposure is eating egg salad at the church picnic –Outcome is laboratory confirmation of Salmonella

16. Types of Analytic Studies

17. Main Categories of Studies Experimental studies – exposure status is assigned by investigators Observational studies – exposure status is not assigned

18. Experimental Studies Can involve individuals or communities Assignment of exposure status can be random or non-random The non-exposed group can be untreated, untreated with placebo, or given a standard treatment Most common design is a randomized clinical trial

19. Experimental Study Examples Randomized clinical trial to determine if giving magnesium sulfate to pregnant women in preterm labor decreases the risk of their babies developing cerebral palsy Randomized community trial to determine if fluoridation of the public water supply decreases dental cavities

20. Observational Studies Three main study designs: 1.Cross-sectional study 2.Cohort study 3.Case-control study

21. Cross-Sectional Studies Exposure and outcome status are determined at the same time –“Snapshot” Examples include: –Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) http://www.cdc.gov/brfss/ http://www.cdc.gov/brfss/ –National Health and Nutrition Surveys (NHANES) http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes.htm http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes.htm Also include most opinion and political polls

22. Cohort Study Description Study population is grouped by exposure status Groups are then followed to determine if they develop the outcome ExposureOutcome ProspectiveAssessed at beginning of study Followed into the future for outcome RetrospectiveAssessed at some point in the past Outcome has already occurred

23. Cohort Study Design Study Population Exposed Non-exposed Exposure is self selected

24. Cohort Study Design DiseaseNo Disease Study Population Exposed Non-exposed No DiseaseDisease Exposure is self selected Follow through time

25. Cohort Study Examples Study to determine if those exposed to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) have a higher risk of leukemia than those not exposed to ETS Study to determine if children who receive influenza vaccination miss fewer days of school than those who did not receive it Study to determine if the egg salad was the cause of a foodborne illness outbreak

26. Case-Control Study Description Study population is grouped by outcome Cases are persons who have the outcome Controls are persons who do not have the outcome Past exposure status is then determined

27. Case-Control Study Design Study Population Cases Controls Select based on disease status

28. Case-Control Study Design Had ExposureNo Exposure Study Population Cases Controls No ExposureHad Exposure Select based on disease status Look back in time

29. Case-Control Study Examples Study to determine whether women with strokes had hormone replacement therapy as compared to women without strokes Study to determine whether lung cancer patients have more radon exposure than non- lung cancer controls Study to determine whether salmonella infection was associated with eating at a fast food restaurant

30. Cohort versus Case-Control Study Cohort StudyCase-Control Study Preferred study design when… Population members are easily identifiable Members are easily accessible Exposure is rare There may be multiple diseases involved Identifying and/or accessing entire cohort would be too costly or time consuming Illness is rare Study groupExposed personsPersons with illness (case patients) Comparison group Non-exposed personsPersons without the illness (controls)

31. Summary Analytic epidemiology addresses “why” and “how” a health problem occurs In experimental studies investigators assign exposures to study participants In observational studies investigators observe exposures and outcomes that are already occurring in the population Commonly used observational study designs are cohort studies and case-control studies

32. References and Resources Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Principles of Epidemiology. 3rd ed. Atlanta, Ga: Epidemiology Program Office, Public Health Practice Program Office; 1992. Gordis L. Epidemiology. 2nd ed. Philadelphia, Pa: WB Saunders Company; 2000. Gregg MB, ed. Field Epidemiology. 2nd ed. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 2002. Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in Medicine. Philadelphia, Pa: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; 1987. Cohort Studies. ERIC Notebook [serial online]. 1999:1(3). Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Public Health / Epidemiologic Research & Information Center, Veterans Administration Medical Center. Available at: http://cphp.sph.unc.edu/trainingpackages/ERIC/issue3.htm. Accessed March 1, 2012. http://cphp.sph.unc.edu/trainingpackages/ERIC/issue3.htm

33. References and Resources Case-Control Studies. ERIC Notebook [serial online]. 1999:1(5). Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Public Health / Epidemiologic Research & Information Center, Veterans Administration Medical Center. Available at: http://cphp.sph.unc.edu/trainingpackages/ERIC/issue5.htm. Accessed March 1, 2012. http://cphp.sph.unc.edu/trainingpackages/ERIC/issue5.htm Laboratory Instructor’s Guide: Analytic Study Designs. EPID 168 Lecture Series. Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill School of Public Health; August 2002. Available at: http://www.epidemiolog.net/epid168/labs/AnalyticStudExerInstGuid2000.pdf. Accessed March 1, 2012. http://www.epidemiolog.net/epid168/labs/AnalyticStudExerInstGuid2000.pdf