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Published byPhoebe Fleming Modified over 9 years ago
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Brazilian Power Sector - Current Issues - Pedro G. Seraphim pseraphim@tozzinifreire.com.br
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Agenda Brazilian Power Sector Facts Sector’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Brazilian Power Sector Model Wind Power Auction Belo Monte Project Renewal of Concessions
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Brazilian Power Sector Facts Brazilian Energy Matrix => 46% renewable –World average is 12% Power Sector Installed Capacity –Now: about 103 GW (91% hydro) –Planned for 2030: 130 GW (78% hydro) only 2% of all carbon emissions in Brazil
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Power Sector GHGs Emissions per capita Brazil 1 Argentina 10 EU 40 USA 100
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Power Sector Model (Law No. 10,848) Brazilian - Expansion centrally controlled by the Government LDCs: Yearly declarations of power needs for 5 years Auctions for projects to meet such needs PPA with LDCs (ACR) or “reserve energy” Preliminary Environmental License Free consumers => 25% of the power market (ACL)
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Exclusive Auction for Wind Power (Nov / 2009) Estimated potential: 140 GW (or 300 GW?) Reserve energy auction in Nov/2009 441 registered projects: ~14,000 MW Transmission through ICGs (Shared Facilities) 20-year PPAs Will it attract equipment manufacturers? Is it really the best alternative at the moment?
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Belo Monte Project Installed capacity: 11,300 MW Capacity factor (assured energy): ~ 5,000 MW –virtually no reservoir Challenges: –Valuation (R$16 or R$30 billion?) –Transmission (distance from load centers) –Market (ACR / ACL / Self-Producers) –Environmental licensing…
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Belo Monte Project Location
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Confidential Information – Property of TozziniFreire Advogados Renewal of Concessions
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