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The International MANPADS Scenario
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SA-14 fired at DHL cargo plane near Baghdad airport, November 2003
The MANPADS Threat SA-14 fired at DHL cargo plane near Baghdad airport, November 2003
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A manpad used against an airliner is not a hit-to-kill weapon; it is more like a launch-to-scare weapon…There isn't a current and qualified airline crew that could not handle an inflight emergency regarding any...hit by a manpad. - Letter to the Editor, Aviation Week & Space Technology
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Launch to Scare? DHL A300 hit by a MANPADS near Baghdad International Airport, Nov. 2003
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MANPADS Proliferation
Source: Defense Intelligence Agency
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MANPADS Proliferation – Non-Govt
1000s acquired by non-state actors : acquistion by NSAs 14 confirmed, 27 reported FAS Study: illicit MANPADS activity in at least 17 countries (mid-2001-mid-2007)
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Afghanistan Saudi Arabia Chad Colombia France Georgia Iraq Kenya Lebanon Liberia Nicaragua Russia Tajikistan Somalia Uganda Sudan Countries in which MANPADS were transferred to, used by, seized from, or stockpiled by non-state actors (mid-2001 to mid-2007) Sri Lanka
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MANPADS in Iraq Hundreds, possibly thousands, of MANPADS outside of government control Sources: Saddam’s stockpiles, external One of 188 SA-7 missiles turned in by an Iraqi Civilian in October 2003
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MANPADS in Iraq British Lynx helicopter hit by a MANPADS near Basra, 6 May 2006
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Recent Reports 100 Igla missiles “available immediately” to Viktor Bout 30 “shoulder-fired, surface-to-air missiles” found in arms cache near Gaza. SA-18 Igla SA-16 Igla-1
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Conclusion MANPADS pose threat to all aircraft, although some are more vulnerable than others MANPADS have proliferated widely, including to many non-state groups Terrorists and insurgents worldwide continue to acquire and use MANPADS
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