1. Temperature and salinity variability of the Atlantic Water in the Eastern Eurasian Basin between 1991 and 2011 Meri Korhonen R/V Akademik Fedorov, August 24th, 2013

2. Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean Defined as a subsurface layer with temperature above 0 ºC Located between ~200-800 dbar Freshwater flux results in strong upper ocean stratification and restricts vertical mixing

3. Circulation of Atlantic Water Two main inflow passages to the Arctic Ocean from the North Atlantic: the Fram Strait and the Barents Sea Mixing of the two branches north of the Kara Sea The Arctic Atlantic water leaving the Arctic Ocean (AAW) through the Fram Strait is colder than the entering Atlantic water (AW) Schauer et al., 2008

4. The Fram Strait branch Northward flow through the Fram Strait 6.6 Sv ~3 Sv of water with temperature above 2 ºC (Mauritzen et al., 2011; Beszczynska- Möller et al., 2012) Heat from the Atlantic Water keeps the area north of Svalbard ice free through out the year; the ice melt mixes with AW and creates cold and relatively fresh surface layer North of the Franz Josef Land the Fram Strait branch is attached to the slope. FSB

5. The Barents Sea branch Initially warm, 4-6 ºC, with salinities higher than 35.05 Includes less saline, 34.3, Norwegian Coastal Current Heat is lost to atmosphere, salinity decreases because of net precipitation -> colder and less saline water than the Atlantic Water north of Svalbard Inflow through the Barents Sea is estimated to be equal to the Fram Strait branch, 3.2-3.3 Sv BSB located on the shelf and slope

6. The water masses formed in the Barents Sea FSB AW densest BSB contribution FSB return flow intermediate contribution BSB AW? surface/halocline waters Conditions in the St. Anna and Voronin troughs 1996

7. Influence of the Barents Sea branch to the intermediate and deep waters Barents Sea branch water that has entered the deep basin directly at the St. Anna Trough

8. The Barents Sea branch mixes with the boundary current between the Kara and Laptev seas Major cooling of the boundary current appears to result from the inflow from the Barents Sea.

9. Variability: the 1990s warming Warm pulse through the Fram Strait in the mid 1980s (Quadfasel et al., 1991), consisted until the mid 1990s (Schauer et al., 2002) Spreading along the continental slope – North of Laptev Sea – Amundsen and Makarov basins (Carmack et al., 1995) – Canada Basin by 2005 (Shimada et al., 2004; McLaughlin et al., 2009)

10. Variability: 2000s cooling Cooling in the Fram Strait in 1997 (Rudels et al., 2000) Reduced temperatures observed north of Laptev Sea in 2002 (Polyakov et al., 2005; Dmitrenko et al., 2008) 1990s warm pulse was observed to circulate the Makarov Basin: it was partly returning towards Siberia along the Lomonosov Ridge (Kikuchi et al., 2005) Cooling on the Barents Sea was due to predominant winds from the deep basins towards the shelves -> longer cooling on the shelf (Dmitrenko et al., ?) On the Amundsen Basin side of the Lomonosov Ridge the cooler pulse was propagating towards Greenland -> pronounced horizontal temperature difference between the Amundsen and Makarov basins

11. Variability: 2000s warming Warming in the Fram Strait in 1998 (Schauer et al., 2004) Sudden warming observed north of Laptev Sea in 2004 (Polyakov et al., 2005; Dmitrenko et al., 2008) Further warming in the Fram Strait since 2002 with maximum temperatures observed in 2006 (Beszczynska-Möller et al., 2012) Warming north of the Laptev Sea (Polyakov et al., 2010) 2007 2011

12. The Eastern Arctic Ocean in 2007 The heat loss takes place mainly in the lower AW layer (orange).

13. The freshening takes place mainly in the lower AW layer (orange). The Eastern Arctic Ocean in 2007

14. The warm core of the FSB is diluted and located far from the slope. The Eastern Arctic Ocean in 2011

15. The saline signal of the Fram Strait branch has disappearead north of the Laptev Sea. The Eastern Arctic Ocean in 2011

16. Solid blue lines indicate the BSB at the slope and dashed lines possible BSB return flow

17. The water columns in the Makarov and Canada basins compared to the two inflow branches The properties of the Atlantic core (the temperature maximum at ~300 dbar) are closer to the properties of the Barents Sea branch than the Fram Strait branch. The intermediate and deep waters (below ~1000 dbar) have become more saline and warmer due to shelf- slope convection.

18. Temperature variability in the central basins

19. Salinity variability in the central basins

20. Conclusions Between 1991 and 1996 the temperature was increasing in all basins Salinity in the Nansen Basin was increasing together with the salinity increase in the Fram Strait (Rudels et al., 2000), but the salinity in the Amundsen and Makarov basins was decreasing -> changes must have taken place in the Barents Sea In the 2000s the warming and salinification was restricted to the Nansen Basin Mixing with the Barents Sea branch would explain both, reduction in temperature and salinity beyond the Nansen Basin Thus the pulses of warm Atlantic Water beyond the Gakkel Ridge would be signs of variability in the Barents Sea branch rather than the Fram Strait branch