1. American Foreign Policy and East Asia Spring, 2014

2. (North)East Asia ?

3. Relationship Trade Deficit? Rising China? Energy issues? Human Rights?

4. Relationship

5. After World War ‖ Bilateral Approach (hub-and-spoke) The U.S. & Japan (1951), South Korea(1953), Nationalist China (1954) NATO

6. Why the bilateral approach? Relative Size of the Regional Actors Geographic Characteristics State-level Factors: Japan’s Characteristics Diversity Institutional Path-dependence

7. Relationship China-Taiwan-US

8. Current Relationship between China and Taiwan? Couldn’t be better! - In February, the first official direct talk since 1949. - A possible summit in November? - Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (June, 2013) - Allowing Chinese tourists to visit Taiwan - Direct flight between China and Taiwan Since Ma, Ying-Jeou became the president in 2008

9. China-Taiwan-US Trade: (in hundred million dollars)* YearTotalExport to Taiwan Import from Taiwan 200712452351010 200812922591033 20091062205857 201014542971157 201116003511249 201216903681322 201319724061566 *China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

10. China-Taiwan-US People visiting each other’s territory (in ten thousand)* YearTaiwanese to Mainland Chinese to Taiwan Total 200746323486 200843728465 200944894542 2010514166680 2011526184710 2012534263797 2013516292808 *China’s Taiwan Affairs Office

11. China-Taiwan-US 1950: During Korean War, Deployment of The Seventh Fleet 1954-55/1958: The First and Second Taiwan Strait Crisis 1979: U.S. Recognition of The PRC & The Taiwan Relations Act 1995-1996: The Third Taiwan Strait Crisis 2005: China passed the Anti-Secession Law

12. 1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis The Trigger --U.S. approval of a visa for Lee Teng-hui to visit the United States (May, 22, 1995) What happened: Series of Missile Tests by China and Taiwan China: July, 1995 / August, 1995 /March, 1996 Taiwan: September, 1995 The U.S. :Deployment of two carrier battle groups March, 1996

13. 1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis Taiwanese Domestic Politics TaiwanChinaUS

14. Relationship China-Japan-US

15. Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) BBC Interview From CNN

16. Relationship Japan-Korea-US

17. Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes /West Sea Dokdo / Takeshima

18. Japan-Korea-US Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes 2) History : Yasukuni shrine, Comfort women, and history textbook.

19. Relationship North Korea-US-Others

20. North Korea - 1st Nuclear Crisis (1993-1994) North Korea Threatened to withdraw from NPT Carter’s mediation Agreed Framework

21. North Korea -2nd Nuclear Crisis (2002-) October, 2002: North Korea admitted that it had a secret nuclear weapons program August, 2003: Six-Party Talk October, 2006: North Korea tested its first nuclear weapons May, 2009: the second test Feb, 2013: the third test

22. North Korea Divergent Interests? Source: Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks by John S. Park Issue U.S. PRC Japan ROK High priority Nuclear Proliferation Refugees Ballistic Missiles

23. North Korea Change of Leadership in North Korea Change in Chinese perception of North Korea? Recent events: - Unofficial meeting between North Korea and Japan regarding the investigation on kidnapped Japanese -North Korea threatened to conduct another nuclear test -Efforts to resume six-party talks

24. Conclusion Pivot to Asia? Complicated relationship between states in East Asia Pay attention to news this week! 23-25: Japan 25-26: Korea (Malaysia / Philippines)