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Overview of the Floating Production Sector International Maritime Associates, Inc. — Washington, DC, USA — Tel: 202-333-8501 Fax: 202-333-8504 — E-mail: imaassoc@msn.com — Website: www.imastudies.com Presentation by James McCaul at the 18 th Annual Floating Production Systems Conference and Exhibition December 1, 2001
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The Presentation Will... International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 2 - www.imastudies.com Profile the current inventory of floaters Characterize the current order backlog Identify potential new floater projects Describe the longer term outlook for new floaters
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154 Floating Production Systems Now Available International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 3 - www.imastudies.com 15 Tension Leg Platforms 38 Production Semis 92 FPSO Vessels 9 Production Spars
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Where Floating Production Systems Are Now Operating International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 4 - www.imastudies.com
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Geographic Distribution of Production Floaters Now Operating International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 5 - www.imastudies.com FPSOsSemis SparsTLPs
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30 Year Growth in Number of Floaters Has Been Impressive International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 6 - www.imastudies.com
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Over the Past 7 Years 101 Floating Production, 30 Storage Systems Have Been Installed International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 7 - www.imastudies.com - - - - - Where Installed - - - - -
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Area % of InstallationsType Northern Europe26%19 FPSOs, 7 semis Gulf of Mexico19%9 TLPs, 9 spars, 1 semi West Africa18%17 FPSOs, 1 semi Brazil17%11 FPSOs, 6 semis Asia/Pacific16%15 FPSOs, 1 TLP Other5%5 FPSOs International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 8 - www.imastudies.com Production Floater Installations Over Past 7 Years
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Almost 11 MB/D Oil Processing Capacity Now On Floating Production Systems International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 9 - www.imastudies.com
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37 Floating Production Systems and 5 Storage Systems are on Order (as of November 2003) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 10 - www.imastudies.com 4 TLPs — 2 mini, 2 wellhead 25 FPSO Vessels — 12 new, 11 conversions, 2 upgrades 4 Production Semis — all new 4 Production Spars — all new 5 FSOs — 1 new, 4 conversions
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Where Floating Production and Storage Systems on Order are to be Installed International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 11 - www.imastudies.com
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Where to be Installed % of Orders Type West Africa32%10 FPSOs, 2 well-TLPs Gulf of Mexico22%2 TLPs, 2 semis, 4 spars Asia/Pacific22%8 FPSOs Brazil16%6 FPSOs Northern Europe3%1 semi Other5%2 FPSO International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 12 - www.imastudies.com Production Floaters Now on Order (as of November 2003)
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6 Year Trend in Orders for Floating Production Systems (average order intake per month) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 13 - www.imastudies.com
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87 Floating Production Systems are Planned or Under Study (as of November 2003) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 14 - www.imastudies.com
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Projects in the Bidding or Final Design Stage (as of November 2003) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 15 - www.imastudies.com
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Some Near Term Projects... International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 16 - www.imastudies.com Akpo Agbami Kizomba C/D Block G Usan/Ukot Roncador P-54 Marlim Leste Tahiti Merganser/Vortex Peng Lai 2
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Projects Planned or Under Study (as of November 2003) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 17 - www.imastudies.com
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Some Longer Term Projects... International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 18 - www.imastudies.com Southern Alaminos Canyon — FPSO/shuttle tanker or production semi/pipeline? Block 31 Angola — large FPSO Bonga Southwest — large FPSO, maybe joint development with Aparo Marlim Sul/Roncador — 3 or 4 additional large FPSOs or semis Gehem/Ranggas — TLP/production barge combo, like West Seno
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The Long Term Outlook for Floater Orders is Very Favorable International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 19 - www.imastudies.com
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Trend in World Oil and Gas Consumption International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 20 - www.imastudies.com
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Long Term Oil and Gas Demand International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 21 - www.imastudies.com IEA expects global energy demand to increase at a rate of 1.7% per year over next 30 years Oil and natural gas to supply 90% of the increased demand Oil consumption is expected to rise at an annual rate of 1.6% Gas consumption is expected to double by 2030
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Futures Price of Crude ($ per bbl) International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 22 - www.imastudies.com
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Our February 2003 Forecast of Requirements for Floating Production Units International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 23 - www.imastudies.com
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This Forecast Would Produce Orders for 62 to 89 FPUs Between 2003-2008 International Maritime Associates, Inc. - 24 - www.imastudies.com Composition of orders is expected to be - 60% FPSOs - 30% spars or TLPs - 10% production semis These orders would generate $22 to 31 billion capex In February 2004 we will revisit this forecast and extend the forecast period from 2004 to 2009
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