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Redistricting Status Report: Nuts & Bolts By Kimball Brace September 9, 2011 Election Data Services, Inc.
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Who is Election Data Services, Inc.? Since 1986, we’ve been on your wall. In 2010/11 you’ll need a larger wall
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Who is Election Data Services, Inc.? Since 1979, more than half the nation has been helped by Election Data Services in redistricting
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Who is Election Data Services, Inc.? Since 1980, kept track of what voting equipment is used in every county of the nation 2010
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Who is Election Data Services, Inc.? If it concerns elections, And it deals with data … We’re probably involved
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Cameras do not make the pictures, Photographers do
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What does Photography have to do with Redistricting? “Computers are just a tool.” George Meier Staff Director, Florida House Redistricting Cmte. “Software can’t create a plan, Humans do” A wise man once said:
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State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14
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2010 Results
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State Legislatures Post-Election 2010 Democrat-16 Split-6 Undecided/Nonpartisan - 3 Republican- 25
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Reapportionment vs Redistricting What’s the difference Reapportionment − Allocation of districts to an area US Congressional Districts to states Some states use to allocate legislative districts to counties Redistricting − Crafting of district configurations within an area Congressional, state legislative, county council, city wards, etc. Usually happens once a decade − Unless you’re Tom Delay
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Historical Apportionment of U.S. House Seats Net Gain or Loss Since 1930
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Redistricting Factors One Person, One Vote – Equal size Districts − Congressional − State Legislative − Local Voting Rights Act − “Fairly reflect minority strength” Kitchen sink − Jurisdiction geography – how to divide − “Community of interest” − Political factors & incumbancy − Compactness − Others
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CensusPolitical TIGER/Line® Files Other Boundaries Precinct and Electoral District Boundaries Redistricting Summary (PL 94-171). ACS Files, Citizenship Data Election Returns and Voting Statistics Tabular Spatial Redistricting Data Cube © Election Data Services, Inc. Source of data Type of Data 2010 2000 1990 ? 2010 2008 2006 2004 20022002 EARLIER?EARLIER?
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All Numeric Data to Block Level Voter Registration System Population Data (PL94-171) Election Returns Block VAP/ Precinct VAP Precinct Assignment Block VAP/ Precinct VAP Geographic Level County Precinct Block Address Block Group ACS Data Census Survey Block VAP/ BG VAP
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The Election Process – From a data prospective Total Population Voting Age Population Citizen Voting Age Population Registration Turnout Votes for President Other Statewide Offices Congressional State Legislature
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Race Data -- Decision on use
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Practical impact
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TIGER Migration Impact
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Olympic Command for Redistricting Season: Let the Games Begin. This will be ________’s fifth political Olympiad since the Warren Court forced America into the ideological straightjacket of one-person, one-vote 44 years ago. Like the first four, it will feature outstanding legislative warfare, after which the combatants will go to court and ask a judge who won.
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Thank you Kimball Brace President Election Data Services, Inc. 6171 Emerywood Court Manassas, VA 20112 (703-580-7267 or 202-789-2004) KBrace@electiondataservices.comKBrace@electiondataservices.com or KBrace@aol.com KBrace@aol.com www.electiondataservices.com
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