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Excursions in Modern Mathematics Sixth Edition
Peter Tannenbaum
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Chapter 1 The Mathematics of Voting
The Paradoxes of Democracy
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The Mathematics of Voting Outline/learning Objectives
Construct and interpret a preference schedule for an election involving preference ballots. Implement the plurality, Borda count, plurality-with-elimination, and pairwise comparisons vote counting methods. Rank candidates using recursive and extended methods. Identify fairness criteria as they pertain to voting methods. Understand the significance of Arrows’ impossibility theorem.
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1.1 Preference Ballots and Preference Schedules
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Preference ballots A ballot in which the voters are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. Linear ballot A ballot in which ties are not allowed.
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A preference schedule:
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The Mathematics of Voting Important Facts
The first is that a voter’s preference are transitive, i.e., that a voter who prefers candidate A over candidate B and prefers candidate B over candidate C automatically prefers candidate A over C. Secondly, that the relative preferences of a voter are not affected by the elimination of one or more of the candidates.
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Relative Preferences of a Voter
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Relative Preferences by elimination of one or more candidates
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1.2 The Plurality Method
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Plurality method – The candidate with the most 1st place votes wins the election - most commonly used method for finding a winner Plurality candidate – The candidate with the most 1st place votes. The plurality candidate is not necessarily a majority candidate. Majority candidate - The candidate with more than half of the 1st place votes. A majority candidate is always the plurality candidate.
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Majority rule The candidate with a more than half the votes should be the winner. Majority candidate The candidate with the majority of 1st place votes .
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The 1st of 4 “Fairness Criteria” The Majority Criterion If candidate X has a majority of the 1st place votes, then candidate X should be the winner of the election. Good News: The plurality method satisfies the majority criterion!
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Bad News: The plurality method fails a different fairness criterion. The Condorcet Criterion If candidate X is preferred by the voters over each of the other candidates in a head-to-head comparison, then candidate X should be the winner of the election.
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The plurality method fails to satisfy the Condorcet Criterion – H beats each other candidate head-to-head.
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Insincere Voting (or Strategic Voting) If we know that the candidate we really want doesn’t have a chance of winning, then rather than “wasting our vote” on our favorite candidate we can cast it for a lesser choice that has a better chance of winning the election.
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Insincere Voting (or Strategic Voting) Three voters decide not to “waste” their vote on F and swing the election over to H in doing so.
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1.3 The Borda Count Method
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In the Borda Count Method each place on a ballot is assigned points. In an election with N candidates we give 1 point for last place, 2 points for second from last place, and so on.
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Borda Count Method At the top of the ballot, a first-place vote is worth N points. The points are tallied for each candidate separately, and the candidate with the highest total is the winner. We call such a candidate the Borda winner.
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Borda Count Method A gets = 81 points B gets = 106 points C gets = 104 points D gets = 81 points
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1.4 The Plurality-with-elimination Method
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Plurality-with-Elimination Method Round 1. Count the first-place votes for each candidate, just as you would in the plurality method. If a candidate has a majority of first-place votes, that candidate is the winner. Otherwise, eliminate the candidate (or candidates if there is a tie) with the fewest first-place votes.
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Plurality-with-Elimination Method Round 2. Cross out the name(s) of the candidates eliminated from the preference and recount the first-place votes. (Remember that when a candidate is eliminated from the preference schedule, in each column the candidates below it move up a spot.)
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Plurality-with-Elimination Method Round 2 (continued). If a candidate has a majority of first-place votes, declare that candidate the winner. Otherwise, eliminate the candidate with the fewest first-place votes.
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Plurality-with-Elimination Method Round 3, 4, etc. Repeat the process, each time eliminating one or more candidates until there is a candidate with a majority of first-place votes. That candidate is the winner of the election.
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So what is wrong with the plurality-with-elimination method? The Monotonicity Criterion If candidate X is a winner of an election and, in a reelection, the only changes in the ballots are changes that favor X (and only X), then X should remain a winner of the election.
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1.5 The Method of Pairwise Comparisons
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The Method of Pairwise Comparisons In a pairwise comparison between between X and Y every vote is assigned to either X or Y, the vote got in to whichever of the two candidates is listed higher on the ballot. The winner is the one with the most votes; if the two candidates split the votes equally, it ends in a tie.
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The Method of Pairwise Comparisons The winner of the pairwise comparison gets 1 point and the loser gets none; in case of a tie each candidate gets ½ point. The winner of the election is the candidate with the most points after all the pairwise comparisons are tabulate.
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The Method of Pairwise Comparisons There are 10 possible pairwise comparisons: A vs. B, A vs. C, A vs. D, A vs. E, B vs. C, B vs. D, B vs. E, C vs. D, C vs. E, D vs. E
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The Method of Pairwise Comparisons A vs. B: B wins B gets 1 point. A vs. C: A wins C gets 1 point. etc. Final Tally: A-3, B-2.5, C-2, D-1.5, E-1. A wins.
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So what is wrong with the method of pairwise comparisons? The Independence-of-Irrelevant-Alternatives Criterion (IIA) If candidate X is a winner of an election and in a recount one of the non-winning candidates is removed from the ballots, then X should still be a winner of the election.
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Eliminate C (an irrelevant alternative) from this election and B wins (rather than A).
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How Many Pairwise Comparisons? In an election between 5 candidates, there were 10 pairwise comparisons. How many comparisons will be needed for an election having 6 candidates? Ans = 15
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The Number of Pairwise Comparisons In an election with N candidates the total number of pairwise comparisons between candidates is
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The Mathematics of Voting Rankings
Extended Ranking Extended Plurality Extended Borda Count Extended Plurality with Elimination Extended Pairwise Comparisons Recursive Ranking Recursive Plurality Recursive Plurality with Elimination
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The Mathematics of Voting Rankings
Recursive Ranking Step 1: [Determine first place] Choose winner using method and remove that candidate. Step 2: [Determine second place] Choose winner of new election (without candidate removed in step 1) and remove that candidate. Steps 3, 4, etc.: [Determine third, fourth, etc. places] Continue in same manner using method on remaining candidates yet to be ranked.
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The Mathematics of Voting Rankings- Recursive Plurality
First-place: A Second-place: B Third-place: C Fourth-place: D
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The Mathematics of Voting Conclusion
Methods of Vote Counting Fairness Criteria Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem It is mathematically impossible for a democratic voting method to satisfy all of the fairness criteria.
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