1. Currently cohabiting: relationship attitudes and intentions in the BHPS. Ernestina Coast

2. Cohabitation  Fuzzy  Heterogeneous, includes:  Post-marriage (pre- and post-divorce)  Pre-marriage  Post widowhood  Evolving  “a moving target”  1980s “alternative lifestyle”

3.  Good large-scale descriptive data on incidence and trends  Representative attitudinal surveys  Empirical gap: cohabitees  emerging qualitative research (U.S.)  survey data relationship intentions and attitudes  longitudinal data – collected while subjective state exists  systematic empirical investigation of social change

4. Normative attitudes Changing social norms around marriage –Deinstitutionalisation of marriage –(Cherlin, 1994) –Démariage –(Thery, 1994), –Disestablishment of marriage –(Coontz, 2004, quoting Cott).

5. BHPS normative attitudes “Living together outside of marriage is always wrong” –1992, 1994, 1996 “It is alright for people to live together even if they have no interest in considering marriage” –1998, 2000, 2002, 2004

7. Percentage distribution of youths aged 11-15 years response to the question statement “Living together outside of marriage is always wrong”, BHPS 1994-2005 19941999200020012005 Strongly agree/ agree 19.012.811.910.613.3 Neither agree nor disagree 21.227.926.723.530.8 Strongly disagree / disagree 59.859.361.465.955.9

8. Percentage distribution, by age group, of respondents who disagree, or strongly disagree, with statements about cohabitation and marriage, BSA, 1994-2002.

9. Social acceptance of cohabitation well- established Moved from deviant to normative behaviour Acceptance likely to increase –Cohort replacement –Socialisation –Social diffusion

10. British Household Panel Survey (BHPS)  Annual since 1991  Approx. 5,000 households  Full interview with new partners

11. 1991: Wave 11992: Wave 2 Full marriage & cohabitation history Annual status updates 1998: Wave 8 Relationship questions Annual status updates 2003: Wave 13 Relationship questions repeat Annual status updates 2006 Wave 16

12. ? Cohabitation converted to marriage? Cohabitation persisted? Cohabitation ceased? Child born? Relationship: attitudes intentions 19982003

13. Percentage distribution of marital and cohabiting status, by birth cohort, women, 2003

14. Percentage distribution of marital and cohabitation status, by birth cohort, men, 2003

15. Questions  “We are interested in why you and your partner have chosen to live together rather than being married. Do you think there are any (dis)advantages in living as a couple, rather than being married?” If “Yes”  “What do you think are the (dis)advantages of living as a couple?”

16. Question: Future intentions  “Obviously you cannot say for certain what will happen, but could you please look at this card and read out the number of the statement which you feel applies most closely to your current relationship?  1Planning to marry  2Probably get married at some point  3Probably just keep living together without marrying  4Have not really thought about the future  5Other (specify)  6Don’t know

17. Supplementary Question  “Even though you have no plans to marry at the moment, can you please look at this card and tell me how likely it is that you will ever get married to anyone in the future?”  1Very likely  2Likely  3Unlikely  4Very unlikely  5Don’t know

18. Interrogating the questions  Grounded in reality  Take account of circumstances rather than an expression of abstract desire  Supplementary question on marriage expectation moves from current relationship to any future hypothetical relationship

19. Percentage distribution of positive attitudes about cohabitation, currently cohabiting respondents, 1998 and 2003. 19982003 Advantages in living as a couple rather than marriage? 40.0%32.0% First mentioned advantage Trial marriage No legal ties Improves relationship Previous bad marriage Personal independence Financial advantage Companionship Prefer cohabitation Other 30.7 29.8 5.2 1.6 10.0 16.1 2.0 1.4 3.2 23.6 24.5 3.6 2.7 10.9 22.2 3.1 1.3 8.2

20. Percentage distribution of negative attitudes about cohabitation, currently cohabiting respondents, 1998 and 2003. 19982003 Disadvantages in living as a couple rather than marriage? 26.723.6 First mentioned disadvantage Financial insecurity No legal status Effects on children Lack of commitment Social stigma Other 39.0 16.6 5.4 15.6 16.3 7.1 30.4 32.1 6.2 9.6 11.3 10.4

21. Percentage distribution of responses to the statement “How likely it is that you will ever get married to anyone in the future?”, by currently cohabiting, never married respondents with no plans to marry their current partner, by sex, 1998 and 2003. 1998 n=268 2003 n=401 MaleFemaleMaleFemale Very likely4.75.83.13.4 Likely24.028.818.923.9 Unlikely25.638.840.842.9 Very unlikely 34.118.027.022.9 Don’t know 11.68.610.26.8

22. Percentage distribution of future relationship expectations, by duration of current cohabiting relationship (n=1,015 respondents), 2003 Expectation of current cohabiting relationship Plan to marry Probably marry Live together Duration of current cohabiting relationship < 1 year30.538.031.6 1-2 years29.944.425.7 2-5 years19.848.531.7 > 5 years9.233.457.4

23. % distribution of union expectations, by prior live- in relationship, 1998 and 2003 1998 (n=1,007) 2003 (n=1,343) No prior live-in union Prior live- in union No prior live-in union Prior live- in union Expect. of current cohabit union Plan to marry 24.713.322.716.9 Prob. marry 46.837.647.233.7 Live together 28.549.030.149.4

24. Do individuals achieve their relationship expectations? Outcome ExpectationSplit upMarryContinue cohabit Plan to marry0.910.74.2 Probably marry 7.013.620.9 Live together6.64.823.9 No thought to future 1.30.63.7 Do not know0.1 1.5

25. Couple concordance / discordance Use only couples with full responses to questions –Potential bias for homogeneity of response –Only first-ever live-in relationships Interview effect? –1998 58% of individual interviews record 3 rd party 89% coded as no influence exerted by the third pary

26. Do couples report conflicting relationship attitudes and expectations? 1998 n=168 couples 2003 n=231 couples Couple concordant Advantages to cohabitation 65.4%64.9% Disadvantages to cohabitation 63.9%74.0%

27. % distribution couple expectations, 1998 and 2003, first unions only 1998 n=137 couples 2003 n=196 couples Women Plan to marry Prob. marry Just live tog. Plan to marry Prob. marry Just live tog. Men Plan to marry 20.48.00.719.95.11.0 Prob. marry 3.643.85.83.637.810.7 Just live tog. 05.811.704.617.3

28. Percentage distribution of relationship outcomes by 1998 relationship expectations, cohabiting couples.