1. Potential of Space-based Applications for Energy Markets Dr. Pascal Vinard Geospace Experts GmbH

2. Contents  What we stand for  Energy in the World: facts & global challenges  Europe and Switzerland: trends and chances  Space and Energy: mutual benefits?  Preliminary Avenues of Investigation  Preliminary Set of Recommendations IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 1

3. What we stand for:  An strong expertise in the fields of geosciences, environmental applications, energy, space applications and industry  A long-year experience in project management, assessments and studies in the fields of energy (nuclear, solar, wind, geothermal), space (technology roadmaps, industrial surveys and analyses, applications, M&A) and R&D  An efficient bridge between the space and energy communities  A large network of cutting-edge companies and research institutions IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 2

4. Energy in the world: facts & global challenges I  The carbon age is far from over! China, India, all Asia rely on carbon first, oil second  Overall, growth in energy demand is outside OCDE  OCDE member states may overcome the carbone age  In OCDE member states, renewables are spurring Europe shall play a key role in export of solutions and technology  Climate change policies require innovation and drastic changes, also in Asia and the Americas from WEO 2011 from IEA Incremental primary energy demand by fuel and region in the reference scenario 2007-2030 Increase of primary energy demand 2000-2010 IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 3

5. Energy in the world: facts & global challenges II  OCDE countries decrease demand as a consequence of new technologies  Africa decreases demand as a consequence of failed development  China, the world Nr 1 manufacturer takes it all! Africa may become the primary target for investment Space and energy solutions are best indicated! Per capita primary energy demand by region in the reference scenario 2007-2030 from IEA IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 4

6. Energy in the world: facts & global challenges III  Renewables, i.e wind and PV, are buzzing but lack the necessary base-load and energy density (EPFL-PV: 2 MWcr = only 5% of annual electricity demand of EPFL; > 850 2 MW wind turbines needed to replace a small NPP, etc.)  Renewables require smart grids, interim storage and decentralized solutions  Renewable production is not necessarily where and when you need it, this requires fine-tuning and timely management Legend PV Wind Rolex Learning Center IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 5

7. Europe and Switzerland: trends and chances I The Swiss mix is remarkably stable with a progressive decline in oil consumption Electricity demand represents only 25% of total demand, i.e. the challenge is to master transportation and reduce/modify demand for heat/cold The Swiss Energy Strategy 2050 proposal is based on: - energy efficency measures to reduce demand - growth of production from renewable ressources -progressive dismantling of nuclear power plants by 2035 How can this work with a strong demographic growth and a continuous trend towards increased use of electric power? from BFE/OFEN IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 6

8. Europe and Switzerland: trends and chances II Energy policies are slow to bear fruits but there is need for an urgent paradigm change in the way we convert, distribute and consume energy Switzerland is becoming an interesting test bench for innovative energy solutions since:  High technological level  Strong export industry  Challenging energy strategy (if endorsed!)  Strong interdependency with European gas and electricity networks Future will tell if benefits outweigh economic risks IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 7

9. Space and Energy: mutual benefits? Definitely YES, because:  Energy conversion, distribution and demand require global policies, i.e. global assessments and solutions, an inherent scale to space technologies and applications.  Energy markets require innovative technologies (materials, mechanisms, energy production and savings solutions, etc.) which are space industry‘s daily business.  To buid up a cleaner and more efficient energy market there is a strong need for smart solutions. Applications of space sensors and technologies are called to play a governing role in this respect. IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 8

10. Preliminary Avenues of Investigation I  EO + SatNav at the heart of GIS approaches to identifying, selecting and targeting potential zones for a large variety of renewable energy technologies (solar concentrators, wind, geothermal, hydro, biomass)  Combination of space-based and airborne sensors for detection of pipeline integrity, grid construction and maintenance, fossile power plant immission, etc.  Change detection applied to urban areas (identification of current and future needs), to power plant projects, environmental assessments, decommissioning projects, etc.  Further development of integrated energy management solutions applied to transport, dispatching, energy networks, oil, coal and gas exploration and generation, nuclear safety  And many more… IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 9

11. Preliminary Set of Recommendations Spinning space technologies into the energy field is a good albeit limited idea since constraints and mind-sets are very different. What the energy community really needs are:  Proposals and solutions based on a in-depth understanding of the different aspects of energy cycles, their boundary conditions and evolution  Practical and affordable solutions with 1st objective building up test benches with innovative partners  Most of the energy market is driven by public-private partnerships (PPPs): this is the way to go for funding and partnership  With the exception of oil and NLG, energy generation, distribution and consumption are limited to neighbouring continental units: Europe and Africa offer the best opportunities for IAP projects and missions. IAP represents ESA‘s best asset and opportunity to join forces with the energy community for contributing to a clean and sustainable world IAP Event – EPFL – 13 February 2013 – Page 10

12. Thank you for your attention! Geospace Experts GmbH La Grande Fin 16 CH-1784 Courtepin Switzerland pascal.vinard@geospace-experts.com -41266841800 +41794448262