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Published byBrittney Carroll Modified over 9 years ago
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כנס לקוחות 12.3.08
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The Soybean
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The Soybean Flow Follow the money!
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Field Ground transportation Elevator River Transportation Ocean Freight Ground transportation Crushing Transportation to Client
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מקורות יבוא
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The Soybean (money) components
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Chicago Board Of Trade Supply (land sowed, weather, yields etc…) Demand (Food, Feed, Energy etc…) Stocks to Use ratio Funds (mainly technical) “Outside” markets
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FIELD – The Supply
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The US Grain and Soybean Belt
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6 weeks drought monitor animation http://drought.unl.edu/dm/6_week.gif
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US Soybeans Stock Deviation
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US Soybeans Carry Out and Stock To Use Ratio
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US stocks are declining to minimum levels. No signs of sufficient rationing yet. Supply tightness in the 08/09 season could become more severe if a large increase in area is not secured.
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Brazil Agriculture area Matto Grosso Amazonas M G del Sul S P Parana Rio Grande D S Santa Catarina Goias Minas Gerais Rio De Janeiro Para Bahia Tocantins
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Relatively small increase in South America production is expected. Would not take much of a crop problem before production is lower than the previous year
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Record yearly decline in world soybean production, assuming normal South American yields
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Soy Complex
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Soy Complex 2006-today
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Crush Margin CBOT Averages: 2007 – 63, 2006 – 71, 2005 - 51
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