1. The Study for Karachi Transportation Improvement Project Presentation to Joint Steering Committee on the Interim Report August 1st, 2011 by Mr. Minoru Shibuya, Team Leader JICA ＆ KMTC,CDGK Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

2. Contents Introduction Socio-economic and Landuse Traffic Surveys Demand Forecast Transport Policy The Master Plan Implementation

3. Introduction

4. The JICA Study Study: Master Plan & F/S of Mass Transit Start: April 2010 Traffic Survey: 40,000 household interview  October 5th, 2010 – March 1st, 2011 Demand Forecast in 2030 Land Use Plan in 2030 Road Development Plan in 2030 Mass Transit Development Plan in 2030 Introduction

5. Study Organization JICA JICA Study Team KMTC, CDGK Technical Committee Joint Steering Committee Introduction

6. Schedule

7. Major Meetings Introduction MeetingDateVenue Kickoff MeetingApril 15, 2010P&D, GOS 1st Technical CommitteeMay 12, 2010CDGK Town MeetingMay 14, 2010 Camp Office of Administrator, CDGK 1st Joint Steering CommitteeMay 31, 2010P&D, GOS 2nd Technical CommitteeOctober 6, 2010CDGK 2nd Joint Steering CommitteeOctober 22, 2010P&D, GOS 3rd Technical CommitteeFebruary 2, 2011CDGK 3rd Joint Steering CommitteeFebruary 8, 2011P&D, GOS

8. Major Activity after 3rd TC & JSC Household Interview Survey HIS Data analysis (36,000 households) Demand Forecast Social Environmental Study  Stakeholder Meeting (3 locations)  Interview survey along 5 corridors  Key informants interview Institutional, O&M analysis Network Finalization Evaluation Introduction

9. Existing Mass Transit Plan Introduction

10. Socio-economic and Landuse

11. Population Projection in KSDP 2020 Projection in KTIP Present Population Socio-economic and Land use

12. World Metropolitan Population Karachi in 2030 Source: http://www.citypopulation.de/world/Agglomerations.html Socio-economic and Land use Karachi in 2010

13. Future Population Density Land UseNew urbanized area Existing urbanized area Urban areaVacant Residential200Status quo200 Mix residential100Status quo100 Commercial500200/ 500/ 1,000/ 1,500 Mix commercial1,000Status quo Institution50Status quo Industrial2550 Max industrial50200 Warehouse25- Recreation5- Socio-economic and Land use

14. Land Use Plan in 2030 Socio-economic and Land use

15. Traffic Surveys

16. Household Interview Survey Target sample: 40,000 households Achievement : 36,000 households (90%)  Backlog survey is suspended due to summer vacation Delay due to unstable law and order situation Traffic Surveys

17. Trip Rate Average trip rate: 1.3 Female trip rate is very low Traffic Surveys

18. Trip distance and time (average) Private mode : 30 min Public mode: 50 min Private mode: 6 km Bus : 8 km Rickshaw: 3 km Traffic Surveys

19. Willingness-to-Pay Interview Traffic Surveys 20 minutes Rs. 15 20 minutes Rs. ?

20. Trips by Mode Traffic Surveys

21. Do-Nothing Case in 2030 Traffic Surveys

22. Transport Policy

23. Goals and Vision Transport Policy Travel in Karachi is no longer stressful. Transport capacity satisfies the demand. Mass transit is operated. Road traffic is safe. Bus service is available in entire Karachi Road supports economy with minimum environmental impact. Goals/ Vision Objectives/ Policies Projects/ Programs

24. Development Policy Support the urban development to formulate the future land use plan Enhance the corridors toward development directions Effective balance of between road and mass transit in transport sector investment Transport Policy

25. Support the Urban Development Unit: 000 Population 2010 - 2030 Gadap Town Bin Qasim Town Keamari Town Transport Policy 3,078 537 762 518 201020202030 5,060 2,290 2,032 2,697 1,914

26. Enhance the Corridors Transport Policy

27. Effective Balance between Road and Mass Transit Transport Policy CBD Urbanized Area New Development Area Road Development in New Development Area Mass Transit Development Between CBD & Suburban

28. Road Network Policy Network development based on KSDP 2020 Road construction for suburban development The 29 Corridors: signal-free corridor Ring Roads: Development of Outer Ring Road Access to New Cities  Construction of Malir Expressway Transport Policy

29. Public Transport Policy Introduction of mass transit system of higher level of services than existing buses Win-win relationship between mass transit system and the existing buses KCR development as a Mass Rapid Transit System Rail-base mass transit system along priority corridors to connect the CBD and the suburban area. Introduction of Bus Rapid Transit on major roads. Transport Policy

30. Mass Transit Network Development Transport Policy Public Transport Development Corridor Test Network Full Network Master Plan Network Ideality necessity reality

31. Public Transport Development Corridor 9 radial corridors & 2 circulars identified from development policy Transport Policy

32. Test Network Transport Policy

33. Full Network Transport Policy

34. Master Plan Network Transport Policy

35. The Master Plan

36. Road Project Map The Master Plan

37. Road Projects Expressway  Completion of Lyari Expressway (10km)  Construction of Malir Expressway (41km) Highway  Outer Ring Road (80km) and others Arterial Road  Access Road to Pakistan Deep Water Container Port and others (33 projects 306km) Overpass, traffic signal, new city road, parking, truck terminal The Master Plan

38. Impact of Road Projects in 2030 The Master Plan Do-Nothing in 2030 With Road Projects in 2030

39. Public Transport Projects KCR (43.1km) and Extension (14.5 km) Railway (Elevated LRT)  Blue Line (Tower- Super Highway): 22.4km  Brown Line (Nagan Chowk - Landhi): 18.5km BRT (surface)  Green Line (KMTS Corridor-3)  Red Line (University Road)  Yellow Line (Korangi Industrial Area)  Aqua Line (Hawks bay Road)  Purple Line (KMTS Corridor-6)  Orange Line (KMTS Corridor-3 branch) The Master Plan

40. Passenger Volume 2030 The Master Plan Maximum Section per direction Boarding per day ‘000 Passenger-km (million per day) DayPeak KCR290,00021,70050516.3 KCR Extension412,00030,9004878.7 Blue Line357,00027,00066110.9 Brown Line286,00021,5007368.8 Yellow Line235,00017,6006536.0 Green Line244,00018,3004324.9 Red Line144,00010,8003554.0 Orange Line247,00018,5003972.2 Purple Line53,0004,000830.6 Aqua Line330,00024,7004492.2

41. Impact of Master Plan Do-Nothing in 2030 Master Plan in 2030 The Master Plan

42. Cost Estimate The Master Plan TypeSystemCost (Rs. Billion) Railway KCR172.0 KCR-Extension51.2 Blue-Line168.6 Brown-Line106.9 Sub total498.6 BRTSurface transit21.0 Road170.9 Total690.5

43. KCR (43.1km) The Master Plan

44. Rail-base System Tokyo Bangkok Delhi The Master Plan

45. BRT PPP-Study cover Istanbul Curitiba The Master Plan

46. Implementation

47. Short-term Proposal - Modernization of Bus Fleet - Increase in the number of buses - Modernization of Bus Fleet - Increase in the number of buses - Introduction of BRT - Introduction of MRT 1 1 2 2 3 3 Implementation Institutional Capacity

48. Short-term Network Implementation

49. F/S Project - Background JICA will support KCR by technical corporation and soft loan.  KCR is a large project for JICA, and requires a large scale resources including man power. Underground has been proposed for MRT, which increase the cost.  MRT is difficult to be implemented in parallel with KCR. MRT is a 10 year project (the city cannot wait) Step-by-step capacity development from small project is proposed for the transit authority. Implementation

50. Economic Analysis (Railway Case) Implementation Line as MRTEIRR Green Line11.8% Blue Line12.4% Red Line10.9% Brown Line12.9% Yellow Line10.0% * Without case: KCR and its Extension

51. F/S Project Green Line  Surjani - Board Office (12.7km)  Additional study section Board Office – Guru Mandir (5.8 km) Red Line  University Road – Malir Town (19.1km)  Additional study section Mazar Area – Jahangir Park Blue Line (preliminary analysis)  Short-term measures until MRT construction Implementation

52. BRT Example: Trans Jakarta Exclusive Busway Station BRT Lane Roadway Implementation

53. Karachi Transportation Improvement Project June 23th, 2011 Thank you very much!