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Maurice Cook ( EM Designs Group, Inc.) The End of AIDS Transmission? Robert M Grant, June 2012
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A Question of Money… It is still a long haul. But AIDS can be beaten. A plague that 30 years ago was blamed on man’s iniquity has ended up showing him in a better, more inventive and generous light.
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The HIV Pandemic 2.6 Million New HIV Infections in 2009 41% in Young People (ages 15-24)
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4 The HIV Pandemic 1.2 Million Started Therapy in 2009 2 New Infections For Everyone Starting Therapy
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Success of Test and Treat in San Francisco? Reduced Time to Virologic Suppression, Decreased Community Viral Load, and Fewer New HIV Infections, 2004 to 2009 Das et al, CROI 2011
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Success of Test and Treat in San Francisco? Reduced Time to Virologic Suppression, Decreased Community Viral Load, and Fewer New HIV Infections, 2004 to 2009 Das et al, CROI 2011
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Cohen et al, IAS Rome 2011
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Pre- vs Postexposure Prophylaxis HIV Postexposure prophylaxis 0 hr 36 hr 72 hr1 mos3 mos5 mos HIV
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Pre- vs Postexposure Prophylaxis HIV Pre-exposure prophylaxis 0 hr 36 hr 72 hr1 mos3 mos5 mos HIV
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Why Chemoprophylaxis? Post- and Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis: PEP and PrEP for Seronegatives People whose partners: – May have acute infection, – Have unknown serostatus, – Are not treated, or not treated effectively. May inspire an active approach to prevention: – Reduced stigma by breaking the drug-disease link, – Options for couples. No interference with sexual practices.
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The reality: PrEP efficacy trial results, March 2012 StudyPopulationNResults CAPRISA 004 South Africa Women88939% efficacy vaginal TFV gel iPrEx Brazil, Ecuador, Peru, South Africa, Thailand, US MSM249944% efficacy FTC/TDF TDF2 Study Botswana Young men and women 120062% efficacy FTC/TDF Partners PrEP Study Kenya, Uganda Heterosexual couples 4758 67% efficacy TDF 75% efficacy FTC/TDF FEM-PrEP Kenya, S Africa, Tanzania Women1950FTC/TDF = futility VOICE South Africa, Uganda, Zimbabwe Women5029 TDF = futility Vaginal TFV gel = futility FTC/TDF ongoing Bangkok Tenofovir Study Thailand IDUs2400TDF ongoing FACTS001 South Africa Women2200TFV gel enrolling Baeten et al, CROI 2012
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Prophylactic Activity of Oral FTC/TDF ”When Detected” TrailPopulationEfficacySeronegative Drug Exposure Risk Reduction If Drug Detected iPrExMSM 42%44%92% Partners PrEP Men and Women 75%81%90% FEMPREPWomen 18%*26%** *Pre-specified “as treated” analysis through visit of last dose. ** Drug detected in seronegatives at both of 2 timepoints. Anderson CROI 2012; Baeten CROI 2012; Donnell CROI 2012; Van Damme CROI 2012;
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Summary of Evidence of No or Low Drug Exposure Among Active Arm Seroconverters: iPrEx, Partners PrEP No suppression of plasma viral RNA No selection for drug resistance No detectable drug in 91% – Low levels of drug in the others
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Ways PrEP Could Enable Treatment Decreased burden on HIV treatment programs. Motivates HIV testing, – Provides benefits to people hoping they are uninfected, – Seropositives may be linked into care, – More timely identification of acute infections. Greater familiarity with antiretroviral therapy, – A diversity of providers serving a diversity of people,, – Uninfected people become aware of therapy and HIV, – May destigmatize therapy and the people who use it.
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Combination Prevention
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