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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited Contemporary Financial Management Chapter 14: Dividend Policy
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 2 Introduction This chapter examines the factors that influence a company’s choice of dividend policy The pros and cons of dividend policies The mechanics of dividend payments Stock dividends Share repurchase plans
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 3 Dividends When a company earns a profit, there are only two things it can do with the earnings: Pay a dividend to the shareholders Retain the earnings in the form of Retained Earnings The choice as to how to divide firm earnings between Retained Earnings and Dividends and the implications of the choice made is the subject of this chapter.
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 4 Influencing the Value of the Firm Investment Decisions Determine the level of future earnings and future potential dividends Financing Decisions Influence the cost of capital, which can determine the number of acceptable investment opportunities Dividend Decisions Influence the amount of equity in a firm’s capital structure and the cost of capital
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 5 Determinants of Dividend Policy Legal Constraints A firm’s capital cannot be used to pay dividends (capital impairment restriction) Dividends can only be paid out of past & present net earnings (net earnings restriction) Dividends cannot be paid when a firm is insolvent (insolvency restriction) Restrictive Covenants & Sinking Funds Usually imposed by creditors to prevent excessive withdrawals by owners
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 6 Determinants of Dividend Policy Tax considerations Investment income can be received as a capital gain or as a dividend The marginal tax rate will determine which form of income is preferred by investors Liquidity and Cash Flow Considerations Dividends represent an outflow of cash Access to New Equity and Debt Capital A firm may decide to pay dividends and simultaneously issue new equity or borrow
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 7 Determinants of Dividend Policy Variability of Earnings (stable vs. growth) The more stable the earnings pattern, the greater the percentage of earnings the firm can safely pay out as a dividend Inflation During periods of high inflation, the firm may need to retain more earnings to fund the replacement of fixed assets
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 8 Determinants of Dividend Policy Shareholder Preference Firms often develop “clienteles” that are attracted to the firm’s stated dividend policy Protection Against Dilution If the firm pays dividends and issues new equity, existing shareholders will be diluted if they do not purchase a portion of the new equity sold
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 9 Dividend Irrelevance Miller & Modigliani (MM) argue that dividends are irrelevant (under certain assumptions) MM argue that firm value is determined by the firm’s investment policy, not dividend policy MM’s assumptions for dividend irrelevance No taxes No transaction costs No issuance costs (for selling new equity) Existence of a fixed investment policy
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 10 Dividend Irrelevance MM recognize that changes in dividend policy affect share prices They argue this is due to the informational content conveyed by the change, not the change itself Changes in dividend policy have a signaling effect – it signals management beliefs about future firm prospects The existence of clienteles should not affect share price, since one clientele is as good as another clientele
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 11 Are Dividends Relevant? ? What happens when the assumptions are relaxed? MM probably correct, given their restrictive assumptions.
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 12 Are Dividends Relevant? Risk aversion (Bird in the Hand Theory) Dividends represent a regular, certain return, thereby lowering risk and increasing firm value Transaction costs With no transaction costs, investors can sell a portion of their shares to “create” a dividend In reality, transactions costs are real and significant Taxes Investors care only about their after-tax return Thus taxes affect the preferred form of income
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 13 Relevance of Dividends Issuance (Flotation) costs The existence of issuance costs reduces the attractiveness of paying dividends and issuing equity Agency costs are reduced when management is subjected to market scrutiny
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 14 Conclusions Regarding Dividend Policy Empirical evidence is mixed Some studies found that, due to tax effects, investors require a higher pretax return on high-dividend shares Other studies found no difference Many practitioners believe that dividends are important due to: Their informational content External equity is expensive
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 15 Passive Residual Policy Suggests that a firm should retain its earnings as long as it has investment opportunities that promise higher rates of return than the shareholder’s required return Would imply that dividends fluctuate significantly, based on earnings & investment opportunities In practice, firms can smooth their dividends payments by using debt and varying their earnings retention policy
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 16 Stable Dollar Dividend Policies Firms are reluctant to reduce dividends; shareholders like a stable dividend stream Increases in dividends tend to lag earnings Investors prefer stable dividends because: Dividend changes convey information Many shareholders depend on dividend income Stability tends to reduce uncertainty, thereby lowering the firm’s cost of capital Certain institutions can only hold the shares of firms with a record of continuous and stable dividends
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 17 Other Dividend Payment Policies Constant Payout Ratio Pays a constant percent of earnings as dividends Causes the dividend to fluctuate
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 18 Other Dividend Payment Policies Small Regular Dividends Plus Extras Shareholders can depend on regular payout Accommodates changing earnings and investment requirements
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 19 Other Dividend Payment Policies Small Firms and Dividends Tend to pay out a smaller percent of earnings Rapid growth requires capital; small firms retain more of their income to fund growth Small firms have limited access to capital markets
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 20 Multinational Firms & Dividends Primary means of transferring funds to parent company Important issues to consider include: Tax Foreign Exchange Political risk Funds availability Financing needs
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 21 Paying Dividends Declaration Date Ex-Dividend Date Record Date Payment Date Two Days Usually Four Weeks
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 22 Dividend Reinvestment Plan Cash dividends reinvested automatically into additional shares Purchase new or existing shares Purchasing new shares raises new equity capital for the firm No brokerage commissions Income tax liability
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 23 Stock Dividends Stock dividends are similar to stock splits Both increase the number of shares outstanding Accounting transaction Transfer pre-dividend market value from retained earnings to other stockholder’s equity Market price of common shares should decline in proportion to the number of new shares issued
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 24 Reasons for Stock Dividends Broaden the ownership of the firm’s shares May result in an effective increase in cash dividends, provided the level of cash dividends per share is not reduced Reduction in share price may broaden the appeal of the stock to investors Thus may result in a real increase in market value
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 25 Share Repurchase By Tender Offer in the open market or by negotiation with large holders Acquired shares may be cancelled or held as Treasury stock Reduces the number of shares outstanding Increases EPS for the remaining shareholders Stock repurchase programs are usually publicly announced
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 26 Share Repurchase Advantages Converts dividend income into capital gains Greater financial flexibility Greater control over timing Signaling effect Disadvantages Company may overpay for the stock Tax avoidance Some current shareholders may be unaware
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© 2004 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited 27 Major Points Firm profits are split into Retained Earnings and Dividends. Dividend policy explicitly states how the firm intends to make this split. In a perfect world, it would not matter whether the firm paid dividends or not. In the real world, where taxes and transaction costs exist, dividends probably do matter. Dividends can be paid in cash or stock. In both cases, stock price declines on ex-dividend date Share repurchases reduce shares outstanding, thereby pushing up the future price of the stock.
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