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Published byHoratio Dickerson Modified over 9 years ago
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1 ShareScope How investors evaluate company performance Tim Clarke General Manager, ShareScope
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2 Stock markets Initial Public Offering Ltd v Plc Share ownership Control Accounts / reporting Money-raising Cost
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3 Investing Superior returns Fund management Growth, Value, Income, Momentum
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Your share of profits Yield / interest rate Dividend reinvestment Compounding 4 Dividends
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Einstein described compound returns as the “eighth wonder of the world”. 5 Dividends
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6 Compounding Bob’s Grocery Stores Plc Share price 100pHolding period 30 years Dividend 4pShare price remains unchanged Value of shares£10001000 x 100p Income received£12004p x 1000 x 30yrs Investment value£2200£1000 + £1200 Annual income£401000 x 4p Yield on cost4%4p / 100p
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7 Compounding Initial value of shares£10001000 x 100p Income received£0Dividends reinvested Final value of shares£32433243 x 100p Annual income in year 30£1303243 x 4p Yield on cost13%13p / 100p Bob’s Grocery Stores Plc Share price 100pHolding period 30 years Dividend 4pShare price remains unchanged
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8 Compounding Initial value of shares£33251000 x 332.5p Income received£0Dividends reinvested Final value of shares£69,335 Annual income in year 30£2754 Yield on cost83%£2754/ £3325 British American Tobacco Plc (BATS) 2 nd Jan 2000Share price = 332.5pDividend = 22.2p 2 nd Jan 2015Share price = 3522pDividend = 144.9p
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9 Dividend Yield
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10 Private Investors Merchant Banks / Fund Managers Stockbrokers SELL SIDEBUY SIDE Stock Market Structure of the market
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Market capitalisation Share price x No. Shares e.g. Tesco Plc Share price = 219.25p No. Shares= 8,123,000,000 Market cap.= £17,809,677,500
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12 Profits/earnings
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13 Profits/earnings
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EPS = Earnings per Share 14 Profitability
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15 Profitability
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16 Profitability
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17 Minefield Continuous operations GAAP Exceptional items Practical considerations
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18 Profitability
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19 P/E = Market cap / Value Price EPS
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20 Price/Earnings Ratio
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21 Price/Earnings Ratio
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22 Price/Earnings Ratio
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23 PEG = PE / Earnings Growth PEG
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24 Cash Flow & Liquidity
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25 Dividend cover
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26 Dividend cover
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OM = Operating Profit / Turnover (Sales) 27 Operating Margin
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28 Balance Sheet
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29 Debt Gearing = Debt / Shareholder funds
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30 Returns Return on capital employed (ROCE) Profit / Shareholder equity & Total borrowing
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31 Returns
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32 Returns
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33 Problems with EPS Share buybacks Debt instead of equity
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34 Discount/Premium to NAV
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35 Discount/Premium to NAV
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36 Discount/Premium to NTAV
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37 City Expectations
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38 City Expectations
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39 City Expectations
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40 City Expectations -16%
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41 Was Tesco a good investment?
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42 Stock Screening Search the stock market Use understanding of financial metrics to find attractive investment opportunities Criteria to use depend on the type of investor you are
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43 Growth - Warren Buffett Capitalisation above £250m Exclude property stocks Below average PE in subsector EPS has increased in four out of the last five years Operating margin is trending upwards Net gearing below 100% Interest cover of 1.5 or more Cash flow higher than EPS ROCE of at least 12% for last three years ROCE trending upwards over last three years Ideally above average in sub-sector for most of PE, ROCE, Op margin, Net Gearing, Price to cash flow Stock Screening
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