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Creative Regional Strategies March 28, 2011
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2 City Size and the Creative Class
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City Size & the Creative Class 3
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Workers in creativity-oriented occupations are concentrated in small number of city regions 4
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Creative Jobs as a Percent of Total Employment 8
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Service Class Jobs as a Percent of Total Employment 9
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Working Class Jobs as a Percent of Total Employment 10
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Agricultural Jobs as a Percent of Total Employment 11
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Self-Employed 12
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The Problem a (non) City Is: The Distribution of Creative Workers
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US Metro Areas (Total Creative)
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US Metro Areas (under 500,000)
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US Counties
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US Counties (under 100,000)
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Ontario CSDs (over 100 creative)
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Ontario CSDs (under 100,000)
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All Geographies (over 100 workers)
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All Geographies (over 100)
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Lower Bound?? Upper Bound?? Above Upper??
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Greatest Positive Residuals Los Alamos County, New Mexico10,05363.1% Arlington County, Virginia134,32160.0% Falls Church city, Virginia5,96959.4% District of Columbia, District of Columbia321,46654.3% Alexandria city, Virginia88,77153.3% Deep River (3547096) T 000001,90552.8% New York County, New York938,44852.2% Fairfax County, Virginia566,85651.5% Howard County, Maryland152,70951.1% Loudoun County, Virginia154,25550.9% Montgomery County, Maryland528,47550.9% Fairfax city, Virginia12,87548.0% Durham, NC274,72046.9% Carter County, Montana75546.3% San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA888,48046.1% Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV2,299,33046.1% San Francisco County, California474,59446.1% Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV2,856,75045.8% Albemarle County, Virginia47,90845.4% Ithaca, NY49,86045.2% Boulder, CO155,40044.8% Douglas County, Colorado150,46844.7% Middlesex County, Massachusetts830,17444.6% Framingham, MA156,47044.5% York County, Virginia28,20144.5% Bethesda-Gaithersburg-Frederick, MD556,42044.3% Marin County, California131,55044.2% Oakville (3524001) T 0000091,13044.1%
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Sum (for all CSDs) – Total CC ÷ distance away (km) Gravity weighted Total CC ÷ (distance away (km)) 2 (Inverse) Distance Weighted Creative Class
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Regressing Total Creative Class
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Regressing Logged Creative Class
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Regressing Percent Creative Class
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Regressing Total Creative Class - Gravity
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Regressing Logged Creative Class - Gravity
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Regressing Percent Creative Class - Gravity
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Distributions are different – All (large) versus small (rural) regions Strong, positive relationship – Region size (logged) and SHARE creative – Bigger regions higher share – Lower bound – steeper than average (faster) Outside (above) the “schmeer” – (select) Urban Centres – University Towns (some) – Rural concentrations (meds/eds/law) Takeaways (for now)
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Creative Proximity - distance – Zilch, nada, nothing Creative Proximity – gravity – Total Creative (not logged; share) Region/Market Size – Consistent Density – Not Really Growth – Negative? Takeaways (for now)
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34 Creative Class Theory Outside “Major” Urban Centres
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“Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. 35
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“Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. Urban policy is economic policy. 36
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“Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. Urban policy is economic policy. What happens when you’re not “urban”? What’s your economic policy? 37
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“Urban” Policy What about “non-urban” areas?? Think Big Look Big Use a shotgun, not a rifle Secret strategy #4 38
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Think Big 39
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Connecting the Disconnected 40
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Look Big 41
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Use a Shotgun not a Rifle 42
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Secret Strategy #$
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