1. CLIMATE CHANGE 2014: IMPACTS, ADAPTATION, AND VULNERABILITY Katie Mach, Co-Director, Science IPCC WGII

2. SOCIOECONOMIC PROCESSES Socioeconomic Pathways Adaptation and Mitigation Actions Governance CLIMATE Natural Variability Anthropogenic Climate Change RISK Hazards Exposure Vulnerability IMPACTS EMISSIONS and Land-use Change

3. ARE WIDESPREAD OBSERVED IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONSEQUENTIAL

5. WheatSoyRiceMaize CROP TYPE -6 -4 -2 0 2 90 th Percentile 75 th Percentile Median 25 th Percentile 10 th Percentile YIELD IMPACT (% Change per Decade)

6. IN DIFFERENT WAYS VULNERABLE AND EXPOSED PEOPLE, SOCIETIES, AND ECOSYSTEMS AROUND THE WORLD

7. IN DIFFERENT WAYS VULNERABLE AND EXPOSED PEOPLE, SOCIETIES, AND ECOSYSTEMS AROUND THE WORLD

8. ALREADY OCCURING ADAPTATION IS

9. ALREADY OCCURING ADAPTATION IS

10. Adaptation is already occurring Disaster Risk Management Basic Public Health Livelihood Diversification

11. THE LIKELIHOOD OF INCREASING MAGNITUDES OF WARMING INCREASE SEVERE AND PERVASIVE IMPACTS

12. Warming over the 21 st century

13. Risk Level with Current Adaptation Risk Level Very Low Med Very High 4°C 2°C Present Long Term (2080-2100) Near Term (2030-2040) Assessing risk Potential for Additional Adaptation to Reduce Risk Risk Level with High Adaptation

14. Africa HEALTH Present Near-term 2°C world, 2100 4°C world, 2100 WATER Compounded Stress on Water Resources FOOD Reduced Crop Productivity and Livelihood and Food Security Vector- and Water- Borne Diseases

16. EFFECTIVE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION A MORE VIBRANT WORLD

17. SOCIOECONOMIC PROCESSES Socioeconomic Pathways Adaptation and Mitigation Actions Governance CLIMATE Natural Variability Anthropogenic Climate Change RISK Hazards Exposure Vulnerability IMPACTS EMISSIONS and Land-use Change Anthropogenic Climate Change Anthropogenic Climate Change Mitigation Vulnerability Exposure Vulnerability & Exposure Vulnerability & exposure reduction Low-regrets strategies & actions Addressing multidimensional inequalities Risk Risk assessment Iterative risk management Risk perception Socioeconomic Pathways Socioeconomic pathways Diverse values & objectives Climate resilient pathways Transformation Adaptation and Mitigation Actions Adaptation & Interactions with Mitigation Incremental & transformational adaptation Co-benefits, synergies, & trade-offs Context-specific adaptation Complementary actions Governance Decision- making under uncertainty Learning, monitoring, & flexibility Coordination across scales

18. CLIMATE CHANGE REDUCING AND MANAGING RISKS