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October 2013 CENSUS 2010 REVEALED
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Demographic Trends Challenges & Opportunities Discussion
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The South Continues To Rise The South Continues To Rise...Again!
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Years U.S. Absolute Population Change South’s Absolute Population Change South’s Share of Change 1910-193030,974,129 8,468,30327% 1930-195028,123,138 9,339,45533% 1950-197051,886,12815,598,27930% 1970-199045,497,94722,650,56350% 1990-201060,035,66529,104,81449%
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Region 2010 Population Absolute Population Change, 2000-2010 Percent Population Change, 2000-2010 U.S.309,050,81626,884,9729.5% Northeast55,417,3111,753,9783.3% Midwest66,972,8872,480,9983.0% South114,404,43513,845,14413.8% West72,256,1838,774,85213.8% North Carolina9,458,8881,378,63517.1%
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Region Absolute Population ChangePercent of Total UNITED STATES26,884,972100.0 NORTHEAST1,753,978 6.0 MIDWEST2,480,998 9.0 SOUTH13,845,14451.0 WEST8,774,85232.0
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NortheastMidwestSouthWest Total-1,032-2,008+2,287+46 Black-346-71+376 +41 Hispanic-292-109+520-117 Elderly-115+42+97-27 Foreign born-147-3+145+3 = Net Import= Net Export
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Legal Immigrants: 1920-1961: 206,000 annually 1961-1992: 561,000 annually 1993-1998: 800,654 annually 1999-2004: 879,400 annually 2005-2008: 1,137,000 annually Refugees, Parolees, Asylees 1961-1993: 2.1 million (65,000 annually) 1994-1998: 428,361 (85,672 annually) 1999-2004: 487,386 (81,231 annually) 2005-2008: 203,642 (75,661 annually) Illegal Immigrants: 300,000 to 400,000 annually over the past two decades Three million granted amnesty in 1986 2.7 million illegal immigrants remained in U.S. after 1986 reforms October 1996: INS estimated that there were 5 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. August 2005: Illegal population range from 7 to 15 million.
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YearAll ClassesExchange Visitors Academic & Vocational Students 198111,756,903108,023 (1%)271,861 (2%) 19859,539,880141,213 (1%)285,496 (3%) 199017,574,055214,644 (1%)355,207 (2%) 199522,640,540241,364 (1%)395,480 (2%) 200033,690,082351,743 (1%)699,953 (2%) 200132,824,088389,435 (1%)741,921 (2%) 200227,907,139370,176 (1%)687,506 (2%) 200430,781,330360,777(1%)656,373(2%) 200839,381,928506,138 (1%)917,373(2%)
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Source: Center for Immigration Studies; U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey
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Race2009 Population Absolute Change 2000 – 2009 Percentage Change 2000 - 2009 Total307,806,55024,834,5398.8 Non-Hispanic258,587,22612,057,6484.9 White199,851,2404,088,4482.1 Black37,681,5443,276,6619.5 AI/AN2,360,807256,56412.2 Asian Asian13,686,0833,233,41730.9 NH/PI NH/PI448,51079,26021.5 2 or More Races 2 or More Races4,559,0421,123,29832.7 Hispanic48,419,32412,776,94535.8
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Race Absolute Change 2000 - 2009Percent of Total Total24,834,539100 Non-Hispanic12,057,64848.6 White4,088,44816.5 Black3,276,66113.4 American Indian256,5641.0 Asian Asian3,233,41713.0 Native Hawaiian Native Hawaiian79,2600.3 Two or More Races Two or More Races1,123,2984.5 Hispanic12,776,94551.4
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Race/Ethnicity20052050 White67%47% Blacks12.8%13% Hispanics14%29% Asian5%9% Source: Pew Research Center, 2008 *projected.
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Group 2009 Enrollment 2000 Enrollment Absolute Change Percent Change Share of Net Change Total1,427,9601,268,422159,538 12.6100.0% AI/AN 20,378 18,651 1,727 9.6 1.2% Black 444,870 393,712 51,158 13.0 32.1% Asian 35,140 23,576 11,564 49.0 7.2% Hispanic 152,605 56,232 96,373171.4 60.4% White 774,967 776,251- 1,284- 0.2. Source: DPI, The Statistical Profile Online
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TotalPer-Capita Consumer Expenditures and Tax Contributors $9.2b$15,130 Cost of Essential Services$817m$1,360 Net Benefit$8.3b$13,770 Benefit-Cost Ratio$11.00 - $1.00--
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US Hispanics are the 15 th largest consumer market in the world: $1.2 trillion in purchasing power. US Hispanic population grew from 9.6 million to 50.5 million from 1970 to 2010. 24 /22 “Datos 2012”. Arizona State University 2020 66.4 million 2030 85.9 million 2040 108.2 million 2050 132.8 million
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North Carolina’s exports to Mexico have increased 261.1%. Those to the rest of the world: 118.1%. Mexico is the 3 rd largest export market for NC. North Carolina is the 18 th exporter to Mexico. In 2011, North Carolina’s exports to Mexico reached $2 billion, an increase of $1,322 mill from 1993. 26 /22 IPC January, 2012
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Immigrants represent 9.9% of the state’s workforce in 2010 (478,301 workers) Sales and receipts of $4.2 billion 2010 purchasing power of NC’s Latinos totaled $14.2 billion – an increase of 1,601.2% since 1990. 27 /22 U.S. Census Bureau’s Survey of Business Owners 2010.
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North Carolina is the 9 th largest economy in the U.S., with a Gross State Product of $400 billion. NC is home to manufacturing facilities from 39 foreign countries. 206,700 workers in the State are employed by foreign-owned firms. 46% in manufacturing jobs. 28 /22 ThriveNC.com/International
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Latinos in the USA and NC – There are 12.2 million registered voters for the past election. – 30.2% of immigrants (or 217,183 people) in North Carolina were naturalized U.S. citizens in 2010. – In NC; 102,461 are registered voters. Over 200,000 are eligible. IPC January, 2012 29 /22
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North Carolina: 9,656,401 Total population 1,122,837 Hispanic/Latino residents (8.6 %) Wake County: 267,587 total population 36,077 Hispanic/Latino residents (7.4 %) Durham County: 273,392 total population 35,540 Hispanic/Latino residents (13.5 %) Orange County: 135,755 total population 10,996 Hispanic/Latino residents (8.1%) Mecklenburg County: 944,373 total population 113,324 Hispanic/Latino residents (12.4 %) 30 /22 US Census Bureau
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– Immigrants comprised 9.9% of the state’s workforce in 2010. (478,301 workers). – Unauthorized immigrants comprised 5.4% of the state’s workforce in 2010 (or 250,000 workers). – If all unauthorized immigrants were removed, the state would lose: IPC January, 2012 $14.5 billion in economic activity. $6.4 billion in gross state product. 101,414 jobs. 31 /22
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Latino population is expected to continue to grow. NC is a large contributor to Mexico against the rest of the world, bring more growth to our area. The Latino population has a large impact on our economy, locally, state, and nationally. Are we planning for the growth in population?
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J. David Marsee II jdmarsee@gmail.com dmarsee@dconc.gov (919) 560-0667 (919) 698-2502
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