2. Impact Chicago Terry Mazany President & CEO

3. Impact Chicago Jim Lewis, Ph.D. Senior Program Officer

4. Impact Chicago Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University

5. Historic homicide rate in Chicago

6. Declining crime rates Violent Crime - per 100,000 residents

7. Declining violence rates source: City and Suburban Crime Trends in Metropolitan America, The Brookings Institution

8. Homicide totals source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

9. Homicide motives Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Clearances Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

10. Shootings & homicides in Chicago

11. Homicides – Race/ethnicity of victims Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Clearances Shootings & StabbingsMurder Victims by Race/Ethnicity source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

12. Homicide – Indoor or outdoor Indoor v. Outdoor Murders source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

13. Homicides – Shootings, stabbings Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Clearances Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

14. Homicide prior arrest - offender Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Victims with Prior Arrest History source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

15. Homicides cleared Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Clearances source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

16. Criminal justice system in Illinois In 2009, more than 125,000 adults were under a form of correctional supervision —including probation, prison or mandatory supervised release—for a felony conviction in Illinois: almost double the number in 1989. Source: Illinois Sentencing Police Advisory Council

17. Prison system overcrowding Sources: Illinois Dept. of Corrections, John Howard Association

18. Impact Chicago Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University

19. Policing & public safety

20. Concentration of Violence and Child Well-Being = Murder Rate Source: Sampson, 2012

21. The Enduring Grip of Disadvantage: Durability of Concentrated Poverty During an Era of Social Transformation, Chicago Community Areas, 1960-2000 Source: Sampson 2012

22. Inequality’s Durable Imprint: Before and after the 2008 Economic Crisis Source: Sampson, 2012 Source: Sampson, 2012

23. Not Just About Poverty: Remarkably Persistent Violence Profiles During a Sharp Secular Decline in Violence Source: Sampson, 2012

24. Spatial and macro level processes Individual characteristics and selection processes Community Mediating Rates of structure mechanism well-being Source: Sampson, 2012 Collective Efficacy Theory

25. Collective Efficacy Predicts Later Homicide Rates (Controlling for time period, concentrated disadvantage, residential stability, population density, friend/kinship ties, legal/moral cynicism, and prior homicide) Source: Sampson, 2012

26. What is the effect of police strategies?

27. Cure violence (CeaseFire-Chicago) model If you are listening through your computer Type your question into the Q&A pane The moderator will read all questions and pose them to our panelists If you are listening by phone & wish to ask live Use the “Raise Your Hand” feature on your computer The moderator will unmute your phone, enabling you to ask in person Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University

28. Policing strategies Smart Gun Policing interrupt supply deter possession reduce public gun carrying tough responses to gun use reduce demand for guns address conditions that foster gun carrying and use Smart Gang Policing targeting violent groups and high-risk individuals Smart Community Oriented Policing responsive to community concerns and priorities assist in norm building by gaining respect and confidence assist in community mobilization Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University

29. Building public confidence & respect Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University Quality of Service

30. Assist in community mobilization Prof. Wesley Skogan, Northwestern University

31. Declining crime rates Violent Crime - per 100,000 residents

32. How important is trust of the police for reducing crime? photo credit: right, John J. Kim / AP

33. How do gangs affect the homicide and crime rates?

34. Would stronger gun control reduce homicides? Indoor & Outdoor MurdersMurder Clearances Shootings & Stabbings source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

35. Most shootings happen in low-income neighborhoods

36. How does poverty contribute to crime rates? photo credit: Flickr member Zol87

37. Have the changing demographics of Chicago changed crime?

38. Why did the murder rate rise in 2012? source: 2011 Murder Analysis Report, Chicago Police Department

39. What works? Patrol strategies Hardened targets - security Hot spot arrests Broken windows Gang interventions Gun control Social/Emotional training photo credit: top, Chronicle/Lance Iversen

40. Has policing affected homicide levels? source: Chicago Justice Project

41. Does incarceration reduce crime? Sources: Illinois Dept. of Corrections, John Howard Association

42. In conversation Prof. Robert Sampson Harvard University Prof. Wesley Skogan Northwestern University Moderator: Jim Lewis, Ph.D. Senior Program Officer

43. Go deeper Today’s presentation can be viewed online: www.cct.org/impactchicago For more information about today’s topic: contact Jim Lewis at 312.616.8000 ext. 158 To make a difference through your philanthropy: please contact your relationship manager

44. Impact Chicago Thank you for participating