1. Quantitative History and Historical Numeracy Margo Anderson History Department http://www.uwm.edu/~margo

2. Human Population Growth Timeline

4. Human Population Growth Timeline: Focusing in…. 1456: Gutenberg Bible (Invention of movable type) 1492 Columbus’ “Discovery” of the New World ca 1500 Renaissance 1517 Protestant Reformation 1607: Founding of Virginia (Jamestown Colony) 1620-30: Founding of Plymouth Colony and Massachusetts Bay

5. American Population Dynamics

6. Growth of the U.S Population

7. Growth in the Size of the House

8. Admitting States to the Union

9. The First Gerrymander, 1812

10. United States Fertility, 1800-2000 (White Women)

12. Homicide

13. Homicide rates in the US, 1950- 2000

14. Circumstances

15. Weapons and Circumstances

16. Homicide in Europe over Time Homicide rates per 100,000 population in English counties and cities, 1200–1970. From Ted Robert Gurr, "Historical Trends in Violent Crime: A Critical Review of the Evidence," Crime and Justice 3 (1981): 313.

17. Homicide in Europe Long-term homicide rates per 100,000 population in Scandinavia and England, North and South. Calculated from Manuel Eisner, "Modernization, Self-Control and Lethal Violence: The Long-Term Dynamics of European Homicide Rates in Theoretical Perspective," British Journal of Criminology 41 (2001): 618–638.

18. Murder Rates in NYC and Los Angeles, 1800-2000

19. American and European Murder Rates TABLE 1 Estimates of European and American Murder Rates EraPre-18501850–2000 NYC murder rate510 European murder rate2.72.1 Sources: Estimated from Monkkonen, Murder in New York City, and Eisner, "Modernization, Self-Control and Lethal Violence."

20. Iraq War Civilian Deaths from Violence

21. US Military Iraq War Deaths, 2003-2008

22. Coalition Deaths, 2003-2010

23. To learn more… Take History 595, Quantitative Analysis of Historical Data Read Numbers! Browse www.census.gov or United Nations website, for example, http://www.unfpa.org/swp/ or http://esa.un.org/unpp/www.census.gov http://www.unfpa.org/swp/ http://esa.un.org/unpp/ When you read a “quantitative” assessment, ask what it really means…