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JCOMM Expert Team on Marine Climatology - Task Team on Marine-Meteorological and Oceanographic Summaries (TT-MOCS) Elizabeth Kent National Oceanography Centre, Southampton
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Expert Team on Marine Climatology: ToR The ETMC, in close collaboration with UNESCO/IOC-IODE, GOOS, GCOS, CCl and CBS subsidiary bodies and related experts, shall: Determine procedures and principles for the development and management of global and regional oceanographic and marine meteorological climatological datasets; Review and assess the climatological elements of the Commission, including the operation of the MCSS and the GCCs, and the development of required oceanographic and marine meteorological products; Review the GOOS and GCOS requirements for climatological datasets, taking account of the need for quality and integration; Develop procedures and standards for data assembly and the creation of climatological datasets, including the establishment of dedicated facilities and centres; Collaborate and liaise with other groups as needed to ensure access to expertise and ensure appropriate coordination; Keep under review and update, as necessary, relevant technical publications in the area of oceanographic and marine meteorological climatologies.
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Climatological oceanographic and marine meteorological products WMO has a statutory obligation to produce climatological summaries, which are calculated and delivered by volunteer "Responsible Members" on a regional basis The need for, and the production of, these summary products has declined over the years Regional divisions no longer make sense 30-year summaries of limited use in a changing climate? Huge variety of data products available from the scientific community JCOMM are therefore considering what requirements there are now for summary products - hence TT-MOCS
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Existing summary products Current division of responsibilities
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Initial thoughts Who are the users of statistical information on marine climate? Scientists looking at long term change Climate modellers Operational planners Others? Are there existing and maintained "scientific" products which meet the stability and accuracy requirements (which are currently undefined)? If so, we need a labeling exercise and some sort of portal where users can go to find data suitable for their needs. Clearly any JCOMM activity should link with others, e.g. in WCRP
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Initial thoughts … cont. How do we judge the adequacy of datasets? Some are clearly more suitable than others for applications looking at longer time scales The observing system is evolving, many components are being strengthened, but some are in decline Is the sampling and stability adequate - and does it remain so? One role for JCOMM could be to co-ordinate the monitoring of operational data streams against adequacy requirements to feed into the GCOS reviews Research is needed to define the metrics for adequacy for all relevant applications
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Initial thoughts … cont. Are gridded data products what everyone needs? Assumes capacity to download and process possibly large datasets Assumes users have analytical skills and know what they want to calculate If the right summary products can be defined and calculated centrally then effort may be saved Why should anyone want climate summaries? Hi-resolution sampling of many parameters is available in near real time Forecasts are often available Users can often calculate what they need from available datasets
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Initial thoughts … cont. Climate change gives a possible application of summary products Statistics could be defined of expected parameters based on observations, perhaps for each decade The same statistics could be calculated from climate model output - both for the same period(s) as the observations and for future projections Presenting both in the same way might help users to better understand regional changes relevant to them Makes no sense to just do this for the oceans
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Why JCOMM / WMO? Statutory framework Existing "Responsible Members" have expressed a willingness to take on a new role in the production of summaries Ability to consult widely All countries who are members of WMO as users The task team is at a very early stage - these are just first ideas We don't want to duplicate effort We still need to work out what people actually want We want to work with others who have similar interests and objectives Please get in touch if you can help or advise us
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